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Poker Goals & Challenges Post your threads logging your travels up the poker ladder as you achieve your poker goals and dreams. "Challenges" does NOT mean prop bets, wagers, etc.

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Old 01-22-2020, 07:43 AM   #176
RyanWCollins
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Re: $100.000 profit at 20nl

Quote:
Originally Posted by meale View Post
(again because winrate is higher and that's the biggest factor in variance).
Why would a 10bb/100 winner experience higher variance than a 20bb/100 assuming same std dev. at least be correct if u gonna be picky m8
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Old 01-22-2020, 09:27 AM   #177
meale
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Re: $100.000 profit at 20nl

Quote:
Originally Posted by RyanWCollins View Post
Why would a 10bb/100 winner experience higher variance than a 20bb/100 assuming same std dev. at least be correct if u gonna be picky m8
Obviously when I say it's the biggest factor in variance, I mean in reducing it...
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Old 01-22-2020, 09:13 PM   #178
Ondra
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Re: $100.000 profit at 20nl

Quote:
Originally Posted by RyanWCollins View Post
Why would a 10bb/100 winner experience higher variance than a 20bb/100 assuming same std dev. at least be correct if u gonna be picky m8
You can google 'poker varianca calculator' and play with it a little bit to see what's the effect of variance with different win rates.

For example: after 10k hands the probability of loss with a true wr of 10bb/100 is 15.86% but if you have a true wr of 20bb/100 that number goes down to 2.27%
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Old 01-22-2020, 10:06 PM   #179
AnjaFoXie
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Re: $100.000 profit at 20nl

Zkesic I'm considering buying MTG cards to make filters for my joints. Is it +EV?

Oh yeah forgot to mention I'm buying them online from a Brazil store to prevent Rapid from making a good deck. It it +EV?

PS: hahahaha mtg nerd hahahahaha ^_^
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Old 01-22-2020, 11:00 PM   #180
ZKesic
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Re: $100.000 profit at 20nl

Technically, the variance is the same whether you're making 20bb/100 or 0bb/100. The risk of ruin, however, is obviously higher when your win rate is lower.

Quote:
Originally Posted by AnjaFoXie View Post
Zkesic I'm considering buying MTG cards to make filters for my joints. Is it +EV?
^It's very +EV.
I always felt that cards from the Throne of Eldraine boosters smelled exactly like weed. No one else ever agreed with me, though.

You should try it out.
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Old 01-23-2020, 12:36 AM   #181
excaxante
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Re: $100.000 profit at 20nl

Quote:
Originally Posted by AnjaFoXie View Post
Zkesic I'm considering buying MTG cards to make filters for my joints. Is it +EV?

Oh yeah forgot to mention I'm buying them online from a Brazil store to prevent Rapid from making a good deck. It it +EV?

PS: hahahaha mtg nerd hahahahaha ^_^
With those tats and MTG cards it's definitely +EV if you want to continue a virgin.
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Old 01-23-2020, 09:21 AM   #182
AnjaFoXie
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Re: $100.000 profit at 20nl

Oh another random nonfactor 5nl rec-grinder loser commenting on my tatts. Poor Finland. *shoots himself*
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Old 01-23-2020, 09:23 AM   #183
AnjaFoXie
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Re: $100.000 profit at 20nl

200z regs calling me ugly/crackhead/fish makes me laugh but I respect them so I it doesn't bother me

But when a 15th time in a row rec-grinder @ 5nl (ur brit too? missing a few teeth, ugly child?) insults me, man it's just so ****ing sad. Play your game and you shouldn't mind how I dress/tattoo
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Old 01-31-2020, 01:00 PM   #184
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Re: $100.000 profit at 20nl

January 2020:

I didn't play any poker this month, since I've been studying and looking for a site to play on. I passed my last exam yesterday.

