Quote:
Originally Posted by ArtyMcFly
In the 200NL graph posted in #2355, OP was 4 BI above EV just before the 25,000 hand mark. 20,000 hands later, he was below EV for the sample. There's nothing shocking or unreal about that. Over an arbitrary sample size, you might run close to EV, or somewhat far from it. OP randomly happened to run fairly close to EV in these samples. People with lower winrates (but the same standard deviation) will have graphs that look swingier though
My whole point has been that between, say hands 26k & 36k of the graph in #2355, he doesn't deviate more than half a buyin from EV. It isnt the high winrate or large sample size that makes it look like he's running insanely close to EV....he genuinely is improbably close to EV for a sustained length of time. There's barely enough deviation to account for running AK into QQ once in 10k hands.
Did he take take every hand to a non-allin showdown? Did he never get it in as a 20/80, & win? Or an 80/20, & lose? Did he never shove a FD & get called?
Whatever, not gunna derail the mans thread any more, mainly because....
1) As I've already said several times, I think Brokenstars is a v.good player. I remember his name (I dont remember many) from when I was more regular in the Microstakes forums a few years back & it was obvious even then that he was good. Gotta be careful who u listen to in poker because you'll get advice from, & talked down to by fish (irony alert), so it pays to know who the good posters are
2) Therefore, I dont think he's doctored this intentionally because he doesnt need to
3) I'll just end up repeating myself, & possibly calling someone out for a HU match