Grinding up a bankroll to move to Vegas
10-30-2011
, 05:26 AM
I played 3 hrs today and won $50. Played a short session after checking out a couple rooms for rent. Still getting killed by turns and rivers but it what it is. I have to remind myself when running bad- poker doesn't seem fair but it is fair. Probabilty is absolutely impartial. Variance just camoflauges the skilled players and lets the weak players enjoy the occasional win which is obviously neccessary or the poker economy would collapse.
I found a nice room that is a 15 walk from the Oaks. I'll be moving in on the 1st.
On the J6 hand I was thinking about the previous session when I didn't lay a bad enough price for villlains to draw. On the flop I am confident I have the best hand so I bet pot and still got 3 callers. On the turn I wanted to charge the draws the max so I bet pot again, didn't really have any reason to believe the 3 changed anything.
Now when I get c/r by the tight player I am obviously feeling sick and know I am behind most of the time. It was a gross spot, if I had 76 I could muck it but I only need about 25% equity to jam.
In the 1010 hand, there is no chance villain on my right is limping along with JJ+, there is only a tiny chance sb smooth called with JJ or QQ and would always 3bet KK+ I've play with him before. I don't give too much weight to tells either unless I am undecided with all other info. I always take into account bet sizing and cadence. I have found some tells to be highly reliable though.
I didn't 3bet the flop it was the first raise. Both villains were spewing chips in the preceding hands and my hand is certainly strong enough to accept some donations.
Thanks for you thoughts.
Definitely borderline/ gross spot. Folding wouldn't be terrible. I kind of wonder if villain is coming along if he doesn't hit the 3.
I need to play 2 more full days to close out the month and hit 100, lets do it.
October 2011
Total hours played- 85.5
Pace- 94
Average hourly winrate- $7
Winnings- $607
2011 YTD
Total hours played- 747.5
Average hourly winrate- $13
Winnings- $9382
I found a nice room that is a 15 walk from the Oaks. I'll be moving in on the 1st.
Quote:
With the J6 hand, you bet too big on the flop and the turn and got stuck to call the AI on the turn. You could have bet a little smaller on the flop like $10 and alot smaller on the turn like $25 to control the pot size. As played you had no choice but to call on the turn. You could just c/c each streak, which is what I would have done. That's why i hate to play in the SB and BB. I almost never ever call in the SB just to complete pre if there is no raise bc I see no point in paying another $1 or another $3 in a 2/5 game just to see the flop. I realize this J6 hand you were in the BB so you had no choice but to call pre. I actually like it when people raise my blinds so I can just fold and stay out of trouble, or alternatively make a play and 3-bet to take it down. hihihh
As for the TT hand, you made the right play but got the wrong result. However, IMO in small stakes poker, reading your opponent is way way over-rated. IMO, what's more important is bet sizing, not physical tells. Villain could easily have JJ, QQ or a dry 8 with that big bet on the flop. You obviously made the right play by 3-betting on the flop. I play my hand closer to the vest so I would have probably folded here and wait for a better spot. But that's just me.
As for the TT hand, you made the right play but got the wrong result. However, IMO in small stakes poker, reading your opponent is way way over-rated. IMO, what's more important is bet sizing, not physical tells. Villain could easily have JJ, QQ or a dry 8 with that big bet on the flop. You obviously made the right play by 3-betting on the flop. I play my hand closer to the vest so I would have probably folded here and wait for a better spot. But that's just me.
Now when I get c/r by the tight player I am obviously feeling sick and know I am behind most of the time. It was a gross spot, if I had 76 I could muck it but I only need about 25% equity to jam.
In the 1010 hand, there is no chance villain on my right is limping along with JJ+, there is only a tiny chance sb smooth called with JJ or QQ and would always 3bet KK+ I've play with him before. I don't give too much weight to tells either unless I am undecided with all other info. I always take into account bet sizing and cadence. I have found some tells to be highly reliable though.
I didn't 3bet the flop it was the first raise. Both villains were spewing chips in the preceding hands and my hand is certainly strong enough to accept some donations.
Thanks for you thoughts.
Quote:
I don't quite understand the math around the savings here if he's betting smaller. As played, he stuck $90 into the pot (flop+turn), rather than if, as you say, $40 (f+t) would be a $50 savings, but how does that make him less pot committed? Also, with $75 on the turn, betting 1/3, or $25, would give villain 4:1 for a turn call; good odds?
As for villain's call on the flop, and the raise on the turn, 99 was my first guess for him. You flopped "trips", not a "set", a big difference, and this is always worse. If he had 99, however, he's already flopped a Boat.
It sounds like your gut was telling you that you were beat (based on your knowledge of this foe). The gut is often correct, imo.
As for villain's call on the flop, and the raise on the turn, 99 was my first guess for him. You flopped "trips", not a "set", a big difference, and this is always worse. If he had 99, however, he's already flopped a Boat.
It sounds like your gut was telling you that you were beat (based on your knowledge of this foe). The gut is often correct, imo.
I need to play 2 more full days to close out the month and hit 100, lets do it.
October 2011
Total hours played- 85.5
Pace- 94
Average hourly winrate- $7
Winnings- $607
2011 YTD
Total hours played- 747.5
Average hourly winrate- $13
Winnings- $9382
10-31-2011
, 02:57 PM
11-01-2011
, 06:43 PM
I played 9 hrs today and lost $198. I hit 100 hrs this month which is good, but I'm running like **** and am not winning showdowns. I really can't complain about running bad because I still had a little winnings to show for my effort and it was as bad as July. I'll take 222 profit and be happy with it.
