I played 3 hrs today and won
$50. Played a short session after checking out a couple rooms for rent. Still getting killed by turns and rivers but it what it is. I have to remind myself when running bad- poker doesn't seem fair but it is fair. Probabilty is absolutely impartial. Variance just camoflauges the skilled players and lets the weak players enjoy the occasional win which is obviously neccessary or the poker economy would collapse.
I found a nice room that is a 15 walk from the Oaks. I'll be moving in on the 1st.
Quote:
Originally Posted by the_quiet_assassin
With the J6 hand, you bet too big on the flop and the turn and got stuck to call the AI on the turn. You could have bet a little smaller on the flop like $10 and alot smaller on the turn like $25 to control the pot size. As played you had no choice but to call on the turn. You could just c/c each streak, which is what I would have done. That's why i hate to play in the SB and BB. I almost never ever call in the SB just to complete pre if there is no raise bc I see no point in paying another $1 or another $3 in a 2/5 game just to see the flop. I realize this J6 hand you were in the BB so you had no choice but to call pre. I actually like it when people raise my blinds so I can just fold and stay out of trouble, or alternatively make a play and 3-bet to take it down. hihihh
As for the TT hand, you made the right play but got the wrong result. However, IMO in small stakes poker, reading your opponent is way way over-rated. IMO, what's more important is bet sizing, not physical tells. Villain could easily have JJ, QQ or a dry 8 with that big bet on the flop. You obviously made the right play by 3-betting on the flop. I play my hand closer to the vest so I would have probably folded here and wait for a better spot. But that's just me.
On the J6 hand I was thinking about the previous session when I didn't lay a bad enough price for villlains to draw. On the flop I am confident I have the best hand so I bet pot and still got 3 callers. On the turn I wanted to charge the draws the max so I bet pot again, didn't really have any reason to believe the 3 changed anything.
Now when I get c/r by the tight player I am obviously feeling sick and know I am behind most of the time. It was a gross spot, if I had 76 I could muck it but I only need about 25% equity to jam.
In the 1010 hand, there is no chance villain on my right is limping along with JJ+, there is only a tiny chance sb smooth called with JJ or QQ and would always 3bet KK+ I've play with him before. I don't give too much weight to tells either unless I am undecided with all other info. I always take into account bet sizing and cadence. I have found some tells to be highly reliable though.
I didn't 3bet the flop it was the first raise. Both villains were spewing chips in the preceding hands and my hand is certainly strong enough to accept some donations.
Thanks for you thoughts.
Quote:
Originally Posted by grancojones
I don't quite understand the math around the savings here if he's betting smaller. As played, he stuck $90 into the pot (flop+turn), rather than if, as you say, $40 (f+t) would be a $50 savings, but how does that make him less pot committed? Also, with $75 on the turn, betting 1/3, or $25, would give villain 4:1 for a turn call; good odds?
As for villain's call on the flop, and the raise on the turn, 99 was my first guess for him. You flopped "trips", not a "set", a big difference, and this is always worse. If he had 99, however, he's already flopped a Boat.
It sounds like your gut was telling you that you were beat (based on your knowledge of this foe). The gut is often correct, imo.
Definitely borderline/ gross spot. Folding wouldn't be terrible. I kind of wonder if villain is coming along if he doesn't hit the 3.
I need to play 2 more full days to close out the month and hit 100, lets do it.
October 2011
Total hours played- 85.5
Pace- 94
Average hourly winrate-
$7
Winnings-
$607
2011 YTD
Total hours played- 747.5
Average hourly winrate-
$13
Winnings-
$9382