lol I didn't know they gave out PHD's in mental game coach meta-analyses. How long did it take you to research every mental game coach on the pro's and cons of making financial goals in life and the catastrophic psychological destruction it causes when those financial goals are not in fact met?

You know what's worse than making a financial goal and then going on a downswing and not meeting said goal?



My new and updated 3 month financial goal...



I'm gonna die now due to the inevitable psychological destruction that will ensue when this goal is not met

How deep was it?


I mostly agree with your analysis, but I think most regs are going to float very wide on this board, so you may as well get some value OTF and then start checking turns more often with hands like this. Like you said earlier, checking this turn a lot seems ideal. Your 3b size is laughably small for 100bb, much less deep.

as much as i'm not here at all for strategy...

this feels like pretty results oriented logic, i don't see how you can magically state KK always 4! while QQ always calls.

we're talking a standard CO vs blind situation, he could easily have JT and you have 65 - there's absolutely no reason to draw a line in the sand here with QQ/KK

you could be right in this situation, but you still gotta avoid this kind of conclusion jumping as it's thinking like this this that backs you into repeating bad decisions where you blame variance on the results

I disagree strongly here. you shouldn't be playing at a stake if you're scared of running top boat into quads and just calling

furthermore, you can't min click it back or anything like that, but the shove could get hero'd and that will happen far more frequently than they have quads, especially since you block one of the potential quad combos, and for every time they have quads they'll also fold a split pot thinking you could have it - irrational fear can go both ways

seriously man, take a day off, you're second guessing yourself worrying about running into quads - you're not in a good place for poker and won't be making optimal decisions under that fear

you're OOP and something that smacks your range hits the flop, any x/c or x/r here sets off alarm bells whereas otherwise it's just a standard cbet

i know you feel strongly about mixing up your opening and 3! sizes but others have already pointed out in the thread why this is probably not ideal as a rule of thumb you're making it much easier for your competent opponents to hand read by using different sizes pre - i can't emphasize enough that this is a very fishy move unless executed properly and given your results you may want to simplify your preflop play

i don't mean that as an insult, i'm saying that if you're going to go strongly against convention, you better have a win rate to validate it - you don't at this moment

wish you win some blinds and get that rocher!

funny I never said that.

What is the relevance of villains JT combo's here?

lol avoiding a conclusion from a strawman you made up

how am I blocking quad combo's with AQ? lmfao

regs are going to fold an A bc they think I 3 bet 44 and I am now x jamming riv?

You do realize I said directly a few pages back I stopped opening different sizes? And where did you get the impression I feel strongly about mixing 3 bet sizes vs regs? And where did you get the impression I mix my 3bet sizes?



ex coach, 2 other winning midstakes players and a solver said jamming is pointless.

I think you should keep to your snappy one liners lmfao

you should send me rocher money for making me read all your strawmen damnit

$5 will do - and I'll throw in a free ASMR video of me eating them

^^^ really want that rocher money I'm in withdraw and gotta pay rent tomorrow

1.) Solver suggests cbetting range on this board is best. However vs slightly fishier villains like a 30/22 I think cbetting things like QJdd or A5ss might be too much.

2.) What do we do if we get raised? Well it definitely sucks but vs balanced regs I suppose we should be calling - TT that unblock FD and BDFD would be best such as TsTd etc. Villain should know we have a lot of Kx and 98s/99 so it's not like they are gonna bluff the turn a lot so we can safely x-fold after we call the flop raise.

3.) What is the EV of x calling turn if villain bets? (not vs villain flop raise scenario) Surprisingly vs 3/4 pot it's B/E with the perfect suits. Would have thought it to be clearly +EV. Interesting. Vs a 1/3 turn bet we jump to +6 ev with perfect suits and +2 with all other suits. So we are definitely looking for villain to bet smaller however I don't think we should fold TT even vs larger sizings. Especially weaker players they can merging with A9s/Q9s at some frequencies.

4.) How much Kx do we expect villain to have on river after x'ing back turn? My assumption would be not a lot. If I was them I would be value betting KQ almost 100%, KJ/KT I would most likely mix. Solver likes offsuit KQ to bet more often when holding suits that unblock the flush draws and it likes 3/4 pot. Surprisingly KJ bets only 20% of the time and KT never bets. Vs weaker villains I'm always betting those as exploit.

5.) What sizing is optimal on the river with TT. It felt like a clear value bet and after running solver I am more confident in this fact. But what is the EV of a VB with TT here? We have 77% equity vs villain's range and EV is 25 - pretty significant. I gave the options of 1/3 and 3/4 otr and 1/3 is favored highly but 3/4 probably isn't a mistake either unless we think fish is extremely passive and flats QQ/AK preflop.

6.) What do we do if villain jams on us? Throw up I guess. Vs the most competent regs I would call it off with suits that unblock all flush draws. Solver agrees with this folding 50% and calling 50% of TT vs jam after a villain turn x back.

7.) Fish shows up with KQ so I would say they are definitely on the more passive side and the stats eventually aligned with that assumption. With that information I think 1/3 otr is better as they should still have more QQ/JJ/KQ than the average fish.

So in summary I played the hand perfectly according to the solver - but I wanted to get more confidence in situations where the game tree evolves into more rare situations. I think vs weaker players we can actually go bigger otr, even 1/2 pot would give us a lot more EV here.

Small 3bet size was an artefact of my nightmare run - I fixed it once I saw myself doing it too much.

Other artefacts included things such as missing some clear thin value bets and sizing down in situations that were pretty clear jams/overbets etc

But if you do daily HH you can combat these things somewhat even in your worst variance. But also the more variance you have experienced in your life the less you will be pushed towards these things as well I think. That is one advantage of my downswing. It should make me much stronger when facing normal swings in the future.

