Quarter of a Million in 2013 Challenge - Page 6 - Poker Blogs and Goals -- Two Plus Two Poker Forums

Turn is a bit of merge, river is a bluff to get him off an overpair. Given positions his stats and the blocker I assumed that his range for getting to river did not include more than 3-4 combos of flush or better. Probably would not try this too much vs a good reg though.

01-29-2013 , 12:00 PM

#128

13_Xerxes

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Nov 2006 Posts: 3,968

Quote:

Originally Posted by Xela

Poker Stars, $5/$10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #15836911

UTG: $1,037.98 (103.8 bb)
MP: $1,000 (100 bb)
CO: $780 (78 bb)
Hero (BTN): $1,094 (109.4 bb)
SB: $1,000 (100 bb)
BB: $2,555.96 (255.6 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with Q

3 folds, Hero raises to $20, SB folds, BB calls $10

Flop: ($45) 2

(2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $28.80, BB raises to $100, Hero calls $71.20

Turn: ($245) Q

(2 players)
BB bets $215, Hero calls $215

River: ($675) K

(2 players)
BB bets $2,220.96 and is all-in, Hero calls $759 and is all-in

Spoiler:

Get the Flash Player to use the Hold'em Manager Replayer.

I like a lot your line with you 69o (even if you will see AQ or better some of the time), but I hate your river call on this one.

When he is CRing this flop : he got : AIR / made hand or a draw. Sure, when he shoves this river he is polarizing himself to set / flushes, but a lot his draws get there, and you beat only few draws (89, A3, 7s8s

) and total AIR (probably with heart)... Any read on this reg to make this call ?

01-29-2013 , 01:28 PM

#129

Xela

veteran

Join Date: May 2010 Posts: 3,163

Obviously won't go into reg specific reads but in any case I don't why you say a lot of draws got there. The only draw that got there is the club FD, everything else missed including all straight draws and heart draw. Note that we have a good blocker to that, he will not raise all FD OTF, we need to be good only ~35% of time and we are very close to the top of our range. Pretty sure call is EV+.

01-29-2013 , 02:19 PM

#130

Don Melchor

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Sep 2007 Posts: 5,662

very impressive job, much respect

01-29-2013 , 02:27 PM

#131

h3l6e

centurion

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 192

Quote:

Originally Posted by isunkurbttlship

I am jealous, wp

+1

mbn to run over EV liftetime

anyway gl by finishing ur challenge next month

01-30-2013 , 05:52 AM

#132

phenomenal

old hand

Join Date: Oct 2009 Posts: 1,524

Quote:

Originally Posted by Xela

Case of ? TT/88/44/T8 raises flop and most combinations of flushes fold pre except maybe AQdd/AJdd/KQdd/QJdd and he can't have JTdd/T9dd/98dd/87dd/76dd because of the board.

01-30-2013 , 06:47 AM

#133

Xela

veteran

Join Date: May 2010 Posts: 3,163

Yeah, and given stats and positions he probably does not have 44,T8 or even AJs in his prefloprange.

01-30-2013 , 08:14 PM

#134

Xela

veteran

Join Date: May 2010 Posts: 3,163

\month as planning to take a day off tomorrow. Obviously very pleased with my results and I think I played very well for the most part. But on the other side I realise that I was on a bit of a heater so need to stay grounded as the next d/s is as always just around the corner

Think I would be happy with half the profit next month. Anyway, here are the final results:

01-30-2013 , 09:27 PM

#135

blakkman08

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2011 Posts: 13,134

sick stuff man, congrats!

01-30-2013 , 09:42 PM

#136

sbarnhouse

old hand

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 1,215

Stupid app from my phone wont let me view graphs ... I can see most other posted pics tho.

Anyway, subbed.. look foward to sweating your goal all year.

01-31-2013 , 03:48 AM

#137

gadolparah

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Dec 2009 Posts: 4,356

Killing it man. Keep on crushing on.

01-31-2013 , 05:04 AM

#138

Glanza_Mike

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Sep 2010 Posts: 4,098

Wow, just wow, head = exploded.

02-01-2013 , 01:27 AM

#139

ishipkq

old hand

Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 1,479

yeah well, you are still a 40 year old who makes a living gambling and playing video games. get a real job you bum

jk ofc, congrats and keep crushing it!

02-01-2013 , 03:03 AM

#140

Malfunction

old hand

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 1,719

So sick. Holiday april-december?

02-02-2013 , 08:35 AM

#141

BH2

grinder

Join Date: Apr 2011 Posts: 662

Would you say you have a low variance style?

02-02-2013 , 09:33 AM

#142

Xela

veteran

Join Date: May 2010 Posts: 3,163

Not sure, never thought about it. Why would you think so?

02-02-2013 , 09:55 AM

#143

BH2

grinder

Join Date: Apr 2011 Posts: 662

just wondering your graph doesn't have to much variance

02-02-2013 , 09:55 AM

#144

alextrev1111

adept

Join Date: May 2010 Posts: 1,030

high winrate = low variance.. well only winning variance

xela is not a nit though if thats what ur wondering

02-02-2013 , 10:20 AM

#145

IveGotUrOuts

old hand

Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 1,407

U can just look ur variance up in HM fwiw.

02-02-2013 , 04:51 PM

#146

Xela

veteran

Join Date: May 2010 Posts: 3,163

Ha, yeah not a nit. Also I had downswings in the past but you cannot see them well because the latest heater at high/mid stakes is overshadowing the ups and downs at lower stakes. I think my biggest downswing was in the region if 30BI.