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Former APT Champ/crusher turned degen idiot trying to make a comeback Former APT Champ/crusher turned degen idiot trying to make a comeback

03-22-2020 , 01:03 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Quaddeuce
Decisions decisions. Also I created a website for my pokerbros agenting. Games are insane right now with no live poker. Can I post it here? Or will I get banned for shilling?
Pretty sure you cannot post a link, but you can ask peeps to PM you, for example, I believe... Pretty delicate on the poker game front and you be you, but not sure how stronger measures of mandatory isolation in the USA when it will be by FAR the most devastated country by this pandemic It is a shame that it happened during Trump's tenure (I would DEFINITELY take the Dem's side now ), as the country was the least ready for this imminent threat
Former APT Champ/crusher turned degen idiot trying to make a comeback Quote
03-22-2020 , 01:24 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Quaddeuce
I'm trying to think of reasons not to place the bet. This is probably the most likely reason I can come up with.

Other reasons:

1) Coronavirus wreaks havoc in USA and people start to resent Trump for not taking action sooner/calling it a hoax in the beginning.
2) The economy takes a huge **** either because of coronavirus or other factors and Trumps favorability plummets with the stock market.

I think both of these scenarios are plausible. Probably won't bet it now actually. Although, in a vacuum, if you ran the sim 100 times, I think Trump beats Biden enough times out of 100 to make -145 very profitable.

The guy is clearly experiencing cognitive decline (Biden) and probably the early stages of dementia. Trump will destroy him in debates. In a normal year I think it's a slam dunk bet. This is just such a weird year (verge of possible pandemic, verge of economic recession/depression) that I think it makes predicting events like this much riskier. I guess I'll sit this one out. Or maybe just go small (1450 to win 1k?)

Also I agree with you Dub on Bernie vs Trump, but unfortunately I think he has no shot of becoming Dem nominee after today. He was the one I was rooting for Unless something shocking happens, it's going to be Biden.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dubnjoy000
Pretty sure you cannot post a link, but you can ask peeps to PM you, for example, I believe... Pretty delicate on the poker game front and you be you, but not sure how stronger measures of mandatory isolation in the USA when it will be by FAR the most devastated country by this pandemic It is a shame that it happened during Trump's tenure (I would DEFINITELY take the Dem's side now ), as the country was the least ready for this imminent threat
I think Dems are a safe bet right now too. I can't believe I wrote the above post only 17 days ago. Crazy how quickly things can change. Then the coronavirus and economic collapse were just faint whispers. Something to consider but no one actually took seriously. Crazy how in just 17 days both 1 and 2 have come true in spades. Although, I am not a nostradamus because both had already started then. But I don't think most people at the time thought things would get this bad this quickly. Maybe the pandemic, yes, but not the world economy. Not this bad. Craziness. Stay safe mi amigos.
Former APT Champ/crusher turned degen idiot trying to make a comeback Quote
03-22-2020 , 02:11 PM
Yeah, I am happy I was part of the other side that might of dissuaded you from making this bet

Quote:
Originally Posted by Quaddeuce
Stay safe mi amigos.
I am glad that you are happy with your decision to be back on USA soil. I have seen many foreigners - at least from reading online, as all of my friends over here are Latinos, the only 2 foreigners I know stuck around - panic and leave at the last minute. Which, if you do not speak Spanish, is quite understandable. As a reference : everything is in lockdown in Argentina with the army patrolling the streets. If you had a reason to be outside but did not communicate well your intentions with the authority, they would not have the time of day for you.

Stay safe friend, I am VERY concerned with what will happen in the US in the next few months
Former APT Champ/crusher turned degen idiot trying to make a comeback Quote
03-22-2020 , 05:00 PM
Sadly I think Trump has a better chance than we think. Americans are idiots, and last I saw, a majority of Americans approved of the job he's doing battling corona. The media has his back as well and rarely calls him out on his BS so he is able to spin things how he wants.

The USA will hide most of the damage. For example, I think there could easily be 500k to a million deaths from this, but the majority won't be "official" deaths due to corona virus. Even if we hit that #, the official count might be 20k and if this thing passes a month or 2 before the election Trump can claim "victory" and noone will call him out on it.

Predictit has the line at 47% Biden 45% Trump and I think it's probably pretty accurate.
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03-23-2020 , 02:41 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Fossilkid93
Sadly I think Trump has a better chance than we think. Americans are idiots, and last I saw, a majority of Americans approved of the job he's doing battling corona. The media has his back as well and rarely calls him out on his BS so he is able to spin things how he wants.
Agree.

Quote:
The USA will hide most of the damage. For example, I think there could easily be 500k to a million deaths from this, but the majority won't be "official" deaths due to corona virus. Even if we hit that #, the official count might be 20k and if this thing passes a month or 2 before the election Trump can claim "victory" and noone will call him out on it.
Disagree.