How many bi are you up since the 200k hand 50 bi downswing?

If I had to guess about 30 - a lot of the hands were not tracked correctly but I'm basing that 30 # on the profits I received from my coach/ex coach/(advisor?)

let's say 30 BI's in the last 65k hands - that's also with a $900 dip I had last night along with 5 of my biggest 400bb+ pots being massive coolers

Such as 5betting a cold 4 bettor with AA 200bb+ deep and flop coming 952r and I find out the little fish ****er cold 4 bet with 99 - that's what I call a cooler. So when I use the term cooler that's the type of **** I mean. Actual coolers. (if anyone was curious)

So still a solid 30 up even after some pretty disgusting hands



Yeah there it is, I'd say it was my worst BB:Hand ratio fall in the past year

I made 1 huge error in that session and 2 smaller errors - lack of sleep, being hungry made me irritable and impatient. But mostly it was just a session where everything that could go bad did and I literally didn't win a single sizable pot for 2,000 hands.

I would say it was also top 3 worst performing sessions for the year. Bottom 2% performance for sure.

But I paid the cleaning lady to clean my room, and before I went to sleep at 11am I reviewed my pots. Slept great woke up at 8pm to a perfectly clean room then started studying/grinding all night again.

GG.

tonight I won a nice 550bb pot at 100NL on A86 with 88 3 way. 3/4 pot, got 2 callers. 3/4 pot again got 2 callers. 3/4 pot otr and 18/7 super passive fish snap jams on an A86AT runout. I threw my glasses and one of the lens popped out but then I calmed down and thought about things.

And it was a pretty easy call after I figured they aren't going to have much A8/A6/AT combo's being 18 vpip so the only logical combo was 66. So he snap jams like 200 over my $70 riv bet - 66 is a fold here but 88 is a call obv

During that downswing for sure this guy would have shown up with AA or the only 1 combo of ATs that he could ever possibly have.

but that hand didn't catch in the converter. That was my biggest pot won in over a month.

Boat over boating someone. Sick brag

LOL, been on both sides of that coin.

riley one of the reg fish that woulda called off the 200bb snap jam with 66 nut low boat ha - prolly also woulda snap jammed it for a 550 bb pot vs a reg who triple bombs the pot 3 way and who also holds 100% of nut combo's ha

Noob, so you didn't like my roommate coaching application I sent?

Beach life Vietnam let's do it!

Well, if you saw some of the combo's these villains are calling down with it's pretty shocking.

Considering this fact it may be more worthwhile to continue looking for thin value with top pair **** kicker or even 2nd pairs vs population for that extra EV instead of bluffing in spots where even regs are calling with pretty laughable stuff. If I think a spot is good for my range and I have blockers to some of the possible nuts then I'll bluff. But I don't think going beyond this is +EV in this pool. Seeing specific villains "fold river" stats is helpful as well. If their fold river is like 70% bluffing is better but if it's 45% like some reg fish or whales have then they're gonna call you with 4th pair and A hi and stuff.

Thin value bets increase your red line. If you are IP and you bet, these stations will mostly call or fold and only raise with the nuts. In this scenario, the blue or red line go up. If you just check back thin value, you can only increase blue line.

9 coins, 4 hours sessions. Starting Midnight on Friday and will remove one coin every time a 4 hour session is finished.

Shaved my 12 tables to 11. Might go down to 10 tables. I think that will be my sweet spot. Finally fixed all the hotkey software issues as it was ****in my **** up big time. Lost a good $500-$600 in the last week just from getting that to work perfect/efficient - the developer has done 3 teamviewer sessions with me.

LET'S ****ING GO

fuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuu&*)(*()*)(* ()*()*

software is down

RIP

debating to sleep or study, which is higher EV?

Just curious, you using Poker Minion or something similar? I was debating Minion, but it seems a bit difficult to figure out and use for maybe not that much value.

Cool plan with the coins. There should be some kind of small penalty if you don't honor the time limit and go beyond 4h5m.

Makes complete sense but since it's not in accordance with OP's thought process I'm sure it will get completely looked over. OP is in complete denial over numerous subjects and whatever his mind thinks is of course the correct answer to the problem.

lol more ****ing idiots

OP literally said only a couple posts back that he should look for more thin value bets as he believes population is underfolding and overcalling

Micro Donk then says that thin value bets increase red line

cneuy the new thread ****** attempts to imply that OP will completely look over and be in denial with the concept of thin value betting to increase red line.

cneuy the new thread ****** also mentions that OP is in denial over numerous subjects but does not mention even 1 out of this multiplicity.

Lmfao some of you guys are just memes at this point.

Waited all night to get back on the software - finally fell asleep - then 2 hours into my session my power went out

So in past times I may have been tempted to cram the goal of 36 hours into the remaining 3 day weekend. Now I realize this would just be pointless.

What I'll do is just document how many hours were lost and replenish those hours slowly throughout the rest of the month.

let's say 10 hours missed. 12 weekdays left in the month.

So I'll add 1 extra hour of grinding per weekday to compensate.



Hopefully no more shenanigans occur. Removed 2 coins have 7 left.

I'll offer 555:1 if anyone genuinely wants to place bets on this... Pm me.

minus $1400 so far this weekend, 2 coins left. RIP. Still can't beat 50 vpips lol







also lost AA vs QQ 400 BB pot run it twice, lost both runs but that HH didn't catch

The above is just a sample of what I went through last 2 days lol

GG.

Gotta keep head high and keep pushing through until this curse lifts.