Update #16: 18.11.18 - 25.11.18
This weekend I had a futsal tournament in the capital and I could not trade much. I did place some bets though.
I will be probably posting some videos later
There are a couple of updates I wanted to share too but I will start with posting the results first.
Poker: Oh poker... I will be posting some videos and explaining some hands so you know the kind of player I am and why these results are totally absurd. The same story as every poker player has: "I am running super bad, on a downswing" only that mine has lasted more than normal. Still, I do not want to be just whining, I will show you in future posts.
Anyway, Horrible week.
Advantage Playing: Something weird happened this week. NordicBet said my last day to claim my free bets was 25th of November but no time of the day at all, and obviously I assumed 23:59 of the same day the bets expire. To my surprise I log in at around 13:00 to only see my free bets have expired. So basically that made me lose money.
Will be hunting new offers this week
PMT: No PMT for me last week
IPT: No IPT either
WinnerOdds: WinnerOdds is experiencing either a downswing or is correcting from the good run I had earlier. Not only that but I feel I am winning the bets on the bookies I am limited at ($2-3 bets) and losing the bookies I am not limited yet ($100 bets). Hopefully it will turn back again
Double-Chance: The only consolation for the week winning all bets we placed and making us lower our losses for the week.
I need to point out something in general regarding EV. When things are not going your way, Poker in my case this week, you tend to make more -EV decisions (calling poor hands, shoving spots you should not, etc).
On the other hand when running above EV, you want to lower your variance and avoid losing big, in my case Double-Chance. I stopped earning $250-300 dollars this week because I lowered the amount I should have bet just because I did not want to lose anymore, totally forgetting about the plan.
I feel this is a mistake many of us make.
Lesson is: Stick to the plan and let EV make its work. It all will work out
Adjustments for the following weeks:
Poker: I will only play tournaments on Sundays. Fridays and Saturdays I will play Live cash. During the week I will, either play STTs or not play at all.
Advantage Playing: Focus more on this strategy.
CST: I will take money out of most bookies and place 50% or more of the bank for this strategy. It is so consistent that I forgot consistency is better than big swings, in my case.
PMT: I will work more on this one too since it is pretty accurate.
IPT: I am developing an idea regarding the corners market, so I will look to get into this one too.
That is all for now guys. Thanks for reading and being part of this though journey.
https://twitter.com/ViajePa100
See you in 7 days ♠