If I believed in curses I might think the creation of this thread cursed me.
I don't believe in curses.
Regardless, my bankroll is in faceplant freefall, @ $330ish after losing, while deep-stacked,
a full house to a bigger full house, losing the flopped nut straight to a
rivered full house (again, deep,
to the same guy five hands later) and, mere minutes ago, a rivered straight that I just
played like a giant can of butt. *sigh
Still, aside from the last lapse in judgement, I think my 10NL game is solid and rarely feel like I'm getting outplayed.
Been watching a lot of DC vids (
Coaching Tree in particular) and would definitely suggest it. My notes are
dense, there's a lot of value to be had from the musings of Balugawhale.
As for insights, there are two things I've noticed as of late...
Players, at least at 10NL, seem to fall into one or two camps
most of the time; either their bets are representative of their hand strength or it's the inverse. This can be split between preflop and postflop as well. In other words, some people might limp with their monsters while raising the more speculative hands but postflop, might play far more straightforward, betting their flopped sets, etc.
Observing these players and taking notes can come in real handy.
Another related tell is people tend to not diverge from patterns when bluffing or value betting. One guy I've been tailing bets pot when he's bluffing and bets 75% of the pot when he wants a call. Playing against this guy is a real treat and I get him on my right as much as I can.
Lastly, as a sort of corollary to these observations, I've noticed that
some players have a tendency to interpret
your bet sizing as if they, themselves, were making the bet. So, for example, if you see a player who bets half pot when he wants a call and bets pot (or overbets) when he doesn't want a call,
he'll often interpret an overbet as a bluff.
This can be very lucrative.
Still taking on members for the study group, got four so far, looking for a few more. PM me if interested.
OK, back to the tables. GLGL!