Quote:
Originally Posted by mirage01
Missing the lolz. Updates?
Got very sick right after my small vacation from poker, meh, maybe will play again today. My brother and some friends came to town, they're on vacation from their universities. So I'll also play less because I have to go out with them, will probably be like that until next month. Still sitting at 10k hands for the month(didn't play since the last update with the graph).
But I don't think it was like that because of my winning tilt, I was legit super sick, didn't even study law lol! Was just watching movies all day haha. It's so annoying to put low volume, variance is so high, sometime ago I was really mad because I was getting super unlucky and couldn't grow my bankroll(was 33 BI below EV on january). Now that I'm winning I'm afraid that I'm just getting lucky lol. So without a decent sample size to prove it I'm always lacking confidence.
Also there was some lack of discipline at the start of the month, was sleeping late and wasn't saving enough time for poker, will have to work on that. I think that will be one of the biggest problems if I decide to go pro one day, I'm such a lazy person. I'm in love with poker, that's the reason why I keep thinking about hands all day and play even tired after a tough day of studies, but once it fades out, I don't know how I'll be able to study/put volume. Even while enjoying the game so much I end up not playing enough. For a part-timer I've put some decent volume though, played 36k hands/month on average since september.
I've also started reading again some old school pokerbooks, like exploiting regulars and let there be range, will read those while in my smoke-breaks(much more productive than reading BBV or 6betme's thread lol). Strat is usually bad in there, but there are some clever stuff I've found out in there and some cool spots as well that gave me ideas and some stuff to think about!
So I was thinking about one specific spot, it's in how should we deal with overbets OTT and which strats work best vs that. After thinking for a while, in a normal SPR spot, it's very hard for us to develop a raising range OTT, mostly because if we don't just raise-jam, we are spending a lot of money and giving villain sick odds to call, so he will be able to defend a lot of his range vs that.
So I thought about donking some rivers, it's a way cheaper solution because the min-raise OTT is restrictive, when you min-raise a 1.5x pot, you can only do it to 3x, right? So it's the same thing as a 37,5% donk bet OTR. By donking river we can choose a sizing between 20%-33%. Also by looking at which rivers are better for donking, we can donk in the exact ones that we like, if we raise, we will still have to see a river and a lot of them could be pretty bad.
This is the spot I've made some work on(with pokerstove LOL vaaaamo!)
Board is Jh3c6d2d X river
BTN vs BB, BB cc pre-flop, range cbet OTF by BTN, BB calls, turn BTN overbets for 1.5x and BB calls.
I've made the ranges for those plays with what I've thought that was reasonable, mostly of what I would be calling vs a very strong player that is capable of putting enough pressure in those spots with enough bluffs.
These are the rivers that I've tested on, most bricks should play like 8s in there.
Red color indicates the rivers that we should seriously think about developing a donking range, while yellow indicates those that I'm not really sure. It looks like it's ok to have some donks on some diamonds and specially Jd, but I think the strat would be so tough in there and it's usually a very weird spot, so I expect that it's hard to apply in real time.
Now on offsuit 3x and 8x(basically any brick), it seems to be a good approach to donk for a small sizing with our busted draws and SDV in order to put pressure on villain's check backs and get a cheaper price vs villain's valuebets.
On Jx and 6x it seems to be good to have a donk-overbetting range mostly for value, because a lot of villain's range will check back(mostly on Jx, on 6x I expect people to underestimate that card a lot, when they shouldn't). The most important factor in deciding if 6x is actually a scary card is to see if the 6x in the board has the same suit of the flush draw, if it has, it's way safer, but if it isn't, it's quite dangerous because all FDs with a 6 are calling turn.
Will work more on that later, donking river is something I really want to learn how to do, it's very interesting and I think it has a lot of value both on gto poker and explo too!