Not Afraid of the Nosebleeds!!! Adventures of a shot taking LLSNL Grinder
DrChesspain
So in your mind, weak-tight players don't fold their hands when you put pressure on them?
Would an ABC, nit, TAG, or LAG player do that? No.
but a weak-tight player would and she was weak tight and scared money player. And that is a dynamic of the game. A lot of decent players at lower levels step into this game and the amount of money gets to them and they make all kinds of mistakes which is part of poker. So I kinda don't get your view on this hand vs the player as described. I feel you are making the common mistake of introducing your own bias into the hand/villain (i.e. what you would have done). And I see this mistake by thinking players all the time. > They can't properly put themselves into the mindset of their villains to properly exploit it. Especially when it comes to the mistakes villains can make. In this spot, a weak-tight player that is giving signs of being scared money will fold Qx, TT, or 88 a large percentage of the time here making my play +EV.
Would an ABC, nit, TAG, or LAG player do that? No.
but a weak-tight player would and she was weak tight and scared money player. And that is a dynamic of the game. A lot of decent players at lower levels step into this game and the amount of money gets to them and they make all kinds of mistakes which is part of poker. So I kinda don't get your view on this hand vs the player as described. I feel you are making the common mistake of introducing your own bias into the hand/villain (i.e. what you would have done). And I see this mistake by thinking players all the time. > They can't properly put themselves into the mindset of their villains to properly exploit it. Especially when it comes to the mistakes villains can make. In this spot, a weak-tight player that is giving signs of being scared money will fold Qx, TT, or 88 a large percentage of the time here making my play +EV.
1) Accurately described as "very weak-tight, scared money"
2) Playing short-stacked
3) Limp-calls OOP with a hand as weak as QJo
4) Calls the flop with TP, meh kicker, only to fold the brick river for less than a psb after the turn was checked behind.
Maybe the above types of opponents really do exist. However, since I believe they are rare, I would not try to push a short-stacker off a hand as strong as TP with a river bet, even if I thought that she was weak-tight.
In addition, if I thought that she was really afraid of the flush, I would have just bet the turn and then checked behind on the river, especially since even scared fish would usually assume that you would have bet the turn with a flush (except possibly for the nut flush).
I want to specifically address this hand as I feel this is a key difference between winning players and players that crush.
What raising range do we give OMC-TAG here in late position?
His raising range should be 16 combos of AK, AQ, KQ, AJ, and 6 combos of AA, KK, QQ, JJ, TT.
Since he raised preflop and we are heads up, its safe to say that V is going to c-bet near 100% of all boards. Is that a fair statement.
the board flopped J 7 4
Out of his raising range, how much of his range is value hands on this board?
AK = 16 combos missed
AQ = 16 combos missed
AJ = 12 combos hit
KQ = 16 combos missed
AA = 6 combos hit
KK = 6 combos hit
QQ = 6 combos hit
JJ = 3 combos hit
TT = 6 combos hit
Missed
16 + 16 + 16 = 48 combos that missed
Hit
12 + 3 + 6 + 6 + 6 + 6 = 39 combos that hit
thus 56% of the time in this spot V misses this board.
So, given that V is going to c-bet 100% of the time in this spot and that V misses this board 56% of the time I like my donk bet into him on turn. Its easy to say, "hey V should have raised" on turn when you see all the cards but how would I have played a flopped set or two pair here? If V raises turn he is committing to play for stacks since pot control is now lost. So V calling with AJ in this spot is NOT a mistake on his part.
So I bet 300 on turn into a $500 pot meaning that in order to be profitable V has to fold 38% and like we established above, V should miss this flop 56% of the time. So on its face this bet is profitable. But V called.
When V makes the call I am NOT bluffing this river. So now, I'm in a situation where I can realize implied odds if I hit and I hit AND I get paid off a full pot sized bet.
So again, from villain's perspective I got "lucky" but it isn't luck and this is how aggressive players own ABC players all the time. ABC player doesn't think about all the times he will fold AK, AQ, KQ in this spot. ABC player doesn't understand how face up his hand is. ABC player doesn't recognize that when he calls turn that TAG player now knows he can't bluff river. ABC player has no idea what TAG player's range is and will call down 100% of all rivers. When TAG player whiffs river he simply check/folds but when TAG hits river he extracts lots of value.
Do a simple EV calculation of the above and its an insanely profitable line.
What raising range do we give OMC-TAG here in late position?
