Quote:
Originally Posted by KP24
Time to try to analyse a hand.........
I am UTG and open 3x with my range and BB calls.
Although I am currently adjusting my RFI ranges a lot (due to them being crap recently) atm it looks like this...
AA-55,AKo-AJo,KQo,AKs-A2s,KQs-KTs,QJs-QTs,JTs-J9s,T9s (188 combos)
(Flame Away!)
Flop comes Q 7 5
BB checks to me and I am going to cbet this board a lot (or what seems a lot to me) My guess is like 75%....
After this flop I have 167 combos (due to card removal) so I am going to cbet around 125 combos.
First in...
Sets QQ, 77, 55.
Overpairs AA, KK.
Top pairs AQ, KQ, QJ, QT.
Combos = 51
Backdoor FD's = 46 combos = KTs, KJs, JTs, J9s, T9s, Axs (in ).
That's 97, way too short, need 28 more!
So maybe now some lower pp's (can get some value from floats and not good enough to call later if I XB...)
Weaker pp's = 66(6), A7hh (1), 88-JJ (24) = 31.
I am now on 129 combos so cbetting this flop with 77% of my range.
It feels to me like it is too much! Like I am betting every single combo that has hit this flop other than some Ax (with SDV).
My XB range is going to be really weak in this case and I see two things which may or may not be problems: 1. I have nothing strong! and 2. I can't ever have a flush if I XB the flop and the board runner runners three to a flush (do we care!?).
I am going to take the cbet %age down to 70%...
So can take approx 12 combos out...
I will take out QTs(3) and QJs(3) and JJ (6). I am not really sure why my instinct is to take these out but it is! Some benefits though are that I now have some flushes in my range if it runner runners, I don't value own myself versus his KQ and AQ possibles, any more!?
Next part will be the turn having checked back...
All criticism greatly appreciated....
Balance both the C-bet and XB range by checking back some monsters/ big hands OTF some of the time then,contingent on what your current C-bet % is and what V tendencies are ?
For example, if you're c-betting 75 % as you say, checking back QQ is deceptive since a somewhat thinking aggro player will look at the C-bet percentage, look at you, decide you don't have much, and try and take it away OTT.On the contrary, if you're against a stationy/ passive player who won't stab turns, but will float C-bet QQ.
Flexibility is key in a game in which villian tendencies vary so much, I agree with TheDefArticle that we shouldn't rigidly decide to C-bet x or y %, 75 % is a lot also.
That UTG range is pretty loose also, definitely a leak if you're playing FR.
Last edited by ChickenDave; 07-10-2014 at 06:29 PM.