Have zero kids problem solved.

wp.

You don't have to sell all of it. Just lower it to a still super aggro but way smaller % of your overall net worth. Like 30%. If it keeps going up like crazy then continue to reallocate whenever it goes up a solid big chunk again. If it does end up having a massive correction you can take some of that $ and buy some back at a lower price. If it keeps going up and doesn't have a huge correction yeah that sucks but no one knows the future. It's good to gamble on something you believe in but once it becomes a meaningful chunk of $ to your life reallocating seems like the play. Some prefer to yolo though so to each their own.

Yeah looks like solid advice. Think I'll prob sell some off in Jan just to be safe.

Excellent results recently mate, keep it up!

Re. BTC, we've discussed this elsewhere, but agree that best course of action for you (given your short term financial goals) is to sell a portion of your coins and either profit take or diversify into other alt coins, so that you at least have some coverage in the event BTC undergoes a big correction.

Good chance that your long term ROI with that money is actually higher in soft live 5/10 games anyway.

Cheers Mark, definitely going to heed your advice - will sell some off before Aussie Millions in January I recon.

Just a note of caution on BTC: it will list for the first time on the CME/CBOE starting Monday, December 11th. Many people are saying that the big hedge funds will immediately short the stock, making big bets that it will fall in value. Effectively all the little people who bought BTC and ran it up will risk losing all their profits to rich hedge funds if they don't sell soon.

It may not happen; the hedge funds may be wrong.

But hoping to hang-on until mid-January cash-out may be a little too risky.

Yeah it's definitely a risk. From what I've read, the futures stuff shouldn't really affect price too much. Think I'm willing to risk it for another month or so and whether it tanks or goes up we'll just have to cross our fingers. If it gets back to $25k AUD I'll sell off before January otherwise will just wait and see how we're doing. Not sure I can be assed going through the selling process tomorrow tbh.

You're right though, it's a huge sweat ATM. :')

Was there last night, can confirm haha

Not enough consideration as to holding BTC longterm because imo it's too difficult to predict short term swings. I would either just add to BTC position and potentially start creating a different portfolio as well, likely in the financial market.

Yeeeahh, I really don't want to give it up that's for sure. I'm really in no way to be investing in anything atm since I need so much cash on hand for bankroll stuff esp if I'm to move up to 5/10 soon.

Daily Review - Saturday 9/12

Hours Played: 7.3
Profit: -$516

Annoying session today because we were at a really good table all night but really wasn't given hands or boards at the right time to capitalise on the spastics at the table. I was up about $200 until the last hand of the night as recounted below...

MP ($200) limps, hero ($800) $30 AJdd from CO, SB ($700) CCs, MP calls.
Flop $95: J85cc
SB has been playing very loose and I've seen him over value top pair twice tonight already.
SB leads $50, MP calls, Hero raises $185
I like the raise because the board's wet and we pretty much always have the best hand. MP didn't see where the BTN was and "checked" before the SB bet as well so I'm fairly sure he can't be strong.
SB thinks for a bit then decides to JAM for $660 or so total and MP calls off for $170 total. It's $475 for us to call. I still can't really ever see how we're behind or how we can raise fold vs SB who's probably about ready to go to bed. I'm thinking it's very likely we're chopping w/ AJ here or he has PPNFD or something. I call it off and turns out he had KK. Never even crossed my mind that he could ever have slowplays here lol.

Still fairly happy with how I played that one given how bad villain's been playing and how hard it is for me to be behind there. MP had A8o btw. Very frustrating because it was $730 or so effective but I'm not sure we can play it any different. After the hand it feeeeels like a bit of a punt off but looking back, writing it down, and analyzing it like this really helps give me peace of mind/closure. I'm confident I didn't make a mistake in this hand and that I played it to the best of my ability. Too much spazzyness going on a 3am to ever be raise/folding such a wet board.

Also very happy with my patience and discpline tonight, folding through my terrible card distribution while other regs/pros were eating the fish all night.
=========

Didn't feel like going to the gym today which is slack af. I'm going to get some sleep now and then make sure I get a good gym session in tomorrow before another good grind so I can take Monday off and feel like I deserve it.

Also, bonus hand:

Limp, limp, hero $30 in CO w/ AJo, first limper calls
Flop 89Qdd
x, hero $40, call
Turn: Qo
x, x
River: Kddd
x, hero $115, fold... guy said he had 55 like lolwtf fold the flop idiot

Night yall <3

AJ is sigh/fine given reads. Bottom of my gii range. Don't second guess too much

AJ hand WP imo.

FYI, I've been angle-shot by out of turn checks a few times recently. It seems to be a popular move. Called the floor twice and both times they gave the guys passes, even one time when villain was last to act on the river with top set where he is NEVER checking behind.

Beware the out of turn check!

