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Moving Up Stakes, 2015 and beyond Moving Up Stakes, 2015 and beyond

09-12-2017 , 12:40 PM
Thanks Arty
09-12-2017 , 12:57 PM
If i challenge your graph will you live sweat me?

If so

Spoiler:
you suck op what an obv scam graph lol


If not

Spoiler:
nice work op love the thread
09-12-2017 , 05:30 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ArtyMcFly
In the 200NL graph posted in #2355, OP was 4 BI above EV just before the 25,000 hand mark. 20,000 hands later, he was below EV for the sample. There's nothing shocking or unreal about that. Over an arbitrary sample size, you might run close to EV, or somewhat far from it. OP randomly happened to run fairly close to EV in these samples. People with lower winrates (but the same standard deviation) will have graphs that look swingier though
My whole point has been that between, say hands 26k & 36k of the graph in #2355, he doesn't deviate more than half a buyin from EV. It isnt the high winrate or large sample size that makes it look like he's running insanely close to EV....he genuinely is improbably close to EV for a sustained length of time. There's barely enough deviation to account for running AK into QQ once in 10k hands.

Did he take take every hand to a non-allin showdown? Did he never get it in as a 20/80, & win? Or an 80/20, & lose? Did he never shove a FD & get called?

Whatever, not gunna derail the mans thread any more, mainly because....

1) As I've already said several times, I think Brokenstars is a v.good player. I remember his name (I dont remember many) from when I was more regular in the Microstakes forums a few years back & it was obvious even then that he was good. Gotta be careful who u listen to in poker because you'll get advice from, & talked down to by fish (irony alert), so it pays to know who the good posters are

2) Therefore, I dont think he's doctored this intentionally because he doesnt need to

3) I'll just end up repeating myself, & possibly calling someone out for a HU match
09-12-2017 , 07:08 PM
I'm not concerned. Hit up the twitch though if you want.
09-13-2017 , 06:46 AM
I've reset my computer because I was having issues with some things and didn't back up all my hh. Will only have hands after 09/07 now.

Also withdrawing 2k.
09-13-2017 , 11:28 PM
+$350-390 ish on stream.
09-15-2017 , 04:44 AM
I'm in a different time zone, so I'm not watching your streams live but I just wanted to say I've really enjoyed them, find them informative/entertaining, and hope you keep it up. GL!
09-15-2017 , 07:34 AM
Quote:
Also withdrawing 2k.
Excellent. I hope you enjoy it.
09-15-2017 , 05:56 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Three_high
I'm in a different time zone, so I'm not watching your streams live but I just wanted to say I've really enjoyed them, find them informative/entertaining, and hope you keep it up. GL!
Awesome, thanks for leaving some love!

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bob148
Excellent. I hope you enjoy it.
Yep, going to buy a new computer chair/mic/twitch template
09-17-2017 , 04:05 AM
-2bi on stream.

Thanks for everyone who came, gn. I'll post hand where I folded TT on KJTL later on.
09-17-2017 , 10:21 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Brokenstars
-2bi on stream.
But wats ur ev line tho
09-17-2017 , 11:43 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Avaritia
But wats ur ev line tho
I'll let De_man answer that one for me
09-18-2017 , 03:19 AM
EV(t) = W$(t)+-2.5BI

This is how you can workout brokenstars ev line at any time.
09-18-2017 , 07:19 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Brokenstars
-2bi on stream.

Thanks for everyone who came, gn. I'll post hand where I folded TT on KJTL later on.
    Poker Stars, $1/$2 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
    Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

    SB: $259.09 (129.5 bb)
    BB: $313.80 (156.9 bb)
    UTG: $562.03 (281 bb)
    MP: $78.19 (39.1 bb)
    Hero (CO): $220 (110 bb)
    BTN: $1,019.57 (509.8 bb)

    Preflop: Hero is CO with T T
    UTG raises to $6, MP folds, Hero raises to $18, 3 folds, UTG calls $12

    Flop: ($39) T K J (2 players)
    UTG checks, Hero bets $19.50, UTG raises to $49, Hero calls $29.50

    Turn: ($137) 6 (2 players)
    UTG bets $68.50, Hero folds

    Spoiler:
    Results: $137 pot ($4 rake)
    Final Board: T K J 6
    SB mucked 4 K and lost (-$1 net)
    BB mucked 4 6 and lost (-$2 net)
    UTG showed Q A and won $133 ($66 net)
    MP mucked 5 8 and lostHero mucked T T and lost (-$67 net)
    BTN mucked Q 5 and lost


    09-18-2017 , 09:48 AM
    wow so you had to put him on exactly AQ or JJ. Was he an uber nit?
    09-18-2017 , 10:17 AM
    if that was zone that is very bad fold longterm but spot on this time.
    09-18-2017 , 12:07 PM
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by mrno1324
    wow so you had to put him on exactly AQ or JJ. Was he an uber nit?
    Yes, I put him on AQ/JJ. Readless - zone

    Quote:
    Originally Posted by PokerDividends
    if that was zone that is very bad fold longterm but spot on this time.
    It was zone, and I disagree.
    09-18-2017 , 12:08 PM
    do you use a mixed strat w TT in co v utg? or is this standard / villain specific.. nice lay down
    09-18-2017 , 12:10 PM
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by 72odonkey72
    do you use a mixed strat w TT in co v utg? or is this standard / villain specific.. nice lay down
    I've just been 3betting range @ zone lately. Will re-evaluate later on. Thanks.
    09-18-2017 , 12:32 PM
    Strong fold and well played. I think against a very strong player it's catastrophic but in 200 zone you are saving quite a bit of money here where a raising range is heavily weighted towards value that beats you, nh nh
    09-19-2017 , 08:40 AM
    Amusingly, Snowie says villain's barreling range should be 0.4 combos of AQhh at 100% frequency and 1.2 combos of JJ at 77% frequency. It doesn't barrel with anything you beat....
    ...but it still says you should call. #Sillybot

          
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