and i was just giving my BR rules a second thought,
i will propably use the kelly criterion rule, with an comfortfactor 2 (half-criterion in fact)
see this thread.....
http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/15...games-1064639/
i did input a few (estimated) values, which i will correct when they change, or when i think i should change them, average BB/100 and std deviation is hard to pinpoint so i have to do with estimates for now
i have set the values at 6 BB/100 profit with an std dev of 110, this comes to the answer that i should play NL10, when my BR is more then $308 (risk of ruin = 1,83%)
i am running hot like hell, but i do think i must be able to get 6BB/100 (longterm), and will calculate with that until proven otherwise
i checked my BR, and with the newly applied BR rules, i was allowed to make a shot (6 tables, 100BB) and the results were in black, so thats okay, i do however have to be carefull with these rules, cause i feel there a lot looser then my original rules (which were to tight i think) i like the fact that kelly criterion is based on my play, the only downside is my current samplesize, which is so low that std deviation means almost nothing
ok enough jibberish, the graph of the last hour