here are some hands for this week. ill try to keep it at 4 since i am posting late. winner gets 2.5% of sunday profits, with 5% going to a charity of your choice if you take that option instead. havent played a lot so struggled to find a lot of hands. if i fail to profit, i will donate $150 minimum to a charity of winners choice

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going to be a long week. have to get my taxes sent off

1. I like flop and turn sizing when this deep although I might open a little bit bigger preflop at these depths. We will have lots of bluffs on this texture/runout so makes sense, arguably could even go a little bit bigger and polarize yourself (maybe over bet turn?). I'm calling turn raise as well and re-evaluating river. Definitely folding this river as everything got there + we will have a lot of far better bluff catchers and flushes.

2. Pretty read dependent I would say. It obviously isn't great when we flat OOP here as villain will have lots of strong hands that crush us and we have some bad reverse implied odds vs. their range with an offsuit AJ. This is probably a good candidate to turn into a 4 bet bluff w/ A blocker and it sort of puts villain in a cage @ this depth. When we flat I'm probably playing the same (calling one street, folding turn). The population seems to be 3 betting a fairly high frequency nowadays (maybe I'm wrong) and i think we can combat this by opening a tighter range w/ more suited/connected hands as opposed to small pair and off suit/unconnected hands. Can flat/4bet more and punish them for playing too wide of ranges. We're obv never open folding AJo in this spot but just some thought for consideration!

3. I would be tempted to turn this into a bluff at some point in the hand as well. Possibly we can raise the turn and jam most rivers. I assume he won't jam over our raise that often but he will likely call/fold mostly. We will have probably 1010 88 22 K10 K8 K2s 108 which is a lot of value combos that I think we can mix in a few bluffs and just run them on the river. I'm somewhat concerned about his sizing on the river and it makes sense to jam over it if he is going to be making thin value bets with this sizing a lot.
http://www.pokerhand.org/?6825963
^Replayer link to the hand (I can't see replayer here)

4. Might raise the turn to get value from over pairs and draws/protection. Calling is fine too ofc to protect some of our weaker hands. I'm not super thrilled about calling river but I'm not folding either. Maybe once in a blue moon u get shown a bluff and not the D.


Hungover af but tried to give a few thoughts on the hands. GL tomorrow OG

76s - I'm opening larger preflop (2.5-3x) at this stack depth. Flop sizing looks fine to me. Turn sizing looks fine to me as well, and I am just puking when villain raises. We can discount most sets, as we block 66/77 and they probably raise the flop and I highly doubt AA flats pre 100bbs deep. A6/A7/A4/58 are all possible, and villain could potentially be delay check/raising a FD on this turn. I think this is a call/re-eval on the turn. River is one of the worst cards in the deck, I cry and fold.

AJo - This hand looks fine to me. Villain likely checks back hands like A2-AJ, KT-KJ, QJ on the flop and flats most PPs preflop, so his bluffs here are like mid SCs only. If villain is an active 3bettor, I'm more inclined to call this and this is an incredible board for him to bet pure air with his exact sizing. The downside is, we are likely going to have to make a very high variance call down.

J8s - Preflop, flop, and turn all look fine. Your river shove is very ambitious. You are representing QJ or a Tx type hand that you decide to turn into a bluff. The fact that this is a button vs BB spot lowers and increases the effectiveness of your play (your range will be wider, but so will his). Personally I just x/f this river. If villain is a good player, he will recognize you are polarized when doing this and be less inclined to fold 2pair+ hands here.

97s - Preflop, flop, and turn are all fine. I'm sizing much smaller (like 1500) on this river. It's very, very unlikely you will overbet here with air and we want to get called. When UTG re-raises here, I think we have to sighfold. The reason being, when you overbet this river, you are either repping a super nutted hand or total air, so it's unlikely you're ever getting re-raised by a worse hand. UTG has 66, 88, and 55 in his range here for sure and not too many bluffs. In general this is a terrible spot for him to ever shove with than a full house here.

GL on the Sunday grind!

Hand 1:
I'd keep the flop bet around 40-45% and call any villain eventual raise. Ott, I'd bet close to pot. 58 is very unlike, A banana more likely... I'd wouldn't raise to catch a club on the next street. The river is quite bad for us... fold with lots of doubts.