Quote:
Predictit has the line at 47% Biden 45% Trump and I think it's probably pretty accurate.
Agree.
Former APT Champ/crusher turned degen idiot trying to make a comeback Quote
03-23-2020 , 05:30 PM
Well folks, I went ahead and bet 3kCAD$ on the Dems binking the November elections I got 1.92x (Republicans are at 1.94x). I would usually take the extra equity of betting on Biden @ 2.07x, but in our present times with that damn virus running around and Biden's age, I felt the added value was actually negative equity in this case
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03-24-2020 , 01:42 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dubnjoy000
Well folks, I went ahead and bet 3kCAD$ on the Dems binking the November elections I got 1.92x (Republicans are at 1.94x). I would usually take the extra equity of betting on Biden @ 2.07x, but in our present times with that damn virus running around and Biden's age, I felt the added value was actually negative equity in this case
GL brother! You have got some balls. I am leaning Dems right now but I still think this could work out in trump's favor. We shall see. Hopefully you run good and not just for the sake of the bet :P
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03-24-2020 , 02:17 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Quaddeuce
GL brother! You have got some balls. I am leaning Dems right now but I still think this could work out in trump's favor. We shall see. Hopefully you run good and not just for the sake of the bet :P
I think I might add another 2k in the next couple of days actually... I don't see the line remaining this good for much longer...
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03-24-2020 , 02:27 AM
On other note, you barely spoke of Colombia... Did you enjoy it? Feel at home somewhat? Stories to tell? Planning on going back one day? Etcetera etc.
Former APT Champ/crusher turned degen idiot trying to make a comeback Quote
03-24-2020 , 07:54 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Quaddeuce
GL brother! You have got some balls. I am leaning Dems right now but I still think this could work out in trump's favor. We shall see. Hopefully you run good and not just for the sake of the bet :P
Just added 2k more on the Dems/Biden

Quote:
Originally Posted by Dubnjoy000
On other note, you barely spoke of Colombia... Did you enjoy it? Feel at home somewhat? Stories to tell? Planning on going back one day? Etcetera etc.
+1
Spoiler:
+2
Spoiler:
+3... +...
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03-27-2020 , 10:21 PM
So I'm thinking about starting to stream myself playing pokerbros and Pppoker on twitch. I have nothing better to do right now, right? Would anybody watch it?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Dubnjoy000
On other note, you barely spoke of Colombia... Did you enjoy it? Feel at home somewhat? Stories to tell? Planning on going back one day? Etcetera etc.
Eh. I don't really have any exciting stories. I basically just played poker and tried to pick up girls every day. Which, by the way, Colombia may have more beautiful women per square inch than any country in the world. I had fun though and I did start to feel at home. I made a few great friends and the people overall are super friendly in Colombia. But to be honest, I would not go back there to live. Visit, yes. But, the next trip I want to be close to a beach. Medellín is very far from the beach for those who don't know and also it's very hard to find an apartment/condo with a swimming pool for some reason??? I felt like I was getting a vitamin D deficiency while there. Medellín is a very beautiful city though. Would definitely recommend it. I'm just more into the beach than I realized before. Next trip I'm planning on a nice beach in mexico somewhere...
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03-29-2020 , 04:13 AM
Made the twitch account and first stream was a success imo. 22 total viewers and 4 subscribers while winning about ~$500 on stream playing pokerbros.
Going to make this a regular thing. Going live again at 6pm PST on twitch if you want to check it out
Twitch.tv/nomad_poker
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03-29-2020 , 06:16 AM
GL man! Watched a bit of the replay and it looks interesting.
Former APT Champ/crusher turned degen idiot trying to make a comeback Quote
03-29-2020 , 11:27 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Fossilkid93
GL man! Watched a bit of the replay and it looks interesting.

Thanks bro I appreciate it! First time ever trying something like this and I'm naturally introverted so it was probably a lil rough haha. But it's like anything else, you suck at first but you keep trying and eventually you get good. So everyone bare with me until then
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04-17-2020 , 08:00 AM
Subbed, love the degen stories and the comebacks with it!
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08-13-2020 , 01:07 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by icho90
Subbed, love the degen stories and the comebacks with it!
Thanks bro <3

I've been debating if I should post an update on this thread or not. I've had a huge personal tragedy recently and not sure if I want to share it publicly yet or not.

So I guess I'll do a mini update until then. Right now I'm staying in California with family, because of the tragedy I need to stay with my family for the immediate future. Otherwise I would be in Mexico right now probably.

Have been playing and agenting on pokerbros in the mean time. Been playing all the biggest PLO games in sapphire, pga, and pod unions. I'm JLAWRENCE73 and KarlMarx69 . If you recognize my SN you know I've been crushing

I want to start streaming on twitch again too. Think it would be pretty entertaining streaming some of these crazy 10/20[4] 5c plo games etc. But its not possible to do from my mom's house. So that will have to wait.
But yeah other than that life is still on the upswing. Covid has probably been a huge blessing in disguise for me. I'm sure I made more since covid started than I would have the entire year Otherwise. Sometimes you come upon roadblocks in life and are forced to adapt and it turns out to be better than the original path you were on.

