H1 - I wouldn't keep betting the turn. AP - yes, we have a nice bluff, but I would bet like 1/3-1/2 of the pot OTR.

H2 - wp.

Update on blind play + button. If anyone has any recommendations related to what I am about to chat about (e.g. Youtube or Runitonce vids, books, solver stuff) let me know.

I have been working on BB and SB defence.

BB defence showing clear improvement. This is the main spot I have been training, so I am glad things are going well. Basically I was completing far too loose, not being aggressive enough on flops that favoured my range, and calling way too many flop and turn bets. I am pretty confident in my play from this spot now.



SB Defence not doing as well. I'm not exactly sure why I am not doing so well in this spot. I am going to focus on 3bet pots in this position and SB v BB play, as these spots come up the most and therefore will have the greatest impact on the SB win rate. I am not so confident in this spot, especially in 3 bet pots, so I really want to work hard to improve here.



As for the button, I fell like my play in this position hasn't been going so well lately and I don't really know why that is the case. It could be variance, but I feel like I've changed something here. I think I am going to drop my work on BB defence and replace it with some work on button play. Hopefully my work will help improve my winrate.

A juicer for the lols:



Can we shove the river? I considered it but thought a Q might fold to such a massive bet. FWIW he snap called as played.



Is the river bet stupid? I felt like it was dumb as soon as he snapped, but hard not to be results oriented.

Yes, I don't think Villain will have much of a difference in calling ranges vs a shove and 2x OB.

I think this is a bad hand to bluff. We block his missed FDs, which will be the basis of his flop check/raise bluff range.

I am learning that a huge part of getting better at this game is acceptance: acceptance of making mistakes and understanding that this does not have to make you feel bad; it is simply a learning opportunity.

Here I made a big mistake and bet the river when I have a clear check back. There isn't really any reason to bet at all.

My first reaction was to be unkind to myself. I felt stupid and tilted by it. But it does not have to be this way. This mistake is one of many to come; it's all about learning from it and getting better.

Am I a nit?

90k hand update

A weird 10k hands. I don't think I've been playing good or bad, just average. I am mindful of just working on my game and fulfilling my study goals. The variance has been very weird: bad variance in that I keep missing flops, face very bad runouts and keep running into the top of people's ranges; good variance in that when I get Allin I am winning a lot.

Over the next 10k hands I will continue to study the small blind in 3bet pots and button play. I would like to see my SB graph flatten out a bit, and I would like to see my overall win rate on the button increase just a tad, I haven't been winning much from the button at all.



More hands to come, but this one deserves a special mention:



EDIT:

Some hands

Here I felt like I was blocking all of villain's folds holding a J and diamonds. That and considering this is a multiway pot, I thought shutting down was the best option. Should I barrel?



I followed the same logic here. Does a 6 fold here? What about 77-99?



This is an interesting one. Solver wants me to go bigger on the flop and continue barreling the turn. I felt a check was okay, but I really don't know. I suppose there are enough hands in villain's range that can call a bet, and I never face a raise. I have no idea why villain checked the turn. I think my river bet is standard and solver likes it as played.
Should we always barrel the turn on the suited over card?
S ]

Looks ok

Against what seems like a reg. What do we think of this? I think I have an easy fold, but solver wants me to call almost 100%. I just don't think this is a bluff often enough.

From villain's point-of-view, I understand he thinks I will check back most if not all of my range, but I still think he needs to check on the river, at least at a frequency.




This against a fishy player. Is it a mistake to raise the turn? I think it's an easy fold on the river.

Sun running our way back to 50nl. New 5 buy-in shot starting this evening. At one point we were -2500BB and now we are 600BB in the green. Let's ****ing go.




More graph porn


25nl all time




This month 1.5k hands of 50nl, rest 25nl

Turn is fine and fold on the river too.

We finished up 850BB in yesterday's juicy 2500 hand session. Broke pretty much even in 50nl, completely crushed 25nl.

Some super interesting spots. Lots of hands, so thank you if you take the time to look through all of them! Feedback appreciated.

Hand 1

I am starting to realise I do not fully understand how to pick the right bluffs from a GTO perspective. I have reviewed some of my bluffs over the last few weeks and the result is more often than not the same: wrong hand, wrong spot.
I thought this was a good candidate because I unblock clubs and block his KQ and KJ combos. I have AA, KK, 1010 and K10 for value.
Can anyone explain to me why the solver isn't a fan? Also, even if this isn't a good candidate from a GTO perspective, is my logic sound in picking this hand?


Hand 2 and Hand 3
One thing I have learnt from studying is that solvers really want to pile all the money in with the best hands.
The machine literally just wants to do whatever it can to get all the money in. I have gotten better at recognising these spots.




Hand 4
Despite my learning, there are still spots where I still need to remind myself to pile in. Here I should have raised more on the turn because no A, flush or boat is ever folding the turn. A bigger turn bet inflates the pot. I could have won a lot more here.


Hand 5
A think a fold on the river is a better exploitative play here. Perhaps a bigger raise on the flop is also better to disincentivise light floats.