His raising range should be 16 combos of AK, AQ, KQ, AJ, and 6 combos of AA, KK, QQ, JJ, TT.
Since he raised preflop and we are heads up, its safe to say that V is going to c-bet near 100% of all boards. Is that a fair statement.
the board flopped J 7 4
Out of his raising range, how much of his range is value hands on this board?
AK = 16 combos missed
AQ = 16 combos missed
AJ = 12 combos hit
KQ = 16 combos missed
AA = 6 combos hit
KK = 6 combos hit
QQ = 6 combos hit
JJ = 3 combos hit
TT = 6 combos hit
Missed
16 + 16 + 16 = 48 combos that missed
Hit
12 + 3 + 6 + 6 + 6 + 6 = 39 combos that hit
thus 56% of the time in this spot V misses this board.
So, given that V is going to c-bet 100% of the time in this spot and that V misses this board 56% of the time I like my donk bet into him on turn. Its easy to say, "hey V should have raised" on turn when you see all the cards but how would I have played a flopped set or two pair here? If V raises turn he is committing to play for stacks since pot control is now lost. So V calling with AJ in this spot is NOT a mistake on his part.
So I bet 300 on turn into a $500 pot meaning that in order to be profitable V has to fold 38% and like we established above, V should miss this flop 56% of the time. So on its face this bet is profitable. But V called.
When V makes the call I am NOT bluffing this river. So now, I'm in a situation where I can realize implied odds if I hit and I hit AND I get paid off a full pot sized bet.
So again, from villain's perspective I got "lucky" but it isn't luck and this is how aggressive players own ABC players all the time. ABC player doesn't think about all the times he will fold AK, AQ, KQ in this spot. ABC player doesn't understand how face up his hand is. ABC player doesn't recognize that when he calls turn that TAG player now knows he can't bluff river. ABC player has no idea what TAG player's range is and will call down 100% of all rivers. When TAG player whiffs river he simply check/folds but when TAG hits river he extracts lots of value.
Do a simple EV calculation of the above and its an insanely profitable line.
1) Floating and bluffing him off his hand;
2) Hitting gin and stacking him.
With respect to #1, it is difficult to imagine that this can be profitable, since unless he is very weak-tight you are going to need for him to have overcards, whiff with them, and either consistently fold his overcards to a donk bet and/or have a scary enough board where he might also fold overpairs to the turn donk bet. If the above is true, then you might as well limp-call OOP with nearly ATC...although I can't imagine this being +EV unless the opponent is very weak-tight.
With respect to #2, have you stopped to consider how often you will hit gin and stack him? I think it's fair to say that you essentially hit gin, yet won probably about as much as you were going to win from this Villain--which was less than 13x what you called PF. Consequently, even with ideal conditions, you ended up receiving less than 13:1 on your PF call, which would seem to suggest that you don't have the implied odds to call unless you believe that you can up your implied odds by pushing him off of his hand a significant portion of the time.
Finally, with respect to answering how I would play this hand, I would not have been in this situation, since preflop I would have either raised initially or open-folded; I would never limp-call with these cards OOP against a nitty TAG.
Because I'm adjusting to the table dynamics. Also, please keep in mind much like TV poker, I'm only posting a small percentage of hands and I'm posting my "significant" hands which will skew my range and play. I'm not posting the 90% of ho-hum hands where I raise preflop, get called, and win with a c-bet or hands where I limp or call a raise and have to fold flop.
I want to comment on this. Firstly, I play 5/Tnl and 10/20nl in Vegas and beat those games. I find Vegas easier than here for the simple fact that players tend to be more ABC.
As for me being "owned" with 3-bets. I want you to picture this. There is a player that raises most of his hands 3bb - 4bb, you are OOP and 3-bet this player 9bb - 14bb, said player calls you, eff stacks 300bb+. Flop is X Y Z. You bet, he calls. Turn is W, you bet, he raises you, now what? You are out of position and you have a ton of money behind and the board is random garbage and your villain has shown down monster "garbage" hands in spots just like this...
I know its easy to say, "yeah dgi, i'd own you if you were at my table..." (you didn't say it but you implied it) when you can see my cards in these hand histories. In fact, 20% of my villains actively read this thread. But it's a much different story when I'm at your table and you don't see my cards and your awesome preflop 3-bets and c-bets don't make me tremble in fear and fold. Not to mention ABC type players or even competent TAGs play their hands face up as far as I'm concerned which is why I can have a high degree of confidence in the atypical lines I take against them. Of course I will make the occasional mistake and I don't mind posting those as well so I can keep this thread "honest". But keep in mind that when I post a mistake, its 1, 2, or 3 misplayed hands out of a 6, 8, or 10 hour session.