Hand 2:
I'd 4bet pre very small to fold in case of a 5bet or shove (and fold pre).
Villain seems to have something big like QQ+ or AK and tries to keep the pot small. Good lay down.

Hand 3:
I like to keep the pot small x/c flop and try to turn. I would not jam river which is soo polarised as a bluff. (Have you try to overpot committing yourself but not allin? Villain might perceive this differently than a polarised action).

Hand 4:
Nice played to induce others to enlarge the pot. Very nasty outcome! Sick hand.

GG Sir!

I see I am a bit too late but will give some toughts on the hands anyways.

1. Personally I tend to simplify flop strategies and oftentimes I end up cbetting range IP for a smallish sizing. This is a board where I would tend to do that as well. I can see having a mixed strat can be benificial (in general giving more options will end up in higher ev and pio also opt to use these options/uses mixed strat with the large size as you did). How do you determine your flop strategy and how complex is it? Do you have different sizes as well? Or do you just tend to either use range bet or use a larger polarized sizing?

FWIW: results 33% range cbet.
EV OOP: 3.801
EV IP: 7.199
OOP's MES: 3.826
IP's MES: 7.235

Results mixed strat
EV OOP: 3.731
EV IP: 7.269
OOP's MES: 3.746
IP's MES: 7.290

Difference EV IP and OOP = 0.070
which was 0.035 bb, so 3.5bb/100 hands if you manage to play this strat correctly and villain plays back vs both strats correct as well.

OTT I think we can use the large polar sizing. I wouldn't expect to see a checkraise very often here but when he checkraises I think we're too high up to fold (wouldn't want to go too explo in a $665) and we can reevaluat on rivers. OTR the 9s helps villain a lot and I think we have to fold a descent amount here. When villain overbets and the flush hits in I highly doubt that he would do that for value with 2p/sets. I am not entirely sure what hands we would hope villain has but maybe some weakpair + strong spade / weak pair + weak draw type of hand. I think our hand has pretty bad blockers (might block some bluffs and don't block any value) so I would opt to fold. We can obv call all flushes and then some strong 2p + sets in case he was actually value betting and prevent him from bluffing and maybe add Ax with spade blocker and straightdraw unblocker.

2. Vs that sizing I think we're forced to construct a fairly big call range and this hand seems proper canditate to add in that range. It obv doesn't play super well as flat but should still be +ev and we want to make sure to defend enough vs 3bets. When he uses low sizing we can't just start adding in a ton of 4b bluffs because we're restricted to the proper amount of bluffs wrt our value combos and we can't just start adding in losing value combos. Also with this stacksizes I think it's pretty awkward to use the nai 4b range and I would be inclined to use a (more lineair) 4bet (ai) range. When we use a nai 4b range I would tend to still call AJ and 4bet a bit more polar. Postflop is pretty interesting to me. I think he has a pretty big nut advantage, esp when we 4bet AQ as well but we might call that based on the villain. Eventough we're fairly high up in range and we're up against small sizings I think it's fine to fold on this board, it's just gonna be very hard to realise our equity with such a huge nut disadvantage, I don't think it's gonna be profitably to call down and I expect him to barrel most rivers.

3. Pretty interesting hand imo, I know pio is kinda fragile on the exact inputs we give but when I use lines closest to the actual sizing which do have a descent % of hands do I see that pio is rarely raising river as a bluff.

I am not entirely sure but I figured he might do this because the freq of bluffs he wants to have otr for villain to make us indifferent is equal to the freq of folds he wants to have to make us indifferent bluf raising. Therefor it doesn't make sense to bluffraise with hands that already beat all folds except gaining little more value with our value hands.
However pbb pio isn't a very good representation from villain (and the bluf freq wrt sizings isn't inline with the actual sizings). Maybe we can say that villain tends to weight towards more weakish value hands with this sizing. However problem remains that we don't have too many value hands (some QJ raise flop as well pbb?) and I guess we can overbluff fairly easily. When villain starts folding all or a lot of 1p combos he might be overfolding a bit and becomes better to bluff, if you want to pick some bluffs I guess you can pick this one yes.