Hand 6
This one was interesting. I think in theory we just stick it in pre, but cold 4bets are so strong at 25nl that I think I am flipping at best, so my strategy here is to flat. I am thinking now that because I am out of position, I should just jam pre.
As played, the king on the turn pretty much destroys my hand. I don't see JJ or 1010 shoving the river, so pretty much always beat.


Hand 7
78 is a very low frequency call, and this guy had 23% 3bet over like 50 hands, so I called.
Interestingly, the solver wants me to call the river most of the time. Exploitatively, are we ever ahead though? Probably sometimes, but likely not very often.

Poker is so much a mental game. There are so many spots that are uncomfortable yet so important, and in these spots it is essential to be good enough to make the right decision. A poor mental game - fear, tilt, desperation, self-doubt - can be the deciding factor in the end.

This is especially true in a shot-take. Bigger stakes mean bigger consequences, so being confident and ready to pull the trigger when necessary makes a big difference.

But we must also remember to be fair to ourselves. It is completely human to feel doubt or fear or desperation when you're taking a risk. We can be proud of ourselves for taking the risk, and we can forgive ourselves when we make a mistake.

I should have pulled the trigger here and I wanted to in the moment, but fear and doubt trickled in. I can forgive myself for this and move forward. I will become comfortable at this new stake; this is just a stepping stone.

This against what seemed like a reg. Am I giving my opponent too much respect here? Or is this just -ev always at 50nl? I feel like I have been giving my opponents at 50nl too much respect, but it seems that they are just as unbalanced as at 25nl.

What do we think?


I really liked my line here.

I've been playing a mix of 25nl and 50nl tables. Getting completely wrecked at 50nl. Here is my lifetime 50nl which is two separate shots of roughly 2k hands each.



Def running bad and not playing well no doubt, but I am really worried about my redline at 50nl, which is just horrendous. In comparison, at 25nl is stable at about -5bb/100 this month.
I don't know. I mean, the players are obviously a bit better, but the jump can't be that big.
Anyway, I move forward. Time for a regrind at 25nl. The plan is to win back 10 25nl buyins before taking another shot. Current BR stands at about $1400. I will take another shot at around $1650
50nl had been my goal. I want to play at that stake and remain there for a while and prove I can win. I will make it, just need to keep on learning, play my game and stay positive.

100k hands

100 000 hands down and I broke even. It was an interesting ride with many lessons. I have learnt that this game is much more swingy than people really appreciate. The variance is just a part of the game, and I know I have learnt to deal with that now because I am currently on a bad run, dropping 10 buyins in 5k hands, but unlike earlier in the sample, I am not stressed about it. I have just come to realise that it is a part of the game and that I should simply focus on getting better.



I take much hope from this sample.
1) I was able to push through and recover after being 25 buyins down.
2) This is my first real sample of hands, and I only really started studying at the 25k hand mark. If I can break even at my current skill level - both mental and technical - then I am confident I can win.
3) I enjoyed the process. The goal isn't really to win money at this point because I am playing stakes that are too low to win any real money. For now, it is just enough to enjoy getting better.

Naturally my goal for the next 100k hands is to simply be in the green, which I acknowledge may not happen even if I am playing well. I am confident that if I stay in control of my mental game and keep working on my understanding of common spots, then I will find success.

Let's go!

Thought I would come back to update this thread having abandoned it ages ago.

So, after I hit 100k hands I started taking the game pretty seriously as a hobby. I got lucky a few times:

- $1500 Bad Beat Jackpot as the loser
- $500 Bad Beat Jackpot as the winner

This in addition to:
- $250 in sign-up bonus
- A lucky bink in GGMasters for $400 after getting a free ticket from GG (likely because I was a new member).

All that money I got from sheer luck + rake back and GGcare/GGcheers adds up to over $3000. Which is nice.

The thing is, I'm just not a winning player. I have tried really hard to get better. I bought GTOW and studied a ton (prob over 300 hours), and accessed RunItOnce for a few months. But it never really had an impact on my game. Here is my all-time graph since I started playing again:



All the money won subtract the loses ended up being about a $1800ish profit. The BR got as high at $2400 in profit.

But, yeah. Unfortunately, I am just not seeing enough improvement to convince myself to keep trying. I am not even coming close to winning at 25nl, so I don't expect I will ever be good enough to get up to a decent level:




I have decided to withdraw. I am going leave a small amount, say $300 in my account to keep playing as hobby at 10nl when I am keen, and going to withdraw the rest. It'll cover my initial deposit, GTOW sub and some RunItOnce months plus a bit of profit.

It was fun, but I just don't have the skill.

GL everyone on your journey!

Didn’t read your thread before but props for this update which lots of player wouldn’t have made.
GL on everything moving away from poker !


Enviado desde mi iPhone utilizando Tapatalk

hello...yep POKER it's one of the thoughest professions...but we love this ...so i see you make lot and lot of efforts....maybe your leak it's mental???

i don't know..but for the momenti can't beat NL10 (fast and regular) but i 'm trying to improve , if you want to spy my blog you are welcome