Played a bit more today, still getting rekt



I think this is the first time this month I took this line with a bluff , RIP fitzy



Probably only putting in ~6 hours more of grind in 2016. Not doing anything for NYE since I'd rather just spend it chilling at home and not having a hangover

great stuff, good luck

gl in 2017, will be following

To be honest I don't like your shove on River in Hand 1/2 (A7s) you literally beat nothing, and this is way to thin imo. U don't get called by worst ace so why value bet this?

I would like to hear your thoughts on this hand, bc I think this shove must be mistake. Otherwise I would really be interested in being convinced otherwise.

GL!

First, I admit it's thin. Actually, really really thin. But here's my reasoning why this is a value bet.

In order for this to be a profitable jam, villian's calling range needs to have 50% equity or less versus my hand.

Here are the hands I expect villian will be value betting and calling any raise I make on the river as a result of the lines we both have taken up to the river. The numbers in brackets are combination estimations.

Losing calls

Trips with a club blocker:
1) Ax Q I expect it is not a 100% call here, probably a mixed frequency call, perhaps 50% of them? [4combos*.5 = 2]
2) Rare combo of AxK [4 combos possible, ~5% likelyhood of villian flatting it pre so 4*.05 = [ .2 ]

Flushes: KQ , KJ , QJ , K T. All these will peel a 25% pot cb on the flop! Maybe even QT and JT, I'd peel them on occasion too. So call it 4.75combos, but not all will bet the turn when checked to, so I'd hazard a guess at [ 2.5 ]

TOTAL: 4.7

Winning calls

Low pair Boats: 44, 55. The average villian I estimate... probably only defends 33% of these pre vs. a 3B from these positions. So 3combos*2ofeach*33% = [ 2 ]

High Boats: A4s, A5s. This deep, these hands are better off as 4bets rather than flats and it's uncommon these are flatted so I estimated only 25% of each, [(4+4)*.25= [ 2 ]

TOTAL: 4

So Losing Calls = 4.75 ; Winning Calls = 4

4.75 > 4 meaning I should jam

Note, these are all estimations to what I feel the typical population playstyle is. They may be a little conservative, but I honestly feel these are close to accurate

You're right it's very very thin, I think its 50-50% really. Some combinations are highly unlikely like the AxK or the lower flushes but I don't play these stakes so I really don't have a river calling range there.

All I know is that it might be a winning play at your stakes high variance tho, and a losing play at my stakes.

Ty for breaking it down!

Nobody is going to fold a pair in position to a 3 bet 240 bb deep

Thought I'd yolo stream for NYE.

Never done it before, possible I may stream again in the future?

https://www.twitch.tv/fitzyferret

This is what we call a good stream.



Basically a stream of me getting rekt for 3 hours



Got 86 followers on my first stream and it went smoothly. May do another one again, perhaps if I am bored and want a change from the routine grind. Happy new year everyone, I'm off to celebrate it by getting drunk enough to forget this session

WTF, weird guy who checks back set, that must be a fish

Subbed


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Your stream setup was really nice for a first timer. I didn't have time to stick around yesterday but would tune in if I caught you streaming again.

I checked out the stream for 20 mins. Was cool to see 500 zoom, would defo be interested to watch again and I'm sure you will run better the next time.

I think he might be

Haven't posted for a while because for the first week of January I was super ill, I had a fever, cold, man flu thing. Tried playing when I was ill at lower stakes and when I thought I recovered (I was still ill), I played badly at 500zoom. Finally back to A game from the 9th January.

Kind of interesting sessions, on the 9th I lost $4k within 2hours and by the end of the day I was -$250, I count that day as a success . Both yesterday and today I've heatered pretty hard and overall run really well.



Had my biggest winning day ever today, at the end of my session I had $13k in play across 4 tables . Tomorrow I'm taking a slight day off, to go over some hands which I've found interesting and run PIO. I also went over the hands played on my stream and I realised I played absolutely awfully, I wasn't focused at all when playing 4 tables, if I ever do one again it will be with 2 tables. I may do another one soon, but for the mean time I'm planning to play 500z for the next 3 months.

I've just started Boxercise and I'm loving it, really good to smash some pads after a hard session. My mix of the week as well which is pure hype: https://soundcloud.com/commix/studio...or-di-journeys .

Two hands I've found interesting:
#1




# 2 - Best bluff hand, I'm rolling over nuts or near nuts here like 80% of the time

in.

I think I can finally say I'm used to having $3-4k swings a day now. I remember the time where I would never expect to win/lose anymore than 5 buyins in a day. This was when I played fullring with its lack of variance and each day was so easy to grind through. With 500z, its larger variance is making swings beastly in comparison.

Since I posted, I've continued on a good run. Finally getting some redline in there because some of my bluffs are managing to get through!


13evbb last 14.5k

Made some improvements to how I play and think, especially to how I react to particular HUD stats while playing. I have a whiteboard in my house which I'm using to write up a new PIO spot every few days. This newest spot has really opened my eyes on a simple SRP.


I am most likely going to do another stream this month. Maybe next week? Follow me here: https://www.twitch.tv/fitzyferret ; to get an email when I will go live. I'll give a more specific time soon. Also had some thoughts about coaching people, so far I'm thinking I'll only do hourly rates, no staking/deals of sorts. For the mean time though, will continue grinding.

Here's some good ones from the past few days.

#1 oooooo mama



#2 Need to run a sim on this one, but I'm sure this hand will emerge that I need to bluff this every so often

uuuuuber sick QQ hand!

I think I remember you streaming once, was it NYE?

Subbed ofc, gl!

cant wait to see where this goes! glgl

Yes indeed it was. Hopefully I shan't be spewing as much next time . I will be streaming sometime this weekend I expect.

Up another $2k from when I last posted, got coolered a lot though in the last 24hrs. Had my first ever coaching session today which I'm pretty proud of, I haven't coached for a while and I forgot how good of a feeling teaching is.


#1 ) C'mon, I had blockers!



#2 ) I should probably fold some %, but it's rare enough that I roll over NFD here as it is

In again for stream, hope you'll post a reminder on here as well!

Subbed, gl.I missed the first one but would like to watch next one.

Hey bro, good read - subbed. Looking forward to our coaching sessions in near future!

Subbed best of luck man.

OP wrote "Finally getting some redline in there because some of my bluffs are managing to get through!"

How the hell do you execute any bluffs at all when people call massive overshoves with Q8 lulz.

one two test