In November instead of trying to catch up to pace I am going to stay ahead of pace for once. Going to shoot for 160 hrs as usual and I won't be adjusting my target downward as I have in past months.
I am moving today and should be back on the grind tomorrow.
Graph for October
Graph for 2011
I'm going to be living in Oakland for a few months, still planning to move out to Vegas in April.
October 2011
Total hours played- 100
Pace- 100
Average hourly winrate- $2
Winnings- $222
2011 YTD
Total hours played- 762.5
Average hourly winrate- $12
Winnings- $8997
In November instead of trying to catch up to pace I am going to stay ahead of pace for once. Going to shoot for 160 hrs as usual and I won't be adjusting my target downward as I have in past months.
I am moving today and should be back on the grind tomorrow.
Graph for October
Graph for 2011
I'm going to be living in Oakland for a few months, still planning to move out to Vegas in April.
October 2011
Total hours played- 100
Pace- 100
Average hourly winrate- $2
Winnings- $222
2011 YTD
Total hours played- 762.5
Average hourly winrate- $12
Winnings- $8997
11-02-2011
, 05:24 PM
11-03-2011
, 01:36 AM
11-03-2011
, 01:48 AM
11-03-2011
, 01:56 AM
11-03-2011
, 01:57 AM
11-03-2011
, 02:31 AM
11-03-2011
, 02:52 AM
11-03-2011
, 03:18 AM
11-04-2011
, 03:21 AM
11-04-2011
, 02:00 PM
11-06-2011
, 03:11 AM
11-07-2011
, 05:40 AM
I played 10 hrs today and lost $202. I was ice cold and couldn't make any hands. With the cards I was dealt, only dropping a buy in was probably about the best I could have done.
I have internet in my room now so I don't have to update from my phone.
Here is one hand I played-
I pick up 10
10
and open to 10 over 1 limp. I get 4 calls. Effective stacks 200.
Flop- 6
4
4
Seems like a pretty good flop for my hand I bet 35 into 47 and get 1 lp caller.
Turn- 7
Not thrilled with my hand but I still bet out 50 into 117 and he calls pretty quickly.
River- 5
Terrible card putting a 4 card straight and 3 flush. I still can't beat any 4 or over pair. I check and he says "that is a sign of weakness" and he bets 75. I actually tanked for awhile even though this should be a relatively easy fold. It was just hard because that was the best spot I got all day. I don't think he could be bluffing here so I fold.
I am ahead of pace which is good even though I'm in the red for the month.
November 2011
Total hours played- 33.5
Pace- 32
Average hourly winrate- $5
Winnings- $167
2011 YTD
Total hours played- 796
Average hourly winrate- $11
Winnings- $8830
I have internet in my room now so I don't have to update from my phone.
Here is one hand I played-
I pick up 10
10 and open to 10 over 1 limp. I get 4 calls. Effective stacks 200.Flop- 6
44Seems like a pretty good flop for my hand I bet 35 into 47 and get 1 lp caller.
Turn- 7
Not thrilled with my hand but I still bet out 50 into 117 and he calls pretty quickly.
River- 5
Terrible card putting a 4 card straight and 3 flush. I still can't beat any 4 or over pair. I check and he says "that is a sign of weakness" and he bets 75. I actually tanked for awhile even though this should be a relatively easy fold. It was just hard because that was the best spot I got all day. I don't think he could be bluffing here so I fold.
I am ahead of pace which is good even though I'm in the red for the month.
November 2011
Total hours played- 33.5
Pace- 32
Average hourly winrate- $5
Winnings- $167
2011 YTD
Total hours played- 796
Average hourly winrate- $11
Winnings- $8830
11-07-2011
, 02:44 PM
Nice thread, wish you the best with everything and hope you will reach your goals,
Indeed, no bluff here, V's minispeach imply he wants you to call IMO
Quote:
Here is one hand I played-
I pick up 1010 and open to 10 over 1 limp. I get 4 calls. Effective stacks 200.
Flop- 644
Seems like a pretty good flop for my hand I bet 35 into 47 and get 1 lp caller.
Turn- 7
Not thrilled with my hand but I still bet out 50 into 117 and he calls pretty quickly.
River- 5
Terrible card putting a 4 card straight and 3 flush. I still can't beat any 4 or over pair. I check and he says "that is a sign of weakness" and he bets 75. I actually tanked for awhile even though this should be a relatively easy fold. It was just hard because that was the best spot I got all day. I don't think he could be bluffing here so I fold.
I pick up 10
10 and open to 10 over 1 limp. I get 4 calls. Effective stacks 200.Flop- 6
44Seems like a pretty good flop for my hand I bet 35 into 47 and get 1 lp caller.
Turn- 7
Not thrilled with my hand but I still bet out 50 into 117 and he calls pretty quickly.
River- 5
Terrible card putting a 4 card straight and 3 flush. I still can't beat any 4 or over pair. I check and he says "that is a sign of weakness" and he bets 75. I actually tanked for awhile even though this should be a relatively easy fold. It was just hard because that was the best spot I got all day. I don't think he could be bluffing here so I fold.