Maybe the odds were a little high to lay, but they should have won that game. Numerous chances went begging, including a penalty. I blame Van Gaal for putting Van Persie in the wrong spot on the pitch. It was a piss poor performance, which actually has not been the norm for them the last few months. They improved a lot over the course of the season. If they add a few pieces, they could challenge next year. However, I hope they don't improve too much during the offseason as I am a Chelsea supporter.

I don't actually remember what game your talking about. Tell me though and ill look at it.

I'm just saying taking Man U at -300 vs anyone this season or last is bad form.

I bet only Scottish and English football. Not one of those guys who claim to make a living off it, but I am up $ since I opened my Sky account 2 years ago.

GG this is going to be epic !

It was West Brom, and laying -300 on Man U at home has been money the last few months. Not sure if you have watched them much recently, but they are much better than they were at the start of the year.

Thanks!

No time for poker yesterday, and I might be too busy the next few days to play.

SB: +2.50

BR: 53.65

Royals -108

Risk 2.16 to win 2.00

concerning Man United, that's the club I support and even though I think they should have won, I would not have juiced it at -300, just some insight

keep going man I enjoy following this

SB: +2.00

BR: 55.65

Cavs +105

Risk 3.00 to win 3.15

SB: -3.00

BR: 52.65

Dodgers -1.5 -115

Risk 2.30 to win 2.00

Grizzlies +4.5 -115

Risk 2.30 to win 2.00

-115 is the same as 20/23 right?

Cool thread I do similar for bigger sums but I'm in no way massively skilled as a sports bettor, will be following

gonna be very hard playing micro poker 1 table at a time ,play MTT and sit @ go's instead and bet in game , youll get way better numbers , use rolling if wagers take shots on multi sport parleys before you know it ,you can add a zero or 2 to those 3$ bets and your off! good luck!

Yes, that is the same.


Thanks for the advice. It is hard to play micro anything at Bookmaker/ACR. I don't like rebuy tourneys, and that is all they offer. SNGs are practically non-existent. That leaves cash, and there are times when not even one FR table is running at multiple microstakes. Most of the profit in this challenge is going to come from sports betting.

I agree with you about live betting offering some nice odds, and there has already been one live bet placed in the challenge. However, I don't agree with you at all on the parlays, if bets and all that other exotic crap. I do just fine with my approach, and I am already way ahead of schedule for the challenge. I have a whole year to accomplish it. Surviving the very early busto-risking stage is all I really needed to do, and that is done. Now, I just need to take my time. It may be boring for the first 3-6 months, but I will accomplish it within the year.

SB: +2.00

BR: 54.65

Cavs -1.5 -110

Risk 3.30 to win 3.00

Great read so far. Keep it up.

Any chance we can get more information on your process with regards to finding value? Also did you voodoo doll Gasol after placing that bet

Think this could be the most interesting thread on 2p2, gl, shadowing for now

Ok so for the sports betting. Do you think it's best to specialize in one game or a couple of games or to be a jack of all trades type. And if its best to specialize, wouldnt it be best to specialize in less popular sports such as idk lacrosse, esports, or something like that since bookies may not have as much info on them? Finally, if you do specialize in one type of game, do you think it's ok to bet on every match since you know what's up? or only bet on matches where you see value?

interesting read. i have to say: being from a small country in western Europe with a decent football ( soccer sigh.. ) league i have checked some odds pokerstars is giving out for the games of our league.. they seem waaay off to me and i got 1.9 ( score 4:0 ), 1.7 ( score 4:0 ), 1.9 ( score 3:1 ) and another 1.7 ( score 3:0 ) correctly betting only 4 times over all ( i usually just play poker and don´t do sports betting or anything else ).

i don´t even know what the - 300 means or anything

have just calculated my own odds id lay for these 4 games and they were always around 1.3/1.4 if not even just 1.2 in once case. So yea: after following one small league for 20+ years you will sure have a huge edge vs the bank imho and you should specialize in rather 1 or 2 leagues/sports then in a lot of different stuff. just my 2 cents, anyway: good luck OP!

Man i can't wait for stars to do sports betting in the uk😋

Thank you.

