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Old 01-27-2016, 05:03 AM   #2201
skillz_2106
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Re: Pads1161 #bracelethunting

Thought process on that QQ hand is incredible and as such I'm actually a pretty big fan of the fold and the line you took wrt stack sizes and icm. This thread just keeps delivering!
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Old 01-27-2016, 07:04 AM   #2202
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Re: Pads1161 #bracelethunting

I dont like the idea to lead QQ on flop and even less on turn.
Id call turn tho especially vs a aggro player, i think your play makes more sense vs a nit.

Its always fun to see ppl say "xy is so good he won 2 45man hr sngs" lol^^

I wasnt watching the start of the last one but the rois cant be big at all if you look at the FT. Ben86 fedor rast and a few other regs who shouldnt have any leaks (especially in mtts at <30bb). The only way i can imagine anybody having a good roi is if there were ~ 10 whales earlier in the mtt when i didnt watch.
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Old 01-27-2016, 12:47 PM   #2203
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Re: Pads1161 #bracelethunting

Quote:
Originally Posted by Re8uZ View Post
QQ hand, pre fine with those stack sizes and icm i also prefer call vs 3bet

flop is interesting... i think leading/evaluate should be good here

as played on flop i think i will lead most turns (except A/K/Q) 40-60% pot and evaluate i think he will rarely(read never) raise draws/weak made showdown hands here cos u have all sets/2pairs/str8 combos in your range that you r bet/jaming with ( u should have them imo) so i think he will be prety honest when you lead turn,
also plan is to check almost all river and i also think that he will be pretty honest on rivers too from same reasoning (i understand that u were taking pot control line but imo vs agro spewtards best pot control line is to do the bet sizing by your self)


as you played the hand I DO NOT AGREE that his betting pot % tendencies are to bomb river, imo his hand in my eyes (in vacum) looks like made hand that wants protection/want to charge you from drawing/ or some 9T/J9 TT/JJ A8 J8 type of hand, im prety sure that most rivers as played will go check/check
I WILL CALL TURN as played and evaluate rivers

Hey

As I said he took less than 5 seconds to bet, IMO it is very indicative of a hand that wants to keep betting. You say it looks like a "made hand" most made hands crush us except for 9x, but I think 9x will very likely take more than 5 seconds to consider its action and will likely choose a smaller sizing. I think the SNAP larger sizing is indicative of a v strong hand or draw that will blast river (just my thoughts though and thats what poker is all about, making your own perceptions)
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Old 01-27-2016, 12:51 PM   #2204
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Re: Pads1161 #bracelethunting

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Originally Posted by Mepslol View Post
I dont like the idea to lead QQ on flop and even less on turn.
Id call turn tho especially vs a aggro player, i think your play makes more sense vs a nit.

Its always fun to see ppl say "xy is so good he won 2 45man hr sngs" lol^^

I wasnt watching the start of the last one but the rois cant be big at all if you look at the FT. Ben86 fedor rast and a few other regs who shouldnt have any leaks (especially in mtts at <30bb). The only way i can imagine anybody having a good roi is if there were ~ 10 whales earlier in the mtt when i didnt watch.
Without trying to say bang bang I would imagine a lot of the guys in this field will make substantial mistakes with less than 30bb effective stack sizes. Some will be very good though of course.

I remembered once Stevie Chidwick did something against me with 25bbs and I was like LOLWTF what an awful jam, then 1 year later I realise its super standard and wouldn't think about doing anything else. These spots you just really need to do intensive lab work
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Old 01-27-2016, 02:07 PM   #2205
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Re: Pads1161 #bracelethunting

Quote:
the day is often "lost" because of it. Especially if I try to play tournaments / late session , then waking up early, being productive...
Now try to raise kids on the side. Instaboom.
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Old 01-27-2016, 02:33 PM   #2206
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Re: Pads1161 #bracelethunting

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Originally Posted by OurSurveySays View Post
Hey