So that's the update for now. Oh and I bought a new tesla model 3 a few weeks ago. Pretty excited to get it. Real update coming soon. Cheers
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08-13-2020 , 03:16 AM
Hey bro.

You know Im an OG in this thread. And I just want to say that youre an inspiration to me. You rose from the goddamn gutter!

Sorry to hear about your life news. Stay strong bro, whatever it was. Hang tough.

PLO now?
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08-13-2020 , 04:17 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by iluvcats
Hey bro.

You know Im an OG in this thread. And I just want to say that youre an inspiration to me. You rose from the goddamn gutter!

Sorry to hear about your life news. Stay strong bro, whatever it was. Hang tough.

PLO now?
OG for real. Thanks bro

Yeah nothing but plo for me these days. Only time I'll play nlhe is when I play live
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08-13-2020 , 04:22 AM
Over 100k bankroll from $100 saved up from part time subway job?
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08-13-2020 , 04:49 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by harddude
Over 100k bankroll from $100 saved up from part time subway job?
Basically. More or less. Working on the 200k mark now. I came up and quick and am here to stay 💪
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08-13-2020 , 05:11 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Quaddeuce
Basically. More or less. Working on the 200k mark now. I came up and quick and am here to stay 💪
Nice goal.

To get to the point where you are now have you needed to play table games/sports/horses or just straight poker with higher risk bankroll management?
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08-13-2020 , 07:00 AM
Yeah I did some dumb **** and got lucky that helped to boost me. If you go back in the thread you'll see a post of mine about betting like 10k or some absurd amount on the hornets to beat the warriors at the beginning of the season. I was so certain it was THE lock of the century that I wanted to bet even more, but thought that would be "too degen" lol.

The hornets won by like 1 or 2 points. Lol.

That was a huge boost to my bankroll. But I wouldn't recommend trying it. I just run amazing. I look back on that now though and think I was insane. I told my friend yesterday he was an idiot for betting 1k on a baseball game lol.

So I did degen some, on sports betting, on my way up. But, this time, I stayed away from all table games, which were the cause of my bankrolls demises every other time I went busto.

And now I think I'm done with sports betting too. Edges aren't big enough to justify the variance for me. I can put the money to better use at the poker table where my edge is much bigger. But don't get me wrong, if theres a spot like Mayweather vs Connor that comes up, of course im taking it and for a decent chunk probably too...

Then I was able to abuse merges bonus deposit system for a nice chunk before they banned me. So that helped a lot too.. But other than that it was all poker. It's been 100% poker for awhile now..

And yeah I use pretty aggressive BRM. I'm probably not "properly" rolled for the games I play in lol
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08-13-2020 , 11:11 AM
Would you be one to drop at the opportunity to make $6000 a year before taxes with 100k investment? 6% seems to be the magic number in the stock market making money from dividends.

Do it with a million dollars like some people I know your making $60,000 a year.

Real estate is getting you in the red (debt) normally and here in australia anyways its hard to make income from your properties unless you outright own them and that takes years. Most of the time its negatively geared and when tenants don't pay or trash the place costs you even more.

$115 gross a week from dividends is a start though. Something you could do when you hit 200k and take 100k of it and do that.

Also if you wanna trade which you can lose your shirt doing you can make serious money. That's where the real punters are not like the ones in casinos.

Last edited by harddude; 08-13-2020 at 11:17 AM.
Former APT Champ/crusher turned degen idiot trying to make a comeback Quote
08-13-2020 , 11:13 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Quaddeuce
Yeah I did some dumb **** and got lucky that helped to boost me. If you go back in the thread you'll see a post of mine about betting like 10k or some absurd amount on the hornets to beat the warriors at the beginning of the season. I was so certain it was THE lock of the century that I wanted to bet even more, but thought that would be "too degen" lol.
And you almost bet on Trump winning the November elections as well

GL and good to have you back
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08-13-2020 , 02:47 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by harddude
Would you be one to drop at the opportunity to make $6000 a year before taxes with 100k investment? 6% seems to be the magic number in the stock market making money from dividends.

Do it with a million dollars like some people I know your making $60,000 a year.

Real estate is getting you in the red (debt) normally and here in australia anyways its hard to make income from your properties unless you outright own them and that takes years. Most of the time its negatively geared and when tenants don't pay or trash the place costs you even more.

$115 gross a week from dividends is a start though. Something you could do when you hit 200k and take 100k of it and do that.

Also if you wanna trade which you can lose your shirt doing you can make serious money. That's where the real punters are not like the ones in casinos.
Thanks for the info. You have given me something to think about. I'm getting to the point now where I want to start investing so this was good timing.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Dubnjoy000
And you almost bet on Trump winning the November elections as well

GL and good to have you back
Hey bro! <3
I still think he might win haha but less certain of it now. Biden is the clear favorite now for sure. Whatever happens, you got your money in good ol chap
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