This is where we're at:



I plan to play at least 100k hands in February.
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Old 02-29-2020, 10:00 PM   #185
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Re: $100.000 profit at 20nl

February 2020:



Bankroll is at 28.1k


Some hands:

H1: vs an agro reg

    $0.10/$0.20 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 4 Players

    Hero (SB): $8.26 (41.3 bb)
    BB: $21.03 (105.2 bb)
    CO: $22.57 (112.9 bb)
    BTN: $20 (100 bb)

    Preflop: Hero is SB with Q 2
    2 folds, Hero raises to $0.60, BB calls $0.40

    Flop: ($1.20) Q 5 4 (2 players)
    Hero checks, BB bets $0.59, Hero raises to $1.18, BB calls $0.59

    Turn: ($3.56) A (2 players)
    Hero checks, BB bets $1.20, Hero calls $1.20

    River: ($5.96) 2 (2 players)
    Hero checks, BB bets $18.06, Hero calls $5.28 and is all-in

    Spoiler:


    H2: Flop thin value 4bet

      $0.10/$0.20 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 4 Players

      SB: $20 (100 bb)
      Hero (BB): $12 (60 bb)
      CO: $39.42 (197.1 bb)
      BTN: $7.90 (39.5 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with A 7
      2 folds, SB raises to $0.50, Hero calls $0.30

      Flop: ($1) 9 9 7 (2 players)
      SB bets $0.30, Hero raises to $0.80, SB raises to $2.04, Hero raises to $3.28, SB folds

      Spoiler:


      H3: Bluffing vs a fish

        $0.10/$0.20 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 4 Players

        SB: $21.88 (109.4 bb)
        BB: $23.85 (119.3 bb)
        CO: $45.27 (226.4 bb)
        Hero (BTN): $11.24 (56.2 bb)

        Preflop: Hero is BTN with 9 8
        CO raises to $0.50, Hero raises to $1.50, SB folds, BB calls $1.30, CO folds

        Flop: ($3.60) 2 3 A (2 players)
        BB checks, Hero bets $1.03, BB calls $1.03

        Turn: ($5.66) T (2 players)
        BB checks, Hero checks

        River: ($5.66) T (2 players)
        BB bets $2.83, Hero raises to $8.71, BB folds

        Spoiler:


        H4: A turn float

          $0.10/$0.20 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players

          SB: $24.85 (124.3 bb)
          BB: $23.58 (117.9 bb)
          MP: $20.42 (102.1 bb)
          CO: $49.87 (249.4 bb)
          Hero (BTN): $10.61 (53.1 bb)

          Preflop: Hero is BTN with K A
          MP folds, CO raises to $0.50, Hero calls $0.50, 2 folds

          Flop: ($1.30) 9 Q K (2 players)
          CO checks, Hero checks

          Turn: ($1.30) J (2 players)
          CO bets $0.65, Hero calls $0.65

          River: ($2.60) J (2 players)
          CO checks, Hero bets $2.60, CO folds

          Spoiler:


          H5: Pretty random

            $0.10/$0.20 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 4 Players

            Hero (SB): $8.30 (41.5 bb)
            BB: $20 (100 bb)
            CO: $40.50 (202.5 bb)
            BTN: $8.55 (42.8 bb)

            Preflop: Hero is SB with 9 8
            2 folds, Hero raises to $0.60, BB calls $0.40

            Flop: ($1.20) J 5 J (2 players)
            Hero checks, BB checks

            Turn: ($1.20) 3 (2 players)
            Hero bets $0.81, BB calls $0.81

            River: ($2.82) K (2 players)
            Hero bets $6.89, BB folds

            Spoiler:
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            Old 03-01-2020, 12:43 AM   #186
            colddeathzz
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            Re: $100.000 profit at 20nl

            keep up the good work man, just wondering what your current hourly win is ?, is it still at about 25-30$/hour ?
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            Old 03-01-2020, 01:07 AM   #187
            Parsons Grinder
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            Re: $100.000 profit at 20nl

            Your graphs are insane, loving the thread.
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            Old 03-01-2020, 08:00 PM   #188
            ZKesic
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            Re: $100.000 profit at 20nl

            Quote:
            Originally Posted by colddeathzz View Post
            keep up the good work man, just wondering what your current hourly win is ?, is it still at about 25-30$/hour ?
            It was around $35/hr this month. I ran really good the last day, though.