As I said he took less than 5 seconds to bet, IMO it is very indicative of a hand that wants to keep betting. You say it looks like a "made hand" most made hands crush us except for 9x, but I think 9x will very likely take more than 5 seconds to consider its action and will likely choose a smaller sizing. I think the SNAP larger sizing is indicative of a v strong hand or draw that will blast river (just my thoughts though and thats what poker is all about, making your own perceptions)
Thats why i said in vacum, u played with villain and u see him how he plays hands how long he take for bet beting size tendencies etc
I had never played at winamax i dont know softwer...
Does it has betsize btns 1/3 /1/2 2/3? If it has maybe he just click those btns imo. U have a read hunch or w/e and you go with it, its fine, but i also think that u give people sometimes too much credit

P.s. U didnt say what you think about leading flop or turn? Good/bad? why??
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Old 01-27-2016, 08:00 PM   #2207
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Re: Pads1161 #bracelethunting

pre is a super clear 3bet imho. would 3/5b shove tho to reduce variance instead of inducing a 6b shove with a2s or w/e which sucks icm wise. also sure you have your ingame reads, but this turn sizing is rather standard and not out of line or anything of that kind as far as I see it. villain should/could potentially bet WAYYY larger on the turn.
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Old 01-27-2016, 08:18 PM   #2208
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Re: Pads1161 #bracelethunting

I have always wondered about the SHR's. Appreciate your viewpoint lol
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Old 02-01-2016, 01:48 AM   #2209
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Re: Pads1161 #bracelethunting

Very weird week.

Played quite a few sessions. Came 20th in 888s $1500 was in full beast bode and played great. Lost AKs to AA vs this new guy Large Coffee who is new reg on all sites and is absurd aggro. He had 2x average before the hand cut off vs button. Nevermind.

Managed a 4th in Party 50k, pretty sad not to close this one out, again played very good last two tables and lost AKs v A7o to bust

Today I was really looking forward to. I had huge hopes and it was one of the biggest Sunday's in a while. I woke up earlier than I had hoped but that was out of my control. Started the session somewhat tired and lost first 12 or 13 flips and was starting to get pretty frustrated. Over the last 4 months I've unregged a lot more sessions than I should have done and likely cost myself a bunch of money. I went to the bathroom in the break, put my face under the cold tap and got myself more livelier. I'd love to say this was the reason that I ended up winning/chopping the 200 turbo for 20k but it was simply just running good. Previously this year I've had 10 finishes between 4-9th. For a Probabky combined 40k or so and some of those had big 1st position scores (80k+ etc) I'd played really well then and fell because of the rng, this time I managed to get the gold medal but I didn't do anything special or grear, just ran well when it mattered. I lost ak v a9 3 handed after kt2r flop for all the chips but I wasn't really effected about it that much I realized that I had God modes the entire tournament to get to this phase.

So in the first half of my session when I was losing flip after flip I'd say I had played around 9/10, the second half of the session I got a bunch of stacks, 100k+ winamax high roller (didn't cash) 300k Party high roller (didn't cash) pure bubbled Monaco sest, 4x average 12 left 200r (came 6th) but I didn't do anything great at all to get these stacks I just ran well and won important flips. I could moan how I finished 46th (45th being the first cash position) inn the Party major at v at all in on ttx but that would be a fraud thing to do, I'd won j8 v 66, kq v aq and many other fortunate hands prior. I could moan about busting in TCOOP high roller a6 v a5 aip but then again I won qq v aa in tcoop main to lock up a cash. I could moan about running bad for the last 6 months but I won a WCOOP and final tabled another 2 just before then. I could moan about not cashing EPTs when I get it in really good but then again I final tabled two WPT back to back for over $150k.

Around 3 months ago a friend asked me if I wanted to study some piosolver range building and I told him that I didn't care about doing anything like that. Tournaments are easy enough without complicating it.

Around a month later I got my drive back. I'm still relatively new to MTTs, I've only played 10-15k of them lifetime. I'm starting to kind of "get them" a little better now. Yes I will run bad over short stretches, yes I will run bad over long stretches, awful players run good over short periods and awful players run good over longer periods. To have a sick session with loads of amazing stacks doesn't mean that I played my A game and played like a sicko. To have an awful session when I don't cash any tournaments doesn't mean that I played my C game and punted stacks left right and centre. I will get stacks from running good and lose stacks from running bad. The win rates we have are long term and uncontrollable to is. I simply just have to make my expected returns as high as possible and hey if I run bad I run bad who gives a ****.