I know this will sound arrogant, but what do you think the HHs of Gus Hansen, Phil Ivey, or Durr would look like? I'm not saying I'm on their level by any stretch of the imagination. But when you look at the HHs of a player that is more skilled at TAG/LAG play than you it will often look donkish. FWIW, I'm not some luckbox donk. I have over 20 of these high limit sessions under my belt as well as thousands of hours of 2/5nl under my belt with a 10bb+/hr winrate. So I know all about ABC and TAG play. So I have the expertise to deviate from that play "in the right situations" which is what I do at this game. ANd the reason is because at this level, ABC play is just not enough to beat the game. Period.
There are several very competent very skilled ABC players that routinely play the game. Their play is 100% text book. Their raising range is JJ+, AK, AQs, KQs. Their limp range in position is SCs, broadways, and Axs, and their limp/calling range to 3-4bb bets is 22-TT, A2s - A5s, ATs-AKs. Their 3-betting range is exclusively QQ+.
These players at best are breakeven players at this level. I've yet to see them walk away from the table a winner even when the deck is smashing them in the face because every other thinking player at the table knows how to avoid them or destroy them when deep.
yeah, that one and my tournament play in general has been horrific. Back before black friday I would have never made that mistake or some of the other mistakes I've made in tournaments which is why I'm revamping my tourney game with books and training vids. But in all honesty, most of my tournament mistakes is due to bleed over from all my cash game play. I've got to put a better dividing line in my head separating cash game play vs tourney play
I want to focus specifically on the bold here as I think it may epitomize the difference between you and me. If I'm out of position vs a very aggro opponent, why on earth do I want to 3-bet and turn my non-value hand face up?
I would rather keep my implied odds high and my range wide by just calling with what I suspect is a much better hand. Remember the Gap Concept. It takes a better hand to call a raise than to make a raise. So I'd rather allow him to raise with a super wide range and then call that raise with a better hand (especially if I'm OOP).
I said V was very aggro, and the mistake players make against very aggro villains is to push them off their bs hands and turn our hand face up against them.
My play in that spot was designed to extract max value and you do that by understanding your villains' tendencies and exploiting it. In fact, if I had 3-bet that hand preflop and V calls, the entire sequence of action would have been different post flop and it would have worked in Villain's favor and he would have been able to successfully bluff me off this hand by shoving river (he definitely has it in him to shove for $5k+ stacks on a bluff) and I probably would have been compelled to fold. I know that sounds results oriented but its not.
Against a very aggro villain in this spot OOP, calling pre with my hand and playing post flop with an underrepped hand is better than 3-betting. You just have to have confidence in your postflop game.
As for the QQ hand. Do you think V had AA or KK in that hand? Otherwise, I'm not sure how I lost a ton of value. Based on the action, V had TT/99 most likely and he would have folded to a 4-bet since my 4-bet frequency at the table was way too low to be called by TT/99 type hands... But a 4-bet in this spot isn't terrible and I probably would have done it if I was OOP and his raise came from the CO or BTN and he would have more incentive to call my 4-bet with a wider range. But since I was in position, flatting is best because now V will be compelled to continue his aggression on 100% of all flops and I will be last to act.
This bet was responding to villain weakness and if called my plan was to fire $1k on the river. Given how wet that board is and the fact I'm playing out of position, no way villain has a real hand on the turn with that weak ass turn bet but he is setting the price for gut shots or binking 2p on river. Also, in terms of my play, I like to mix in a check/raise every so often so that later when I check/raise villains can think its a bit fishy since they've seen me do it before and won't quite know what to make of it.
I know I'm coming off defensive with a lot of my post, but that T8 hand in my mind is the dividing line between winning players and players that CRUSH. I outlined in detail why and how. If you read through my arguments and still think that was a lucky donk play than I guess that is that.
But don't you think its suspect how decent LAGs just always "seem" to get "lucky" over and over and over again??? That T8 hand is the epitome of how we are just so lucky
I wanted to respond to this again as the bold is the key part. With my style of play, THAT IS EXACTLY WHAT I WANT MY OPPONENTS TO BELIEVE. I want my opponents to feel I can have any random hand when in reality its not as random as it appears. The ability to have "random hands" in these spots translates into a lot of value, fold equity, and deception making me really hard to play against.