            Btw, this just happened vs a reg that cbets flop 86%:
              $0.10/$0.20 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 4 Players

              Hero (SB): $8.04 (40.2 bb)
              BB: $46.08 (230.4 bb)
              CO: $36.18 (180.9 bb)
              BTN: $12.19 (61 bb)

              Preflop: Hero is SB with 8 8
              CO raises to $0.60, BTN folds, Hero calls $0.50, BB calls $0.40

              Flop: ($1.80) 3 3 K (3 players)
              Hero checks, BB checks, CO bets $1, Hero calls $1, BB folds

              Turn: ($3.80) 5 (2 players)
              Hero checks, CO checks

              River: ($3.80) 9 (2 players)
              Hero checks, CO bets $2.66, Hero raises to $6.44, CO calls $3.78

              Spoiler:

              He's overfolding that river so hard
              Glad I wasn't deeper. I might jam AI there even 80bb+ deep.

              Last edited by ZKesic; 03-01-2020 at 08:05 PM.
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              Old 03-07-2020, 06:55 AM   #189
              BenaBadBeat
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              Re: $100.000 profit at 20nl

              street poker <3
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              Old 03-07-2020, 09:45 AM   #190
              cocacola2
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              Re: $100.000 profit at 20nl

              I want to ask your biggest downswing. It looks to be in your graph around $300?

              15 buy ins?
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              Old 03-07-2020, 06:46 PM   #191
              CrunchyBlack
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              Re: $100.000 profit at 20nl

              Real sicko ****, I love it
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              Old 03-15-2020, 05:00 PM   #192
              ZKesic
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              Re: $100.000 profit at 20nl

              This is my 3bet range BB vs BTN. You guys notice anything?



              Spoiler:


              If anyone wants to join a PokerStars home game club and play vs a bunch of Slovenian fish, PM me. You also get a flat 50% RB.
              We're playing mainly 20 NLH and PLO right now, but will probably also open higher stakes soon.

              Quote:
              Originally Posted by cocacola2 View Post
              I want to ask your biggest downswing. It looks to be in your graph around $300?

              15 buy ins?
              It's probably around 10 buy ins I think. I'll start playing a higher variance style now, so I might have some bigger ones.
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              Old 03-15-2020, 05:36 PM   #193
              FazendeiroBH
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              Re: $100.000 profit at 20nl

              Yeah, considering there’s a bigger concentration of Ax than 9x on BTN opening range, you should have been dealt 99 more often than AA on spots when you face an open from that position.

              Obv there are other factors, like lots of 9x also being on the folding range of the earlier positions. The more players (9-max for example) the bigger is the mitigating effect. So the effect of the first paragraph exists but should be relatively small.

              Last edited by FazendeiroBH; 03-15-2020 at 05:43 PM.
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              Old 03-17-2020, 06:36 AM   #194
              giegling
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              Re: $100.000 profit at 20nl

              Quote:
              Originally Posted by ZKesic View Post
              If anyone wants to join a PokerStars home game club and play vs a bunch of Slovenian fish, PM me. You also get a flat 50% RB.
              We're playing mainly 20 NLH and PLO right now, but will probably also open higher stakes soon.
              I thought ps is banned in Slovenia?
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              Old 03-17-2020, 09:00 AM   #195
              ZKesic
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              Re: $100.000 profit at 20nl

              ^ We play for Play Money and then send eachother money via Skrill or whatever.

              We have a special software that constantly monitors everything that happens at these tables and calculates all players' winnings + RB. We've been doing this since 2015 and there were never any problems.

              The games are really soft (everyone's a fish pretty much) and everyone is welcome to join. There are still few spots open.
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              Old 03-21-2020, 03:19 AM   #196
              daveum
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              Re: $100.000 profit at 20nl

              how do I join?
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              Old 03-21-2020, 06:00 PM   #197
              ZKesic
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              Re: $100.000 profit at 20nl

              I sent you a PM.
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              Old 03-30-2020, 11:00 PM   #198
              ZKesic
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              Re: $100.000 profit at 20nl

              March 2020:



              Bankroll is at 29.5k

              Played 100bb deep in the second half of the month. It seems to be more profitable. Unfortunately ran more than $300 under EV, though.

