Played the old man home game again last night. The evening got off to a rocky start:
2 limpers to me, I raise to $15 with Q
8
on the button. Everyone calls. 100bb effective.
Flop ($60): 4
5
7
BB leads out for $20. He's an active player, sometimes overvalues weak made hands including top pair. Have not seen him run a big bluff.
Folds to me, I decide to raise to $65. I think this folds out a lot of his top pair hands, and will buy me a free river against some of his stronger made hands. All that said, calling given the direct odds was probably the better play.
This goes out the window when Villain rips it in.
I hate calling it off in this spot, but I know based on previous experience with this Villain that he never has Nut Hearts here. It is 100% a made hand.
So there is now $310 in the pot and I have to call $100. I'm getting 3:1 on my money and therefore need 25% for this call to be correct. Let's range this Villain:
Hand | Pot equity | Wins | Ties |
---|
Qh8h | 36.18% | 5,569 | 324 |
44,55,77,6x8x,4x5x,5x7x | 63.82% | 9,947 | 324 |
As you can see, I gave the Villain all combos of sets, suited connectors, and one gappers that are made hands. Given this set of assumptions, it is a call with 36% equity.
Whew, mental exercise. Unfortunately we bricked out here. Re-buy please!
Eventually we got down to playing short handed and that was when I totally shined. I forgot how much fun it is to just put the screws to the table.
No one was playing back at me, and so I was raising like 60% of hands from the cutoff and button. Ended the night up a small $100 profit.
As an aside:
I've been trying really hard over the past two weeks to get myself in a healthy eating mode. It's a pretty big lifestyle change for me as I've been overweight for quite sometime.
While I've been able to remove any temptations to eat poorly from my house, being at a home game with people eating pizza, chinese food, and calzones was freaking torture. Willpower man, it's a *****.
I'll give sporadic updates on my weight loss in this thread as well. Hopefully writing about it will help keep me accountable to myself.
Until next time,