It is the image of being hard to play against and hard to range that will multiple the value I can extract from villains in future hands.
Profitable poker at this level means I have to be aggressive. Since a lot of my villains at this level are winning thinking players that are often TAG/LAG hybrids and we are 200bb+ deep this means I will end up being in unusual spots with unusual hands. If I "only" play value hands or monsters than my frequency will be too low such that I'm easy to range and adjust to. Likewise I will miss out on opportunities to extract value.
I don't like this train of thought at all. the only reason I would/could 4bet/get QQ all-in pre for 200bb is if my 4-bet frequency was high enough such that my villains at the table would feel that it's profitable to call or 5-bet me with JJ/TT/99 type hands. Otherwise, when I 4-bet I end up folding out all the hands I crush and only getting called by AK and maybe JJ and when I get 5-bet it will exclusively be AA/KK/AK with most of the weight on AA/KK. Stacking off 200bb+ at this level with QQ preflop isn't smart and I would only do it against the aggro whale fish
Sorry my comments and responses seem arrogant and defensive. Not my intent, just trying to put my "thought process" out there because I know the reason a lot of people are following this thread is so they can "get inside the mind" of a midstakes/highstakes player.
I will end this post by saying that I am still making mistakes at this level and I still have lots to learn before I can officially say I'm crushing the 10/25nl. If I had to rate myself against the players I've been playing against I would say that out of the player pool of about 60 players, there are 5 players that are better than me and about 5 players who I think are equivalent in skill to me. So I'm in the top 16% which isn't good enough by any stretch to "crush" the game and I have to get better.
i guess norcal games are really soft cause if someone was doing those preflop sizings at any 5/T game i've played in on east coast or LV they would just get 3b the **** out of and owned on tons of flops. i know you said you plan on calling 3bets but it's really hard to win a 3b pot when youre not the aggressor.
As for me being "owned" with 3-bets. I want you to picture this. There is a player that raises most of his hands 3bb - 4bb, you are OOP and 3-bet this player 9bb - 14bb, said player calls you, eff stacks 300bb+. Flop is X Y Z. You bet, he calls. Turn is W, you bet, he raises you, now what? You are out of position and you have a ton of money behind and the board is random garbage and your villain has shown down monster "garbage" hands in spots just like this...
I know its easy to say, "yeah dgi, i'd own you if you were at my table..." (you didn't say it but you implied it) when you can see my cards in these hand histories. In fact, 20% of my villains actively read this thread. But it's a much different story when I'm at your table and you don't see my cards and your awesome preflop 3-bets and c-bets don't make me tremble in fear and fold. Not to mention ABC type players or even competent TAGs play their hands face up as far as I'm concerned which is why I can have a high degree of confidence in the atypical lines I take against them. Of course I will make the occasional mistake and I don't mind posting those as well so I can keep this thread "honest". But keep in mind that when I post a mistake, its 1, 2, or 3 misplayed hands out of a 6, 8, or 10 hour session.
There are several very competent very skilled ABC players that routinely play the game. Their play is 100% text book. Their raising range is JJ+, AK, AQs, KQs. Their limp range in position is SCs, broadways, and Axs, and their limp/calling range to 3-4bb bets is 22-TT, A2s - A5s, ATs-AKs. Their 3-betting range is exclusively QQ+.
These players at best are breakeven players at this level. I've yet to see them walk away from the table a winner even when the deck is smashing them in the face because every other thinking player at the table knows how to avoid them or destroy them when deep.
I would rather keep my implied odds high and my range wide by just calling with what I suspect is a much better hand. Remember the Gap Concept. It takes a better hand to call a raise than to make a raise. So I'd rather allow him to raise with a super wide range and then call that raise with a better hand (especially if I'm OOP).
I said V was very aggro, and the mistake players make against very aggro villains is to push them off their bs hands and turn our hand face up against them.
My play in that spot was designed to extract max value and you do that by understanding your villains' tendencies and exploiting it. In fact, if I had 3-bet that hand preflop and V calls, the entire sequence of action would have been different post flop and it would have worked in Villain's favor and he would have been able to successfully bluff me off this hand by shoving river (he definitely has it in him to shove for $5k+ stacks on a bluff) and I probably would have been compelled to fold. I know that sounds results oriented but its not.
Against a very aggro villain in this spot OOP, calling pre with my hand and playing post flop with an underrepped hand is better than 3-betting. You just have to have confidence in your postflop game.