I played against a player Friday night. Something missing in his brain methinks. Anyways, he flats an EP preflop raise. BTN shoves for like $30. EP 4bets to $130. This player flats. Flop is 554, EP jams for ~$200 and player calls. Player has KK. I wouldn't pay too much attention to it though, happens so infrequently.

Yeah you're right. Kinda hard for me to have done anything different in hindsight but at the time it feels gross after playing solid 8 hours, knowing you're going home in 30 mins and have a decent little profit only to dust it all off!

That's poker though folks :')

Thank you for confirming. It's hard to know sometimes with the hands that I post whether I'll throw them in here and get eaten for my play or everyone approves. When posting this one I was less sure but I'm glad for you guys who post even just to say I didn't make a stupidly horrendous mistake. So I preciate that.

Yeah I generally try to keep an eye out for it but wasn't toooooo fussed because I knew the side pot would be more important in this hand. Most people in my room are too ******ed to even know theyre angling when they are!

Yeah definitely. Like slowplaying big pairs is so bad but occasionally the moons align and they absolutely dominate people for huge mw pots.

As much as this one stung, happy to just brush it off and get on with it.

Circadian Rhythms

This **** usually doesn't get to me but I wanted to make a quick post about how hard it can be at times when you're nocturnal. I went home after the casino session on Saturday night, hand probably one too many coffees during that session that evening, anyway went to bed at maybe 6am as the sun's coming up. I set an alarm for 2:30pm knowing full well I won't get more than 3 hours quality sleep after accidentally double dosing on the coffees. So 2:30pm Sunday rolls around, I feel like absolute trash so snooze for an hour. Then another hour. "Oh I'll get up at 5 and go to the gym then get to the casino late". But come 5pm trying to wake yourself up when you're in that limbo like state of overtiredness, maybe just starting to get some sleep after lying there for so long, man it is soooo difficult to get out of bed at that time some days. When your rhythms are just soooo out of wack. Like getting out of bed at 3-4am for work on a normal schedule is so much easier than trying to get up then was. And so maybe once a month I'll find myself in this spot and just say fk it, and won't get out of bed at all til the next morning. So I'm sitting here now early on Monday morning having been in bed from about 5am on Saturday night. I lost a whole Sunday. I planned on playing yesterday so now I'm behind on volume and I HATE getting behind on volume because amateurs do that and I'm taking this thing seriously. So now I need to magically manifest a whole new day somehow in which I can play a session to make up for the time lost. Feel pretty cruddy rn because today was supposed to be my day off that I could just relax and enjoy being by myself. But I've not gone to the gym in 2-3 days and I've been by myself literally alone in my room for 24 hours. I feel as though I would enjoy my days off if I knew A) I was on track volume wise and B) I was in good shape because I've been hitting the gym properly and eating right and I was well rested. But instead I'm here at this cafe totally feeling like I haven't earnt it. Walk past the construction workers across the road who have been doing HARD physical work out in the humidity for probably hours already and it's only 7am... Just feeling like a fraud really.

All that said, I'll walk to the library now still extremely happy and grateful that I can do this sorta **** and still survive - grateful as fk that I don't have to put on the high vis and steel caps anymore. But at some stage, I need to kick myself in the ass and get back to work and shape up because if I start making a habit out of lapsing like this, even just once a month, it's totally piss poor and unprofessional.

Today I'm going to try to enjoy the rest of my day off. Drink some coffee and read a book, go to the gym, wash my sheets, and then establish a revised weekly outlook later tonight. That'll involve reallocating some time on Tuesday/wed for time lost yesterday and refreshing some of those habits I said I was going to break last month.

I've worked about 12 months of the last 24 months on a night shift with 12 hrs as a schedule.

Yes, it sucks.

Probably average 3-4 hrs of good sleep when I do that.

I deadset have no fkn idea how you do it man. Do you workout at all? I'm trying my best to be healthy but it kinda doesn't matter what I do in the gym or eat if im only getting 3-4 hours sleep a night. There's just no way your body can recover and repair if that becomes a habit. I'm a pretty strong believer in the correlation between physical and mental health. And then mental health wrt playing optimal poker (esp in a live environment). Obv my situation is quite different to yours and whatnot. Take my hat off to ya if you can do that grind and still be happy man.

Daily Update - Mon 11/12

Hours Played: 9.7
Profit: $244

Decided I would be productive today after all! Played in one of the juiciest 5/5 games I've ever played in. Was absolutely hilarious table. Played decent overall but was once again unable to win any big hands against the fish.

Tomorrow I've got lunch with dad and then going to probably try play a bit in the arvo or possibly take it off. There's a $300 rebuy liveament a block over from my apartment in the evening so maybe I'll fire that? Idk.

Interesting hand between me and a reg the other night. Player appears quite loose but I've only played with him a couple times. 5/5.

Limp, limp, villain $35 from LJ, hero $105 W/ KQo from HJ, only villain calls
Flop: A82r
V checks, hero cbets $80, villain raises $260, hero folds, villain shows AA.