4. I agree with preflop, flop and turn seems fine as well. Pretty interesting spot otr yes, I think both players might have capped themselves a bit yes (except some traps and 55 for ir ). I think overbet can be pretty effective since a decent proportion of there range can be overpairs and we put them in ugly spots. I agree with trent and I will fold vs a raise as well.

i made around 4.8k on sunday, walmart you can take 2.5% or give me a charity of your choice for 5%

jesper i like your post and want to encourage more posts like this (though it was too late). give me a charity and i will send $100 their way

sorry for slow updates. had a rough situation come up and ive been on the anti-social poker grind as it helps to keep my head clear.

won the early 215 ST today, 9th b215 and b44 yday, won sunday lightning, and a bunch of other scores mixed in there. prob made 13k for myself sun-today.

i actually have lots of hands marked so ill get them up with a freeroll offer after session. im actually 1 tabling the $11 they name after you if you win it. one tiiime

thanks dude! i'll take the 5 ball to charity. i gave a little contest for my snap chat following so i'll let you know which charity they decide

also agree above post is v solid and took a lot more work than mine haha, will step up my game next week

1. prob an easy one but what is best size pre? i just click here too much




2. what do you do on river? how do we split our check/leads/calls/raises and which sizes do we bet with our range? v interesting imo





3. bubble of lightning today. 3 from itm small field. do you check back this draw or rep our strong range? kinda sucks when we get shoved on




4. bluff here yay or nay?




will do same offer as last week 2.5 you/5% charity, min $150 to charity for best responder. will also respond to above comments on last weeks hands. need to be better about engaging participation by actually participating

GGs the last few days man! I'll comment on the hands later.

1) Sizing is pretty unimportant here. As long as you don't minraise i think anything in the 3-5x pre is fine. (Depending on ppls calling tendencies behind, obv particularly the blinds).

2)Bottom of range pre. This is a very tough question (How do we split our ranges?) when we don't know your ranges specifically. I think you bet most spades and pretty much anything stronger than AQ on this flop so when you check/call you mainly have 99-JJ QJ/QK type hands. I don't think we have very many very strong hands by river so likely would be checking my whole range to him. Calling with your good queens, especially the ones like this one that have a good spade blocker.

3) I like peeling pre as opposed to 3b or ripping. With the PSR the way it is, i think he is going to be check/jamming on you waaaay to much on this texture. So bet/folding a hand with this much equity is less than stellar. Plus you have some showdown value with A high. One other thing, if he is checking a hand like 44 for instance, you don't need to target it on flop, since it will fold by river.

4) Again this is really tough to answer not knowing how you play your ranges, specifically here, your turn ranges. However, with that said you are at the bottom of your range so bluffing has some merit and if you don't bluff hands like this, which ones will you bluff with? (Since most of your turn bets have a spade). So i think its a mandatory rip. (Assuming he isn't a fish where thinking about ranges is unnecessary).

ty year off to a pretty good start as far as poker goes



im also up about that in swaps, and down 10k~ at 500+ and live events counting action sold. so if the pace holds, the year should be pretty sick

scoop always keeps me in check though. i just cant win. but feeling pretty confident to strike again as i try to do every year.

Gratz on the sick results. Karma listens when you re nice to her

Hands-

1) since you will be committed with your specific hand to calling bb it's a little easier than when you would. E folding a bunch to million rejam stacks. Still the size you chose lays insane pot odds so preferably you treat the allin as a limp and go your normal size vs that limp at BB 270 so 3x-3.5x the limp so 800ish given stacks behind seems fine. Isolation and protection are key here. With a hand like kqs you wouldn't necessarily mind getting flatter so could go your sizing with hands that play well and dominate

2)

I think you will want to have a blockbet range and a huge betting range here. I think the way he played his hand it's incredibly unlikely that he has a flush. He s basically limited to jtss kjss j9ss in terms of made flushes while you most likely have a ton of them given how you likely play the flop here.
As such you don't mind betting hands like 66s 88s 99s huge putting pressure on his one pair jx Qx and possibly rivered Ax in his range punishing the fact that he mosy bets his fds on the turn due to their combo draw narure.
Then once you ve removed your small pocket pairs you will be left with a ton of qx, a few kjdd type hands, some TT combos and a ton of aces hat check called with like Ts or Js or diamonds with a decent kicker. All of those (bar TT) really wanna be betting small vs villains range. Coupled with some of your flushes. The rest of your flushes end up betting large. The way I think pio might split them is betting huge with the ones unblocking the small pocket pairs containing a spade that could bluff the river as those are the most likely offsuit spade blocker combos in villains range and that's why it might wanna bluff big when u have those combos as you d be targeting a much stronger range with your bluff given blockers.

