well, even at microstakes a winning player shouldn't think about targetting hands not checking the river.
if the guy sucks so hard he's check/deciding straights on a 3flush river bvb, that's not likely he's going to fold them anyway. the only "straight" PIO (or basicly any reasonable player) checks with more than 5% frequency is AdKd on this board.
if you really think he should bet the river only with flush, or flush-blocker, that's a serious leak.
You guys are snap calling the 3x pot river overbet with any AK/K9? I really don't think that's optimal... Even in GTO. And especially at micros.
Flushes are a big part of both players' ranges there. I think that SB should mostly check that river, even with straights. You can bet for thin value, but should expect to get raised a bunch (and not hero called very often).
One of you can run a PIO sim if you want, I might be wrong.
fwiw turn overbet is not really a thing in the solver, but with the correct turn betsizing SB can vbet river as light as Q9 with small sizing, and definately betting big with AK or K9.
AK and K9 should indeed fold most of the time on the river. So snapcalling would be a bit weird.
SB does however bet river more often than I expected, but it uses pretty small sizings: 89 prefers 25% pot size, K9 prefers 50% pot, AK prefers 75% pot and flushes bigger. That's pretty much it.
I expected that my actual opponent had a very capped, straight-heavy range there, even if it's not GTO. Which was the reason I bluffed. He can even have some overplayed sets or QJ hands.
poker is so different at micros lol wtf. vs river check QT is value town all day baby
after villain overbets on that turn I think it's safe to say he isn't doing it with KQ/AQ no matter which stake he plays, maybe some good regs after some history it could happen, but meh, it's pretty much always a straight with some 2p/trips/ random bluffs from time to time.
Do people overbet the turn with worse than QT for value at higher stakes? It seems weird.
ok I thought about it some more and I think you're right. after turn ob we're in bluff catch mode and vs most villians it will be tough to get value otr.
I will say that here's def some guys in my pool who will overbet turn with some stupid hands and then end up making a dumb call otr vs 1/3-1/2, and I think that will be a much more common occurrence than someone check/folding a straight here (even vs 2.5x pot)
But if people really check/fold straights here then go for it I guess, punish the nits
Not the best month. Have been playing too many hands/hr in order to reach the 50k goal.
From now on, while I'm deepstacking, I won't be playing more than 1k hands/hr.
Results: $7.20 pot ($0.36 rake)
Final Board: J J K A T
SB showed 8 8 and lost (-$3.50 net)
Hero mucked A 2 and won $6.84 ($3.34 net)
H3: Vs a reg... Got owned pretty hard in this one, I almost don't wanna post it. There's only like 20 sec of time bank and I'm not used to playing 200bb deep :/ He insta shoved the river.
H3: Vs a reg... Got owned pretty hard in this one, I almost don't wanna post it. There's only like 20 sec of time bank and I'm not used to playing 200bb deep :/ He insta shoved the river.
River: ($16.32) Q (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $4.89, SB raises to $95.30 and is all-in, Hero folds
Think you want to be betting river bigger here & you're basically asking to get jammed on with ur small sizing way more frequently which could put you in way more difficult/unfamiliar spots than just going with a larger sizing.
You're a sicko playing 20NL with such a large bankroll & nice results..
gl with your goals yo
What will you do after you reach $100,000 from 20NL?
It might be helpful to study more 100bb play. Since you are used to the 50bb play.
I never studied 50bb play (except probably 2009). If you are still playing fast fold, then maybe rathole at 200bb? For those of us playing 100bb for about a year (I am new to online as of 2019), that hand 3 might have been a x/c, if not want to bet big. Fear of losing stack comes to mind.
Are you still playing at 20nl for the purposes of a challenge? Because it seems like you're quite seriously hurting your profit potential with a bankroll that large
Results: $5.50 pot ($0.27 rake)
Final Board: J 8 2 4 8
BB showed 2 K and won $5.23 ($2.53 net)
Hero mucked A 9 and lost (-$2.70 net)
Pretty thin value by a reg, hah.
Quote:
Originally Posted by oneselfishguy
probably move to another country and play higher
Why would I move? It's because I live in Slovenia that I can live off making ~1k/month. There's also no tax on poker winnings
Quote:
Originally Posted by whitemares
it seems like you're quite seriously hurting your profit potential with a bankroll that large
I'm not willing to risk losing my whole bankroll. If I wanted to make more profit than now, I'd probably need to be playing at least 200nl (I can't play as many hands/hr at higher stakes).
Quote:
Originally Posted by FazendeiroBH
Hello @ZKesic, is stars still banned from your country?
No, but I don't have a very good reason to move there. Playing on PS right now doesn't seem very profitable.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Tuma
The +30k, no variance graph must be pretty
Spoiler:
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ebudae
Honestly what's wrong with you? Why would anybody do this to themselves?
You mean, why would I choose to have a stable, stress-free form of income instead of risking it all at higher stakes?