thought process for the following punt :

vs flop cbet : mandatory call. Vs this bet I am floating very wide with almost every bdfd +bdsd
vs turn cbet : here things change a bit ,while in theory I should have called often , I think versus a 100NL reg I should fold .
vs river cbet : here is the spot where the punt comes .. first of all I didnt think that I have any sdv ,even for those pot odds .On the other side , I thought that blocking FH and nut flush were premium properties to turn my hand into a bluff ( I am not a psycho who jams vs blockbets all the time ,I jam vs every size ) . The problem is that the pot odds were way too good, so I cant blame him for calling ( Personally I would fold vs unknown- tight player ).

The interesting part : right after he called ,he typed in the chat 'You cant jam there'. A few hands later that I met him again ,I replied ' why I cant jam ' ?
He replied ' you have no flushes besides 65cc'

I realized that I am a blind man playing cards and promised to myself that I will never bluff again when I am facing aggression(at least if there is not a clear shift on nut advantage)

In the past I was playing like a maniac, trying to win every hand . Actually, you can do that on rnc. There is no point in staying balanced vs unknowns in a pool where none is able to track your stats. And this pool is huge.
You can either overbluff on every node, or underbluff (loosing a ton of value) on every node

I almost folded this one(called at last 1 sec remaining on timebank). But considering the fact that BB has a decent cold 4bet range (capable of bluffing enough) I called. If bb was nitty I would snapfold. Actually, even if BB is loose ,I think folding is the best move there.

punted 2 hero calls for whole stack

v is kinda off about that fwiw - we have QJ/QT/JTcc as well as 66/22, and we can jam as wide as KJ for value anyway

But I think the point still stands, I've come to realize that most of my punts are in spots like this. There is the occasional super aggro reg or fish where you can just print by constantly jamming it in their face, but even the better types of lower stakes regs like this v, who are playing basically solver perfect sizings, can still have their ranges too weighted towards value on later streets when showing aggression to do anything but keep overfolding some turns and rivers

when the bet is so small otf you actually should have way more flushes than QJ etch in range by the river ,at least I do and solver does so too. No matter what ,when someone tells you that you have only 65ss in range ,you have to acknowledge that your bluff was a huge - EV and probably the most of your bluffs vs this player in similar spots will be -EV since you are thinking completely different about the game .. Also, I think you are right. In many boards people underbluff in 3oop. I think this specific board is one of those

Also,this week on RNC

Rake given - Rakeback taken (!)


As far as I read jackpot fee is not included in the rake stat on HM3

running so sick
I am disappointed though ,looking at my redline tanking that much
Its the first time in my poker life to run like that , I had never felt before the good side of variance and it doesnt make me happy at all
I wish I could run like that in higher stakes :P
Gonna take a break for 2-3 days and review my game a bit/study

Oh right yeah I get what you mean, I thought you were saying you believed that guy lol

If the worst your redline does is -10bb/100, and for only a stretch, then I wouldn't be too worried about it. Especially since your actual redline is much better than that presumably

Actually its not the last session , my red keeps going down for weeks, but whatever, as long as green is good I guess I will be fine

Some hands

Tough spot
Hand has good blockers
But I think that I have to worry about how much he bluffs with T7,T6.
If V is capable and aggro he should know that those combos are good bluffs.If he bluffs them full freq then I am actually loosing vs bluffs
I think though in order to bluff those combos you need to think at least for 2 seconds and he snapped the river

In the last 20 k hands I have completely lost my motivation to play 100 NL. I think the pool is soft. But the winrate that can someone achieve on other sites can be way bigger. Rake & rake back are such raw deals on GG. I have been running SICK in terms of all in EV. I do have experienced very bad postflop variance though.

In my last hands I was playing a lot in B,C game..

Below is the merged graph in BBs of rnc50 and rnc100.
The second graph is rnc100 alone.

So I am gonna play at 200NL.While checking some high volume regs on GG NL200 reg tables , they all have very poor WR due to the insane rake on reg tables.That discourages me from playing there ,so I am thinking about ACR ..
I hate trying to find good tables and bumhunt..its so boring... I just want to play

Most of my winnings are based on pure aggression(not that much out of line,but overbluffed frequencies for sure), something that I am not sure I will be able to keep on reg tables /higher stakes ,so the sooner I start balancing my game ,the better..


rnc50 +rnc100



rnc100


rnc100 stats


edit*
some hands were not imported for unknown reason in the new database that i created to merge the hands,the stats are from the rnc100 database

Yeah I feel ya on the getting bored of a stake.

Do you think it helps keep you motivated by abandoning lower stakes altogether? Or think you’ll mix 200nl at your own pace until 100 kinda disappears after time?

I struggle with jumping stakes and the idea of performing with a (possibly) lower winrate.

I think I was looking a bit back and saw there are still some sick winners on GG so it’s not impossible you stick it out there and endboss it.

Really enjoy reading your thread, good luck. Personally I think you’ll do fine wherever you play

Hello Swerbs,ty for the feedback.
To be honest ,up until now I was able to play in softer tables on apps (overall softer games ,bad regs,plenty of fish). My winnings there were offering me a comfort zone that would allow me to take fast shots on higher stakes.

I dont have this luxury anymore though..(restricted by agents)

Also to my mind ,to jump from 100 to 200 ,is a bigger step than say 50 to 100.

My plan is to actually take a 7 bi shot.If I loose, I will review my hands and try to decide whether my losses come from variance, tilt or poor performance..If its variance I will put another 7bi .In any other case I will drop, regrind , reshot. If I fail on my second attempt(so 28bi lost in total ), I will hire a coach.



But I wouldnt worry about a lower winrate, like,even if your winrate is only the half of the previous stake,you are making the same money,with more rakeback and skill development

I am happy to hear that someone enjoys my thread ( kinda talking to myself here, but it really helps me to stay focused on my goal)