Quote:
Originally Posted by RalphWaldoEmerson
Had no idea you could do this. Might do this myself. So they just gave you the numbers and you produce the graph using some program/excel? How organized are they/did you have to filter through by game type "manually"?
pre reasonably strong flatting a 3x.
flop I also think is pretty strong, when you 3x and check flop I don't think he expects you to c/f barely ever, so when he stabs I think he has a lot of A high for value and 22-88, 4x if he has that (maybe A4s/54s flat pre).
would fold turn w/o reads that he's overly stab-y.
Exactly that. I had to filter through game type manually, which was a pain--it would be easier now as I play less cash and SNGs. I used Excel.
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I think in game I assumed the highest pocket pair he has there is 55 perhaps...think 66+ is jamming pre almost always in my experience (with the TT+ likely 3b/calling). Up to 25bb, I'd expect him to jam 22+, and at 36bb, I'd say 66+ or so. It depends on how he views my SB 3x raising frequency.
On the flop, I do think I'm getting owned by the better A his. However, I expect the best of those to 3b/c or jam pre. As such, I stand to get owned by the the mid-above mid A his and his 4x. I do figure the A8 type A his to check back with some frequency given their showdown value, as I don't think he expects me to c/c many K hi type hands that he's beating. He can certainly cbet them for protection though.
On turn, I agree that it should be a fold. I think what made me call in game was his timing and sizing (white magic baby). Despite that, I don't think a call is winning me many chips, and is likely losing me a few. Conventional wisdom certainly doesn't make the 9d a particularly appealing barrel card.