Yea, I'm not sure why people get so offended about being told they run good. You can play really good, work really hard and run good at the same time. That is not a bad thing or an insult. It's actually pretty ****ing great.

running well and playing (very) well is a deadly combination



it doesn't matter too much tho, don't just take everything for granted.

as a wise man said to me this week 'poker isn't supposed to be fair' <3

btw there's also something called postflop variance, which I think people underestimate A LOT

This is true. However the original post that sparked this whole thing seemed to imply that it was much more run good than it was playing good. And if I was Pads I'd also be irked that the later wasn't acknowledged!

After 18months+ of such consistency there comes a point where you just have to conclude that there's still a huge skill element involved in these scores, imo. And I'm not suggesting you imply otherwise rowniwin.

My Pocketfives "rail" is filled with people who consistently ship something significant very regularly. Some basically play Tuesday and Sunday only and still churn out unreal scores regularly and across enough players for me to believe that it's largely down to their skill not some outlier run of good fortune!

Even if I'm wrong. I think it's much more productive to believe such a skill level is attainable, than to just write everything off to luck.

Also, keep blogging pads. I don't think you're arrogant seeming at all!

Also, top 25 of Sunday Storm is NOT a good illustrator of how bad you run!!

yeah i agree, examples of the first guy were pretty ridicilous lol, come back when you actually run bad please

He is putting his thoughts out in public gotta expect some people are gonna say you run good and not get upset about it right?

Imo your very good at poker for sure but variance can make or break anyone. Cant underestimate how big it is in big field mtts like a anniversary milly for example which pretty much started you on the mtt path i believe.


Good thread and thanks for putting your strategy out there.

Edit

Subbed.

I absolutely know that It was just very frustrating coming so close a very big score for me-only to be knocked out in 25th and $500 by an unavoidable flip due to stacks been more shallow at that point. Close but no cigar if you see what i mean.

When losing flips knocked me out of several other deep tourney runs the past two weeks i start wonder if i cant win any big flips when it is crucial to do so.

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Insert drubken post in 12 minutes. Going to drink my diet Pepsi with extra fries and double chicken wings in kfc after drinking an absurd amount tonight because I'm super deluded that diet works

I could. I agreed to make a video for runitonce, but then declined at the last minute. I really play a lot different to how you'd expect. In the last tournament I played out of my 72 raises people called/raised 8 times. So 64/72 times I raised and won. If you win an amount like that then it doesn't matter if you lose 3 flips like I did because you still have enough chips. Most MTT guys 1) choose god awful spots to raise and dont consider nearly enough and 2) size way too small.

I don't think I'm particuarly great at poker, I don't think I know as good shove ranges as maybe 500 MTT players, which is so many people. So this is me saying 500 people know how to shove short stacks better than me. I think I'm just good at knowing when to raise and when to fold though. If I can be the best at the world at that and the 700th or whatever I am at shove/folding then thats fine.

I don't want credit for working hard and studying, thats like a medical student wanting praise for studying for 7 years, its their ****ing job. But I just succeed because everybody else is lazy as **** and cares more about ****ing girls and going out with their friends to get drunk. Like I said in my last post, I think I care too much about poker but to succeed you have to. There is so many guys who look at less than 10 HH's/month. I would say 99% of players, which to me is absurd. To reiterate, I don't think I do too much, or even as much as I should I just think everybody else is lazy as ****.

This whole "you have to flip" just isn't true, theres a spot you can flip, but maybe one guy wins 7bb before the flip and one guy loses 3bb before the flip. One guy then has 10bb to spin whilst the other is busto. I hate giving too much actual strategy but check my stream with the wildhungarian on the final table bubble and see how I talk about my strategy there.

whats up brother? <3

whenever i finish my sessions i come here and just write how i feel, literally 1 minute after. same as live tournaments, i bust then i pour my heart out on here.

if ive grinded all day, won a bunch and played good or whatever generally im going to sound arrogant, i never ever edit/modify/go to fix a post i just write, write, write and then post. thats why a lot of it sounds like rambling and im sure theres spelling errors etc. but thats how i want this to be, my diary, not my blog. how i feel not how i want you to want me to feel.


thanks for the very nice words. im sure i do sound a little bit cocky at times, but trust me theres times i feel so stupid, like i have no clue what im dong or like i have no idea what the **** is going on.

i do 5+ inexcusable/awful things every sessions theres no way i think im perfect by any means and i have huge leaks, i find them every session but i try to plug them. im sorry for sounding bad to you, think youre a great guy etc, just like you can probably see i try to write as honestly as i can.

wtf are you ****ing on about? ive met you irl (pool club in vienna last year) and think youre a really nice guy, maybe youre just hating for no reason.

lets say theres an mtt guy who plays 6x/week for 14 months, really grinds hard, missed vegas to grind every day online, never missed a sunday, studies around 20 hours/week literally dedicates his life to poker, what do you think his ev in that 14 month is?


Ok now lets say he runs so so so so so so good, like a ****ing god, like the biggest sun runner ever YOU TELL ME IVE "RUN ******EDLY WELL?", how much would that mean he made? Would it mean he's made 2m? Lets say he's played 6 high rollers at EPT's, 5 EPT main events, 20+ side events. He has run "like a ****ing god" right? How much exactly should he win? I've won around $450k which is around $400k/year. Now sure my EV may be a little bit lower, but not drastically. I just don't understand how people can say I've ran like god There's so many guys who ONLY play Sundays that have made more money than me.

I'd say at very best I've made 1.2x more than I should have done, from somebody who plays hyper turbos for a living calling this "******edly well" is pretty fkn tilting.

I'm not even sure where I'm moaning?

