Quote:
Originally Posted by iGotUrPistola
2nd hand of course weÂ’ll have leads, we not going to stab with any of our bluffs otr? Also if he was bluffing flop and gave up on turn, hes prob never going to bluff that river in practice.
Also on the flip side letÂ’s be real dude, in practice a regs never gonna x QQ or 55 on turn when you guys are that deep, heÂ’ll obv want to start piling in the money or at least bet small so I wonder how bad a raise is otr at least exploitatively (prob too greedy?)
is it bad if he always vb AA, maybe exploit small raise?? Obv disaster if he does have QQ and 55 though so call seems best but feel like we should go max exploit playing live.
I also wonder if betting AA on turn in villains shoes is better than x, have no idea when you guys are that deep. I’d prob also double barrel a lot of my semi bluffs on turn as well so I wonder if we can fit AA in there as well (pretty sure we can), anyways gl dude. Let’s finish off September strong.
I think otr lead is not standard bc nuts doesn't really change. Unless it's block sizing. But back to flop he bet sooo big like, I am folding a lot of reasonable hands. The issue is QT actually has a little bit of showdown, because he can have a busted wrap + fd. And I would like to xr bluff that hand, instead of leading it on river. Basically the question is a hand like AJJT with nut spades going to want to bluff this river? If yes then I think lead is justified, if no then I think highest EV is a lot of check.
As far as block sizing, I am nearly certain he won't be raising AA if I block for like 20%. But quite a few players will be value betting aces if I check. As far as leading big, I think he can start to find folds with maybe even 5x if I pot it for example.
As far as check back QQ or 55, defs takes a certain player to pull some sneaky **** on us... I had no info on him, so it might be ok to just assume he's not going to check back the nuts all that often.
exploit small raise I like if I'm thinking he's not checking back nuts. Especially he can have random 5, 5Q whatever. Just when he bets so big on the flop I'm discounting a lot of those hands.
I think the only AA he should bet on the flop for that size contain flush draw + straight draw. So OTT even tho he has a generally strong hand, after the flop sizing I think he has to be checking back, and checking back river. I feel like our stronger semi bluffs in villains shoes want to check back turn, because if they bet turn and get called can't comfortably bet river for value when they hit. I think I'd start my value threshold at A5xxx and better.
And yes! Good luck for the rest of September!