Eek long one

3) not sure I like the call pre given the bubble situation, position and likely there being shorter stacks. It's def close. Flop is proooobably a small bet just given your range but your sizing seems not ideal. Basically you picked the one sizing that achieves the least. You invest too much to achieve the results of both pot and quarter pot sizes but don't get the benefit of maximized fold equity and better pot odds of the pot bet. Still seems like villain is good enough to check close to range and as such and no spade blockers I d lean towards check given the likelihood of a jam coming and the equity you have. (if I pay attention, autobet when Million tables top over here)

4) think you have a pretty meh hand to bluff as you quite heavily block his folding range which is weaker suited tx that pair turn and fold on the river. I think given the massive frequency of high spades in villains range and the fact that he shows up with a hand more likely to be played by a rec I d limit my bluffs to the busted gutties that don't block tx such as 43 and 46. they have the added benefit of self controlling frequencies given how they block themselves. The guy had another player left to act so there won't be much that folds otr given your blockers

Great thread great guy much love seeya soon

https://www.sickkids.ca/ways-to-give/index.html

I'd appreciate it if you could donate to sick kids hospital with the freeroll. Thanks!

gl

Hand 1 (55) - I would size to 700 here. There is an extra 270 in this pot and my standard iso raise size in this spot would be 3.5x. This allows you to price out the blinds from calling.

Hand 2 (KQ) - Checking the flop is fine here as we don't get much worse to call other than draws. If this is a lower buyin MTT I'm more inclined to bet, in a higher buyin I prefer checking. The river is where things get interesting. I think check folding or check jamming is the best play here, this would obviously depend on if our opponent gives us room to x/jam. Villain's most likely hands in this spot are AQ, KQ, and AJ, I do not think we can get AQ/AJ to fold here against any sizing and KQ likely checks back the river with no King of spades since we have it. I think x/f is the way to go here.

Hand 3 (ATs) - Flat pre is fine, the only downside is we give someone behind a really good spot to squeeze on us. I'd hope you are flat calling your premiums here as well for that exact reason. I am always betting this flop. It connects to our range well and we can jam a lot of turns here for value and as a semi-bluff.

Hand 4 (98) - I like leading this turn into 2 capped ranges. We can jam a lot of non-spade rivers for value and as a bluff and our opponent's will be in a gross spot. Not a huge fan of the river shove. We have very, very little we will be jamming this river with for value after firing the turn so big. To add to that, the majority of our opponent's turn calling ranges are gonna have the A or K of spades. You are also shoving barely over half pot, not a lot of fold equity.

Hand1:
3x is very standard, no need to open more.

Hand2:
As you check flop (as initial opener), I'd definitely to check river as well and evaluate my action on the basis of villain's action. Check jamming against a villains 1/2 pot bet is the strongest play imho, as you represent a likely rivered flush. Villain might have 2 pair (Ax, Jx) and possibly fold against your strong action c/jam.

Hand3:
Considering you are close to the bubble, against a strong players who knows how important to put some pressure, I'd jam preflop my 20+BBs.
As played, checking the flop to improve on next streets would be best imho. Betting to fold on jam is such a waste of chipz...

Hand4:
Do you really think that villain is going to fold after investing half of his stack? Very polarised bluff spot which I'd tend to avoid.

1. i think your sizing is fine, it's probably not a huge issue either way. Anywhere between 500 (or w/e min raise is) and 700 is good. I prefer going on the smaller side because I don't think we'll get flatted much, when we get jammed on we save chips+if we do get flatted it keeps effective stack depth to pot ratio deeper.