Finding value is certainly important in sports betting. I think the best way to find value is to look for live dogs. When you think that a certain team should be favored to win and you are getting points with them, those are the bets that offer the best value. You can always look for lines that seem to be off as well. Lots of cappers will make their own lines before they every look at the actual lines. This is another good approach for finding value. When they see a big discrepancy in the actual lines versus their lines, they pounce on the perceived value they find in lines that are off.

However, value is sometimes overrated by handicappers. Some cappers spend too much time looking for lines that are off instead of simply picking winners. A key concept to keep in mind in sports betting is that you will always come out on top if you can pick winners. It's like the last lines in Casino, "But in the end, I wound up right back where I started. I could still pick winners, and I could still make money for all kinds of people back home. And why mess up a good thing?" If you can pick winners, why mess up a good thing by worrying about trying to figure out value? Just find the winners and bet on them. You may have to pay a lot of juice that makes cappers who only look for value cringe, but the point is to profit. There are multiple approaches to winning, and I think that every sports bettor has to find the one that works for him or her.

I think it is best to bet on things you are knowledgeable about and enjoy watching. If these sports happen to be more obscure, then you can find a lot of soft lines that make profiting easier. I would not recommend laying bets on every match of any sport unless you are one of the top-tier handicappers in the world. Yes, you can profit doing it, but it is much easier IMO to just look for one or two plays a day. If you can average a win or two a day, you will be doing very well.

-300 means that you win 100 for every 300 you bet. On the other hand, +300 would mean that you win 300 for every 100 you bet. Hope that makes it clear to everyone.

I agree with you that you can find a lot of value in the most obscure leagues. Unfortunately, I am an American who enjoys watching our major sports. That means there are fewer lines that are way off, but they are still there. Especially when it comes to college sports.

And feel free to say football.

SB: +3.00

BR: 57.65

Warriors -4.5 -110

Risk 3.30 to win 3.00

Just be thankful you live in a country where sports betting and poker is so frickin' easy. Or will your new conservative government be as whack-a-doo as our conservative government and do everything they can to shut it down?

SB: +3.00

BR: 60.65

Cavs -225

Risk 4.50 to win 2.00

SB: +2.00

BR: 62.65

Real Madrid -155

Risk 3.10 to win 2.00

SB: -3.10

BR: 59.55

Royals -1.5 +135

Risk 3.00 to win 4.05

Gonna put a small bet on the Cavs to win Game 6. I see a lot of value in this line. Lebron is pretty money when it comes to closing out teams in a Game 6 situation, and I think the Cavs will be motivated to win this one to get the extra rest they need to heal up. If it doesn't hit, it will be time to unload on them in Game 7.

Cavs +110

Risk 2.00 to win 2.20

This is an interesting thread to someone who knows nothing about sports betting. Best of luck!

You guys are asking for sport betting advice from a guy who is broke with $5.45 left in his account?

Thank you. I hope that I can pass on some knowledge in this thread.

First troll. Does that mean this thread has arrived?

SB: +13.25 (includes 7.00 from the two Cavs series bets cashing)
Poker: +4.14

BR: 76.94

Grizzlies +5 -105

Risk 2.10 to win 2.00

Texas Rangers -122

Risk 2.44 to win 2.00

Tampa Bay Rays -104

Risk 2.08 to win 2.00

Since I am making a couple of MLB bets today, I'd like to take the opportunity to mention an important thing to do when betting MLB. Obviously, the starting pitcher is a huge factor in a baseball game. The starting pitchers are the first thing I look at when capping a game. Therefore, you never want to bet on an MLB game as action. When you place the bet, there will be four options available. You can bet it as "Action," which means that the bet will go no matter who the starting pitchers are. You can also take the option of selecting one pitcher or the other to start and action for the other team. This can sometimes be a good option if you are making a bet on an ace who you think will carry his team to victory no matter who the opposing starting pitcher is. However, most of the time you should take the option of making the bet contingent on both scheduled starting pitchers actually starting. Since the capping you do is so contingent on the starting pitchers, you need to make sure you are protected in case one of them is a late scratch. If you choose one of the non-action options, the bet will be canceled if the starter or starters you selected do not actually start.

SB: -6.62

BR: 70.32


American Pharoah -125

Risk 3.75 to win 3.00

Dodgers -1.5 +100

Risk 3.00 to win 3.00