Decided to look at this thread to get an idea behind the "shenanigans" on PokerStars you mentioned on NVG.
OP, if you could provide one bit of data from your hand histories: please look up all of the times when you had a big pocket overpair to the board, bet (regardless of street), then had your opponent fold.
I ask because you've provided some examples of hands where you value-bet your big pairs, but with your pattern and/or sizing, you're only getting action when you're beat. If you go find all the times when you raised with AA-QQ pre, then got no further value or only one street of value, then you'll have an idea how often they're NOT hitting their long shot hands.
For example, post #511 above. I'm sure you have plenty more instances of hands where you raised pre with AA, got your 1/3-pot bet called on the flop, but had your opponent(s) fold to the $6 river bet. You didn't think twice about it, nor did you bother clipping and posting the hand, because all it meant is that they didn't suck out.
Also, one guy gave you some advice. You thanked him, but it doesn't look like you heeded his words:
Quote:
Originally Posted by Thommehh
Stop raising trash and calling 3bets with them (53s)
Stop coldcalling raises/3bets except from the bb
Stop donkbetting
Stop posting every hand if you want people to actually give you suggestions about your play
Stop cashing out
And if you're not already aware:
1. If you have AK vs. AQ and AT AIPF, you are losing it about half the time. Granted, you're tripling up when you win, so it's certainly +EV. But let's not make it out to be come miracle or conspiracy because you lost one.
2. In that K
K
vs. A
5
hand, once you played for stacks, he had about 32.8 percent equity. Sure, you love that spot in the long run, but you WILL lose it from time to time. That just happened to be one of the times. Go show me all of the times you got it in as a 2-to-1 favorite and won.
And to give you an idea of how often a 32.8 percent shot comes in, consider that...
a) Michael Jordan shot almost exactly that (32.7%) from three-point range during his career. And no, I'm not saying MJ was best known for being a great three-point shooter, but I'm also saying people didn't gasp as if they spotted a rainbow unicorn when one his beyond-the-arc attempts when through the hoop.
b) Rod Carew was inducted into the Baseball Hall of Fame pretty much for his batting average. He didn't hit for power and was an average fielder. It was purely for the frequency of his base hits. How often did he hit safely? 3,053 times in 9,315 at-bats for a batting average of... wait for it... .328, or 32.8 percent. I saw Carew play at two different times in his career. He got hits both times. At no point did I or any other fan suddenly suspect there was some sort of fix on the part of the opposing pitcher, MLB and whatever TV network might have been carrying the game.
c) In 2006, Tiger Woods enjoyed one of his best seasons on the PGA Tour. He only played 15 events but he won eight – including The Open and the PGA Championship. Do you know how often he sank a putt from 10-15 feet away that year? 32.5, slightly less often than A
5
cracks those red kings. Definitely an underdog, but the gallery didn't act like Bigfoot showed up at the Royal Liverpool when Tiger sank such a putt, either.
Anyway, with all of that said, I look forward to seeing those videos.