2. Depends what you are doing with your range on the flop. Personally, I think betting a small size on flop with KQ in a multi way pot is good for value/protection. Which strong hands are we checking on the flop: flush draws ever? maybe top set? 88-JJ, and probably Q9s Q10s and QJs (doubt u open offsuit combos of those). leads me to believe your range is pretty weak by the river if you are playing the same strategy as me here, although maybe you are always checking AQ/KQ? Hands to value bet: flushes (which might be better as check/raise, sets, QJ. So yeah I'm probably checking whole range to the villain because I think his range is quite ahead of ours (we'll have quite a few hands that check fold riv). If he bets river I'd consider check jamming this hand as a bluff w/ the nut blocker lol. Pretty thin but I think its good if we ever check flop w/ flush draws and then mix in this type of hand as a bluff. Not to mention, so much of our range just wants to show down here, doubt we will be leading any bluffs on the river, hence why we shouldn't be doing that with many value hands either. Hopefully, that rant makes some logical sense idk.

3. 100% checking behind flop. It's a disaster when we get jammed on, this is also a board that a competent reg will be check jamming a decent frequency. we have great equity vs. his give up hands (under pairs to the board, weak suited ace etc.) we should have lots of semi strong hands that want to check behind this board (pair+gutshot type stuff). take a turn card and then re evaluate imo, turn into bluff most of the time when we miss. Probably wouldn't do a whole lot of betting here maybe: pre flop traps like AA, or KQ.

4. River sucks for us, villain should have so many 1 spade hands in this spot and will have quite a few strong flushes whereas we won't have that many. I much prefer running it on non spade rivers. Given our turn sizing we don't have much FE vs his stack size on river, and we're also repping a turn range that's polarized to strong hands or air. So many of the hands that we use this sizing on turn with are puking on the river, or are small made flushes that want to bluff catch. Perhaps could bet smaller on turn and rep a less polarized range+gain FE for rivers. So yeah, I just think it's a give up because we don't have enough strong hands by the river/he has quite a few.

On a side note: ever think about check raising turn because it's very likely they don't have flushes, we can balance w/ our flushes. lots of villains will b/f a lot of hands when checked to twice.

Ok in terms of donations:

For the nokillnetwork, I've been convinced to give it to the local shelter where I rescued my dog from roughly a year ago. The online link to donate is broke, but I'll make sure they get the $ and post it here. So for now we can keep it off the total donated.


SickKids: I left a note thanking WALMARTcnxn and all friends at PGC




Jesper: I still owe $100 to a charity of your choice as well


In terms of what I will be doing tomorrow, I will pick a winner from above as promised.


In addition, due to the recent flooding in Peru which has caused a lot of damage locally and left many without basic necessities, I will also be sending some $ and pledging another 5% of my profits from tomorrow's session. If anybody else feels like donating, some of the South American regs are pooling money together and making sure it reaches those in need. You can send money to Die Ventura through Monday

I really like Peru. I've been 3x (maybe 4?, it all blends together to be honest). It has been a great experience and I can't recommend it enough. From the jungle, to ancient ruins, to a vibrant culinary scene in Lima, there is a lot to see. Lots of great and hospitable 2p2ers there as well (shoutout to g3r4rd0x , guillermo, gabriel, xPeru, and some others) for going out of their ways to show me a good time whenever I visit

Hey,

Cheerse for letting me pick a charity, I would like to go with http://epafrica.org.uk/. Not gonna make replying to this week hands anymore but will be in next week again.

Gl Tomorrow

Awesome thread Marty. I met you in 2011 @wsop just after "black Friday" when we were both playing for MaxKatz don't know if you remember me but I think your threads are awesome and very helpful. Other than being an excellent player you are a very good writer and have amazing work ethic. You will succeed in this life not matter what you choose to do

I will be participating as much as I can...

Hey, just run into this gona check some hh later sub and gl

Great thread, great idea. Just saw it now. Pretty strong posts from jepser8 and T8 in this thread, the jepser one was just really high level and sharp analysis. Good luck this year Marty!

I think it would be a good idea to limit the winners or something so the same guy doesn't just ship the freeroll 40 times in a row. If jepser made 40 posts in a row like that one I would just give it to him every time lol.

blakkman with the freeroll today

i dont plan to limit winners, id gladly contribute every week to a quality poster, and hopefully it increases the quality of everyone else

gl today bud

Thanks for the help Marty! hope u had a great sunday