              Some hands:

              H1: Bluff

                $0.10/$0.20 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 4 Players

                SB: $19.35 (96.8 bb)
                BB: $20.61 (103.1 bb)
                CO: $25.87 (129.4 bb)
                Hero (BTN): $8.32 (41.6 bb)

                Preflop: Hero is BTN with J Q
                CO folds, Hero calls $0.20, SB folds, BB checks

                Flop: ($0.50) A 5 K (2 players)
                BB checks, Hero bets $0.25, BB calls $0.25

                Turn: ($1) 7 (2 players)
                BB checks, Hero bets $1, BB calls $1

                River: ($3) 4 (2 players)
                BB checks, Hero bets $6.87 and is all-in, BB calls $6.87

                Spoiler:


                H2: Value

                  $0.10/$0.20 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 4 Players

                  SB: $21.99 (110 bb)
                  BB: $49.79 (249 bb)
                  CO: $21.26 (106.3 bb)
                  Hero (BTN): $7.60 (38 bb)

                  Preflop: Hero is BTN with 5 6
                  CO folds, Hero calls $0.20, SB folds, BB checks

                  Flop: ($0.50) 7 4 T (2 players)
                  BB bets $0.25, Hero calls $0.25

                  Turn: ($1) Q (2 players)
                  BB checks, Hero bets $0.70, BB calls $0.70

                  River: ($2.40) 3 (2 players)
                  BB checks, Hero bets $6.45 and is all-in, BB calls $6.45

                  Spoiler:


                  H3: Standard? Do you guys have a min 5b range here?

                    $0.10/$0.20 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 4 Players

                    Hero (SB): $40.42 (202.1 bb)
                    BB: $19.71 (98.6 bb)
                    CO: $8.03 (40.2 bb)
                    BTN: $21.72 (108.6 bb)

                    Preflop: Hero is SB with 6 6
                    CO folds, BTN raises to $0.50, Hero raises to $2, BB folds, BTN raises to $4.50, Hero raises to $40.42 and is all-in, BTN folds

                    Spoiler:


                    H4:

                      $0.10/$0.20 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 4 Players

                      SB: $37.43 (187.2 bb)
                      BB: $20.40 (102 bb)
                      Hero (CO): $9.92 (49.6 bb)
                      BTN: $20.40 (102 bb)

                      Preflop: Hero is CO with A Q
                      Hero raises to $0.60, BTN folds, SB calls $0.50, BB folds

                      Flop: ($1.40) 2 4 8 (2 players)
                      SB checks, Hero checks

                      Turn: ($1.40) 7 (2 players)
                      SB bets $1.40, Hero calls $1.40

                      River: ($4.20) 6 (2 players)
                      SB bets $3, Hero calls $3

                      Spoiler:


                      H5:

                        $0.10/$0.20 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 4 Players

                        SB: $6.21 (31.1 bb)
                        Hero (BB): $8.50 (42.5 bb)
                        CO: $27.12 (135.6 bb)
                        BTN: $28.21 (141.1 bb)

                        Preflop: Hero is BB with A 4
                        CO folds, BTN raises to $0.50, SB calls $0.40, Hero calls $0.30

                        Flop: ($1.50) 9 8 J (3 players)
                        SB checks, Hero checks, BTN checks

                        Turn: ($1.50) 5 (3 players)
                        SB checks, Hero bets $1.05, BTN calls $1.05, SB calls $1.05

                        River: ($4.65) 3 (3 players)
                        SB checks, Hero bets $6.95 and is all-in, 2 folds

                        Spoiler:


                        Feel free to comment on any of the hands.

                        PS.: Don't bluff fish
                        https://www.boomplayer.com/32712776_DCABA27AFD
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                        Old 03-31-2020, 08:43 AM   #199
                        FazendeiroBH
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                        Re: $100.000 profit at 20nl

                        Yeah, maybe you posted your reasonings for playing shorter and I missed, but with your lifetime wr and so, unless it was a promo rb deal or smth to that line and you needed to autopilot to get the volume going, canīt really understand. Glad you came back to 100bb poker

                        GL
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                        Old 04-01-2020, 04:56 AM   #200
                        enzet
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                        Re: $100.000 profit at 20nl

                        Quote:
                        Originally Posted by giegling View Post
                        I thought ps is banned in Slovenia?
                        Slovakia and Slovenia are back on PS!
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