As for the QQ hand. Do you think V had AA or KK in that hand? Otherwise, I'm not sure how I lost a ton of value. Based on the action, V had TT/99 most likely and he would have folded to a 4-bet since my 4-bet frequency at the table was way too low to be called by TT/99 type hands... But a 4-bet in this spot isn't terrible and I probably would have done it if I was OOP and his raise came from the CO or BTN and he would have more incentive to call my 4-bet with a wider range. But since I was in position, flatting is best because now V will be compelled to continue his aggression on 100% of all flops and I will be last to act.
....idk, some of the hands just show total lack of poker fundamentals: not shoving pre w 15bb in a mtt over a few limps, open limping A5hh utg at a 6handed table is horrible, QQ hand in last post is really bad just missed tons of value, calling A8o in SB is prob bad 200bb deep idk how good villain is it should be a 3bet anyway, i don't understand turn c-raise w A2hh on Axxssx. i guess a2 hand you have a blocker? you don't even really have any outs if called.
But don't you think its suspect how decent LAGs just always "seem" to get "lucky" over and over and over again??? That T8 hand is the epitome of how we are just so lucky
It is the image of being hard to play against and hard to range that will multiple the value I can extract from villains in future hands.
Sorry my comments and responses seem arrogant and defensive. Not my intent, just trying to put my "thought process" out there because I know the reason a lot of people are following this thread is so they can "get inside the mind" of a midstakes/highstakes player.
I will end this post by saying that I am still making mistakes at this level and I still have lots to learn before I can officially say I'm crushing the 10/25nl. If I had to rate myself against the players I've been playing against I would say that out of the player pool of about 60 players, there are 5 players that are better than me and about 5 players who I think are equivalent in skill to me. So I'm in the top 16% which isn't good enough by any stretch to "crush" the game and I have to get better.
I couldn't resist
If I raise river in that spot V is never calling, he folds or jams on me, and I don't think I want to bluff catch $3k with Q high. I like the maxim "Big hand big pot small hand small pot" and I think that applies here.
I'm fine just taking a bluff catch call down line here rather than trying to induce so I can bluff catch for $3k.
But this makes an interesting point, if I'm confident my Q high is good, why not try to get max value out of it by inducing a bluff by raising river.
The answer is
Spoiler:
my testicles aren't big enough yet, but one day they will be as big as this
What was your plan for the 99% of the time you don't get it to run out brick brick? Were you planning on raising a lot of turns? Obviously he had no intentions of slowing down on even the worst turns for him. If not I'd rather just raise the flop if you think he's fos. You're not even ahead of atc on the flop.
Why would I want to raise him on turn when the majority of his range is tilting airballs??? My plan is to 100% just call him down because if he had an Ace or King preflop he would have 3-bet me. So odds are my Q high is the best hand and he is just tilt firing. If I raise, then I get him to fold all of his air but only continue with hands that have equity....
So my plan was to just call him down no matter how the board ran out.
Dgi I love the thread and the analysis. Have you run into any scenarios at the 10/25 game where you find yourself in a leveling war with your opponents and plays start getting somewhat fancy. For example 3bet/fold the river to a nit who has been raising river for thin value. I'd imagine most of the leveling wars occur preflop. 3betting and 4betting light, as most hands avoid showdown. Obviously I play llsnl and these types of fancy plays are complete spew for 95% of villains.
Of course there are weak-tight players who can be easily pushed off of their hands. However, I don't think I'm projecting onto this opponent my own TAG/sLAG tendencies. Rather, I was suspicious of your reads and plan since I have rarely come across an opponent for whom all of the following would be true:
1) Accurately described as "very weak-tight, scared money"
2) Playing short-stacked
3) Limp-calls OOP with a hand as weak as QJo
4) Calls the flop with TP, meh kicker, only to fold the brick river for less than a psb after the turn was checked behind.
Maybe the above types of opponents really do exist. However, since I believe they are rare, I would not try to push a short-stacker off a hand as strong as TP with a river bet, even if I thought that she was weak-tight.
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1) Accurately described as "very weak-tight, scared money"
2) Playing short-stacked
3) Limp-calls OOP with a hand as weak as QJo
4) Calls the flop with TP, meh kicker, only to fold the brick river for less than a psb after the turn was checked behind.
Maybe the above types of opponents really do exist. However, since I believe they are rare, I would not try to push a short-stacker off a hand as strong as TP with a river bet, even if I thought that she was weak-tight.