This month was probably the most I ever did in terms of strategy content. I locked myself away in my room and did a lot of hours of study. I have high hopes about the future, I want to do well Ofc but I also completely understand that there's a good chance I won't win for x amount of time. I've said it before but variance SHOULD be he best thing involved in poker for me. I should love that there is variance. If my game doesn't change whe I lose but my opponents games deteriorate then that is such a huge plus for me. If I still register the turbos at the end of my session and r/f ato for 13bbs utg instead of jamming in the hot44 when I've lost 5k that day whilst my opponent rofls it in that is an amazing thing for me. Bring on the variance.

For those who weren't awake I made a bet of essentially $10k that I would be in the best physcial shape of my life by the time of the WSOP. This month was always going to be the hardest. I would say in 2015 I averaged around 4 KFCs a week and around 10+ chocolate bars and perhaps 10 fizzy drinks. I would say I are fries around 10x a week. For the first phase in my cleaning out I basically wanted to test my resistance and see how determined I actually was to do this. I didn't smash the gym 3/4x a week but that sandy really the big goal for this month. I didn't eat any chocolate, sweets, fries, any fast food, fizzy drinks and drank 0 liters of beer. I'm pretty proud of that. I've done on average exercise 2x a week which I'm OK with. The major downside is my sleeping schedule, it's completely ****ed. I guess I'll try to improve that in March. I go to Dublin for 1/3rd of this month and will attempt to continue the healthy eating, although it's incredibly tough with hotels and playing all day every day. Let's see how it goes anyway. I will make an effort for Feb 1st - Feb 10th to go to the gym or do sport 3x and between 21-28 to do the same. Between the 10-20th whilst I'm away I'm not going to set targets, but I'll take my gym shoes to Dublin and hopefully remove them from my suitcase!

Real life stuff will be very interesting I have 3 big potential business opportunities. I won't be able to speak about at least 2 of them on the blog just yet. Will be busy busy busy though. Stable stuff is hopefully going to continue to go well although we've left some leeway for ourselves in case of a quiet month. Big shout out to one of my favorite horses Zolta. We took him on after he was playing $30 husngs. He just seemed like a really clever kid who thought about the game well. He started off at smaller stakes and now he's playing amongst the higher stakes in the team after only being with us for a few months. Last night he shipped an XL event for $15k and his biggest score. So big shout out to him.

Last but definitely not least big shout out to Party Poker. My prediction is that this year they will claw a tonne of traffic back from PokerStars and will fight for being market leader. If they listen to their players like they are currently doing and continue in the way of a few things happening behind the scene then I think they will be a huge success. More to come about this in near future... Definitely a company I would love to represent though!
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Old 02-01-2016, 06:32 AM   #2210
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Re: Pads1161 #bracelethunting

Haven't played on Party in a long time, what have they been doing that impressed you?
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Old 02-01-2016, 08:49 AM   #2211
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Re: Pads1161 #bracelethunting

don't to get into a big discussion because in the end it is your own choice, but...

Quote:
Originally Posted by OurSurveySays View Post
Definitely a company I would love to represent though!
PartyPoker is one of the poorest run poker companies in the world in terms of how they value the players:
  • segregating player pools without letting anyone know until the community caught up on it
  • removing top tier rakeback over night with no communication overall
  • introducing cashout fees over night without prior communication to players
  • leaving private information wide open in the client (you can see the age of a player if you dont actively change the settings)
  • ...
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Old 02-01-2016, 11:13 AM   #2212
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Re: Pads1161 #bracelethunting

very nice blog.
subbed.
GL and keep crushing
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Old 02-01-2016, 01:43 PM   #2213
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Re: Pads1161 #bracelethunting

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Originally Posted by OurSurveySays View Post
Very weird week.

pure bubbled Monaco sest
You must have remembered things differently then they happen
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Old 02-01-2016, 05:05 PM   #2214
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Re: Pads1161 #bracelethunting

You just read it wrong "party poker high roller pure bubbled" aka I wrote it wrote and forgot a comma!

glad the police are about just in case though! The whole point of the post was that it doesn't matter if I win, come 7th, 9th or 62nd that's donkaments.
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Old 02-02-2016, 01:18 AM   #2215
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Re: Pads1161 #bracelethunting

Quote:
Originally Posted by sirin View Post
Haven't played on Party in a long time, what have they been doing that impressed you?
Hey. They have changed their approach and have a lot more "must play" stuff, they are prepared to take big gambles in terms of potential overlays to try and raise the traffic. If they continue to listen to players then I think they could do very well.