This year my profit for the year is $43k. That's around $10k/month. That's on average 37% roi. I just don't understand where this huge heater is. I've played a tonne of volume, haven't binked any big series. Now lets take live tournaments, I'm down $75k or so in live tournaments this year, so I'm actually -$30k for the year and still waking up on Mondays and regging the big11. I don't think I moan about stuff, sure I may finish 10th in the big109 and come and write in here FMLLLLLL just finished 10th, but I think I blog way more content/strategy/thoughts/emotions rather than getting the violins out to say how ****ing bad I run. But I'm down in 2015 and I've ran ******edly well?

you call me "a joke" well fu. you try to patronise me "keep trying to think its all in your hands " is it really such a bad thing to think that if i work hard, try hard, prepare well, cool down well, play well that I will do well?

I think you're a good player, really respect your grind ethic, think you're a super nice guy irl but think you're post here is super ****y. you say haters gonna hate, well keep hating bro.

your just plucking quotes out of thin air now, but the only mouse i smashed was because of my internet and stars ****ing up not about running bad, i'll stop "whining like a bitch" anyway, feel so dumb replying to all this kind of stuff, now I remember why I stopped my old blog, people misinformed just hating for no reasons spouting bull****.

350

for sure, but just try hard not to get post flop, pick your spots well, who's bb you're opening into, who's button you're opening into, what size you're using, the guys who crush mtts just run over tournaments from good spot selecting, realising when to open etc.

hey sure, but its important not to be a glory guy. you can turn up on sunday and play for the big bucks and the glory, but you gotta turn up first thing on monday and be in the early 8r if you want to pay the bills.

congrats on the good year so far btw bro pretty sure you've made 2x/me in half the games.. i hate on a lot of guys who do well but been really happy whenever i see you doing well in the lobbies. keep up the good work.

will leave this blog/2p2 till monaco now anyway, i hate coming across as this whiny guy who thinks he runs terrible. i really, really don't think that and is thats the perception i put across im really sorry. maybe i should just do live tournament trip reports, i really enjoy those. theres times when blogging can really +ev, but i dont think atm it is anymore.

good luck for this weekend everybody its a big big one. lets get it!!!

fwiw enjoy this thread and hope you keep updating with online results etc. Feedback I think is mostly positive,and I suspect you've been around logn enough to know that sun-running type comments go with the territory, particularly for anyone crushing MTTs.

When I used to grind MTTs years back I was convinced that gboro and moorman were just sunrunners as they'd bust me constantly. Eventually the penny dropped they were busting me as heading into the top 20 or so they usually had 1.5x my stack as they were better than me. There's a lot of truth in what you wrote before.

You don't come across here as whiny or arrogant imho, quite the opposite. I read this thread religiously and consider it hands down one of the best PG&C threads out there. By all means do what feels right to you but know that there are probably dozens of fanboys out there v.s 3 "haters" who can't help but try ruin the fun for the others with pointless and boring accusations/debates. F them.

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What he just said.

Heh I suspect this might be the issue. Speaking for myself, as someone who has no idea what your outlay is on tournaments I just assumed you were well up into six figures for the year and then some just going by your updates each sunday/monday morning where you seem to win everything you play I think others might view it the same as you don't really post when you have a bad day, which is obv fine ofc but it would explain why people think you always win.

Personally I don't care whether or not you moan about running bad or boast about running good. Poker players will always do both. I moan like **** when running really bad to my backer and a few weeks ago I randomly selected some hands after a good session where I had ran really well and told him that it was important for me to balance my moaning range. We both laughed.

Nah it's not like that I def want people to keep me grounded. Sorry for my posts, probably little bit immature or whatever I just do write how I feel at the time.


Good night tonight anyway. We basically have a big nice dinner and go out hard every Friday now.

Is a lot of your play on euro sites, Pads? You've mentioned a few times that you are grinding hard 6 days/week and putting in a ton of volume, yet Sharkscope has you at ~1500 MTTs on PS/FTP this year and ~6500 since 01/01/2014. Isn't 400 MTTs/month considered fairly (low-) average volume for an MTT pro, even a higher stakes one? Are you just prioritizing game selection and playing fewer tables than most regs?

You need to chill bro <3
Sick work ethic btw I can only pull that much grind at times and can never get myself to study

https://www.facebook.com/groups/288078938053032/

you might be interested in this group. basically people looking to create football games or looking for one or more people to complete their game because someone dropped out or whatever reasons.

I've gone a few times and it can be a bit casual at times but fairly competitive most of the times.

I REALLY WANT TO KNOW

It's hard to make big success nowdays in any kind of job especially it this one we all doing because to get what you won't you need to deserve it and there will be many side in our life who will suffer in order to making success.

There will be haters anyway if we're or we aren't successful but the thing is we shouldn't hate them or be rude because they don't understand how life should be,how they should act,should they be more humility and try to learn and find gold in successful guy,when they should be selfish when greedy etc.
A lot of us will never learn those or understand life ethics because there is no one who will show us right why how to be better in life and successful in same time and that is only way to make complete person of ourselves.
Obviously to get there is hell of work but we are just lazy humans who looking just straight and trying to be the best only in one thing here POKER.
That can project (not sure is this right word) and great example here in this thread how superficial we are and how superficial evaluated his and other poker players success,how can we know who worked harder and who aren't but I'm sure that every single successful guy deserve every single penny he won and we are not here to judge them.

Ok,I hope I didn't wrote too much but I must say that this took me so much time because english isn't my native language but no regrets for it as we all need to give back something to community.

ps. didn't make this post to look smarter or something,just my sincere words.
Gl with poker and see you on the tables.