He asked me a few hands later whether I had TT or not, I was like lol no. And he tried to explain his logic behind his flop play. I tried explaining how bad it was but he evidently thought he was a genius still. Ah well.

Dont!

But he was so arrogantly convinced he was good too! :'(

I know Ive sinned so many times in live games in that regard.

Just recently I participated in one.
Game was 1-2 with a mandatory straddle to 5 (euro).
CO (loose pre, very passive post opened to 20ish - BTN calls, SB, calls I (inBB) A5 sqz to 90, Straddle folds, CO calls, fold, fold.

We have some 1800ish behind.
Flop comes A95
I bet around 130 and he raises me to 350. I tank for a bit but I already know
what I am going to do. That is a guy who never showed a bluff and since
his value range crushes me and there arent even good turns/rivers
I announce one of the sickest folds of my life and show my hand - hoping
he does the same. He shows 74 and everybody starts
making fun of me

For the next 5 minutes I try explaining the reasoning behind the fold..
and then I realise: WTF R U DOING MAN??
Like I need the recognition of some 45/35/5 amateur.
Everyone thought I was scared money and that bothered me but why for
**** sake should I care about what they think in first place.

Its just best to shut up but its so hard to stay quiet during these long live
sessions - and thats why I hate it.
Every time I come home from a live game I say ill never go again.
Yet 3-4 times the year I do - just to get same conclusion.

How do you fight the boredom when the seemingly endless run of 92o and T4o kicks in?

Absolutely brutal stuff lol. Couple things tho, I prefer in LLSNL games to overcall the A5s pre - it's something online players under-adjust with imo. This hand really benefits from going multiway and stacking worse flushes or stacking sets with wheels. Flop though, I fully understand your logic. By no means do I hate the fold either. I know for a fact though most of the population will severely overplay AXhh on this board. And some will even just raise AK here. Think I'll just have to sigh go with it with the A5 here. Sucks being that deep tho and I really never play that deep.

But as you say, definitely don't look for validation from these monkeys man. They're deadset animals half of em lmao.

Re your last question, there's not a whole lot you can do other than just sit there, be bored and patient, and fold for hours on end. I try to enter a meditative like state. Or do **** on my phone. They won't even let you use headphones in this casino so I've had to become really good at being card dead and remaining sane. It's hard but you get used to it..

Daily Update - Wed 13/12

Hours Played: 7.5
Profit: $915

Today's 5/5 session had all the makings of a verrrry big winning session... if only I could run a little more pure... The two biggest hands I've ever played have been $2400 pots and I've lost them both! Here was today's one!

MP ($40) opens $15, CO ($1150) calls, Hero OTB raises $75 w/ JJ, SB calls all-in for $40, MP calls all-in for $40, and CO calls $75.
Flop $230: J75dd
Check, hero cbets $115, call.
Turn $460: To
Check, hero bets $365, villain jams for $950 total, hero snap calls and we lose to Q8dd on the river.

Very frustrating to lose such a big pot with our opponent sitting on only 23% equity. Would have been a reeeeally nice session if I could sink that one... This was vs villain who xr top set the other night on an A82r lmao...

Hand 2

3 limps, Hero $35 in SB w/ AKo, CO calls (villain is limp calling EXTREMELY wide)
Flop $80: A34r
Hero bets $65 thinking villain has about $265 behind, villain calls.
Turn $210: 4o
Hero now realising villain had about $400 behind bets $100, villain calls.
River $410: 7o
Hero now realising villain ACTUALLY had $500 to start the hand with bets $225, villain jams for $315 total.

Woof. Super gross spot because I honestly never expect this guy (super LP pre but still OMC) to have any bluffs here. That said, it's $95 to win a $1k pot, can't really fold - might be enough spazz factor here occasionally.

We call and he shows 46s. This was an OMC who thought "3betting" was when you open to $15 and that a set was trips. :"D Gotta love it.

Hand 3

Couple limpers, hero overlimps J9o in CO, 5 to flop.
Flop: TTQdd
MP limper leads $20, hero calls
Turn: Addhh
MP checks, hero bets $40, villain calls
River: 2o
MP checks, hero bets $115, villain calls and we lose to TJs.

I think I should just take the free card here. Bluffing turn is probably fine if we think it gets him to fold Qx 100% of the time. That's what I thought he'd fold. And if that's the case we should never bluff river because hiss range is Tx. For some reason I felt as though he had a stubborn Qx on the river but in actuality this is just a terrible spew and we should get better at poker.

Hand 4

Vs Muppet
Hero x A7o in BB, 5 to flop.
Flop: 727r
x to MP who bets $25, hero only caller.
Turn: 3dd
x to MP who bets $65, hero raises to $180, call.
River: Qddd
Annoying af river but we vbet $325, v calls and MHIG.

================================================

Today was a morning shift grind btw. Don't usually do mornings but body clock allowed for it today and it was a decent enough table all day. Will prob try grind morning again tomorrow tbh and finish the week out strong!