Quote:
Originally Posted by wombert View Post
don't to get into a big discussion because in the end it is your own choice, but...


PartyPoker is one of the poorest run poker companies in the world in terms of how they value the players:
  • segregating player pools without letting anyone know until the community caught up on it
  • removing top tier rakeback over night with no communication overall
  • introducing cashout fees over night without prior communication to players
  • leaving private information wide open in the client (you can see the age of a player if you dont actively change the settings)
  • ...
Hey, sure they definitely did big mistakes previously. I boycotted party for over 1 year, but I know that they are trying to change the stuff they did previously and realize what is right. They are acting very progressively imo.

Don't get me wrong they are far from perfect, but a site that has problems and wants to fix them is the kind of site we should be supporting imo.

Quote:
Originally Posted by SteTruce View Post
very nice blog.
subbed.
GL and keep crushing
Thanks buddy!
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Old 02-02-2016, 06:12 AM   #2216
Turn
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Re: Pads1161 #bracelethunting

Going to visit Budapest in March, is there any live poker action over there? And what's your bar called again?
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Old 02-02-2016, 04:25 PM   #2217
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Re: Pads1161 #bracelethunting

hey pads if u had to name 10 players to rail who you think are crushing right now with diff styles of play from tag to lag wug?
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Old 02-02-2016, 05:56 PM   #2218
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Re: Pads1161 #bracelethunting

really enjoyed following this thread over the last six months or so
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Old 02-02-2016, 07:08 PM   #2219
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Re: Pads1161 #bracelethunting

Quote:
Originally Posted by Turn View Post
Going to visit Budapest in March, is there any live poker action over there? And what's your bar called again?
Hey, theres no live poker really, if you wanted to play some kind of home game, then maybe I could help out with that. So much to do in Budapest that you don't want to play inside.

Quote:
Originally Posted by The Moo View Post
hey pads if u had to name 10 players to rail who you think are crushing right now with diff styles of play from tag to lag wug?
Though to say really, I guess this is JUST online?

1. elmerixx
2. european
3. veaa
4. fedor
5. sick_one
6. omgjonnyctt
7. caecilius
8. probirs
9. ahhhh is it?
10. 1_conor_b_1

Something like this, order isn't right in all spots, they all play pretty differently, but all have my light pink tag.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Fanoose View Post
really enjoyed following this thread over the last six months or so
Thanks buddy <3
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Old 02-02-2016, 09:07 PM   #2220
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Re: Pads1161 #bracelethunting

Quote:
Originally Posted by OurSurveySays View Post


Though to say really, I guess this is JUST online?

1. elmerixx
2. european
3. veaa
4. fedor
5. sick_one
6. omgjonnyctt
7. caecilius
8. probirs
9. ahhhh is it?
10. 1_conor_b_1

Something like this, order isn't right in all spots, they all play pretty differently, but all have my light pink tag.


No negriin here? Altough being from the same country, i guess he plays a non conventional style that is nice to watch.

Btw, i really like this thread, thanks for doing it!
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Old 02-03-2016, 12:03 AM   #2221
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Re: Pads1161 #bracelethunting

Negriin is great, he just doesn't really play online MTT's anymore as far as I'm aware, definitely haven't played with him this year at least, which this list was all about.
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Old 02-03-2016, 02:57 AM   #2222
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Re: Pads1161 #bracelethunting

Mjw?
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Old 02-03-2016, 03:47 AM   #2223
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Re: Pads1161 #bracelethunting

Quote:
Originally Posted by OurSurveySays View Post
Hey, theres no live poker really, if you wanted to play some kind of home game, then maybe I could help out with that. So much to do in Budapest that you don't want to play inside.
Any tips for a long weekend over there?
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Old 02-03-2016, 07:03 AM   #2224
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Re: Pads1161 #bracelethunting

Vienna is not that far away and you have Concord Casino there I believe.
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Old 02-03-2016, 07:21 AM   #2225
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Re: Pads1161 #bracelethunting

If you had to compre the highrollers to stars mtts which ones have similar player strenghts?
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