2018-2019 recap
2019-2020
I Haven't updated this thread in a long time, which is due to what I have felt has been a lot of failure. No one likes to write about their shortcomings. I can't recall with great detail how my 2019 went, but I do know the gist of it.
Last I updated I was on my own playing HU PLO which had been going well until...I wasn't making enough consistently to forgo the stress of a small bankroll, and it was too much to deal with. It affected my game, and my mental focus. I went on a very significant downswing at HU PLO of 50 buy-ins and I wasn't ready for it. I had been winning at roughly 10bb/100 and wasn't aware of the variance that could occur.
Here is a frequency of downswing chart when winning at 10bb/100 over a 20k hand sample. As you can see a 50 buyin downswing can occur 5.79% of the time. Something I should have expected.
After the downswing I became very discouraged. Maybe I wasn't winning in these games and was just running good. I decided to step away from HU PLO (a mistake in hindsight) and pursue something else. Historically I've had success at limit games. HU PLO was a very different game, maybe it was too different for me.
I decided to go play at my local live casino. A game I could surely beat, after all I crushed 2/4 full ring rush poker on Fulltilt! I started playing 2/5 with a short buyin. Shortly after, I was making close to $100/hr at 2/5 live. (yes, I was running good). Unfortunately I had sold my action to my friend (I didn't want to risk my life BR). After winning at 2/5 I decided to go on my own and settle up with my friend, earning him a nice profit. I immediately go on a downswing and lose most of the profits I just collected from my deal. On short bankroll I played live 2/5 and 5/10 from late 2018 up until August of 2019. I was able to make a living solely from playing this game, but was always one downswing from being out of the game. I was paying expenses while trying to grow the bankroll, and often I'd just make 3-4k a month pay life expenses and the bankroll would stay stagnant or decrease slightly.
I eventually hit a downswing with my limited bankroll. At this point I am scared to play on my own again. in September the WCOOP is starting up on Pokerstars. Surely this is a great opportunity for me to rebuild my bankroll by running good at tournaments (a terrible mentality). I find another deal with a friend to play the WCOOP. I played 30k worth of tournaments. I final table 2 tournaments, but can't close them out. At the end of the WCOOP I find myself down 7k, but with a new deal which allows me to play the games I used to play. I start grinding games that historically I have done well in with players I know I can beat. I slowly get back into the online grind prioritizing good game selection (something I've lacked in the past). I start doing well and get out of makeup and start making myself profit.
So now here we are, back online playing mixed and HU PLO, armed with more experience.
I've learned a lot in this time that I'd like to share in list form. If you'd like a more detailed explanation I'd be happy to expand in a later post.
- It's easy to get too much information in poker. Do what works for you, and what you enjoy doing.
- Don't play on a short bankroll, even if you have an edge at higher stakes
- When building a bankroll it's important to lower variance the best you can with good game selection and stern stop losses
- Bouncing ideas off of others has a lot of value when learning, listen to what they have to say with an open mind.
Last edited by ceegee; 12-07-2019 at 02:47 PM.