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Since you believe they are rare, its no wonder you have trouble identifying them.
I would say they are not rare, I spot them all the time. I feel I'm very sensitive and adept at identifying player types. Some players may even start out normal stack then become short stack and their entire demeanor changes. Some players go on "Send me home" tilt while some players turn into weak-tight players because they don't want to bust out...
So I'd invite you to think about those points. If you think they are rare, then is it any wonder you fail to accurately profile them and spot them?
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In addition, if I thought that she was really afraid of the flush, I would have just bet the turn and then checked behind on the river, especially since even scared fish would usually assume that you would have bet the turn with a flush (except possibly for the nut flush).
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In addition, if I thought that she was really afraid of the flush, I would have just bet the turn and then checked behind on the river, especially since even scared fish would usually assume that you would have bet the turn with a flush (except possibly for the nut flush).
....
I know i know, checking turn and then betting river doesn't make sense and a part of us "feels" like villain will sniff that out and call right? Hence why you want to bet turn to better rep the flush.
the key here though is that "if" you recognize her for being weak-tight then you can exploit that with an obvious line that is low risk to you. We can just wait for a brick river, bet, and she will fold even though our hand is face up as not being a flush...
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The problem with the above is that you are trying to justify the plan of limp-calling OOP against a nitty TAG with a garbage hand in the hopes of either:
1) Floating and bluffing him off his hand;
2) Hitting gin and stacking him.
With respect to #1, it is difficult to imagine that this can be profitable, since unless he is very weak-tight you are going to need for him to have overcards, whiff with them, and either consistently fold his overcards to a donk bet
The problem with the above is that you are trying to justify the plan of limp-calling OOP against a nitty TAG with a garbage hand in the hopes of either:
1) Floating and bluffing him off his hand;
2) Hitting gin and stacking him.
With respect to #1, it is difficult to imagine that this can be profitable, since unless he is very weak-tight you are going to need for him to have overcards, whiff with them, and either consistently fold his overcards to a donk bet
So yes, it is very profitable limp/calling ABC players whose raising range is easily defined BECAUSE they will miss 2/3rd of the time. We check, they c-bet, we call. Turn is a brick, we donk bet into them, they almost always fold their overcard air because they put us on hitting our hand or even a set. And again, I think you may be letting your bias influence how you see ABC players. Most ABC players WILL FOLD overcards when they whiff the flop, c-bet flop, get called, and then get led into on the turn...
Why? Because they aren't LAGs or TAGs but ABC players. And they aren't going to call chasing a 6 outer because they "pride" themselves on not drawing or chasing and likewise they just don't have it in them to bluff in these sorts of spots. So they fold like almost always.
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With respect to #1, it is difficult to imagine that this can be profitable, since unless he is very weak-tight you are going to need for him to have overcards, whiff with them, and either consistently fold his overcards to a donk bet and/or have a scary enough board where he might also fold overpairs to the turn donk bet. If the above is true, then you might as well limp-call OOP with nearly ATC...although I can't imagine this being +EV unless the opponent is very weak-tight.
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With respect to #1, it is difficult to imagine that this can be profitable, since unless he is very weak-tight you are going to need for him to have overcards, whiff with them, and either consistently fold his overcards to a donk bet and/or have a scary enough board where he might also fold overpairs to the turn donk bet. If the above is true, then you might as well limp-call OOP with nearly ATC...although I can't imagine this being +EV unless the opponent is very weak-tight.
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Take for instance, the c/r. Ever notice how a lot of players will make an awesome c/r on a wet board and then when they are called they will check the next street? Those players were expecting to win with their awesome check/raise and then when it doesn't work they don't know what to do.
Same thing with a lot of ABC players who raise preflop and c-bet flop and then they get led into on the turn. What????
Those players were often expecting to take it down with a c-bet and then expecting action to check to them on the turn and then they can double barrel or just check back... but you lead into them on turn and they will almost always fold their airballs.
Then if you can couple the above line to reads and sizing tells and it becomes profitable to play a wider range against them.
...
With respect to #2, have you stopped to consider how often you will hit gin and stack him? I think it's fair to say that you essentially hit gin, yet won probably about as much as you were going to win from this Villain--which was less than 13x what you called PF. Consequently, even with ideal conditions, you ended up receiving less than 13:1 on your PF call, which would seem to suggest that you don't have the implied odds to call unless you believe that you can up your implied odds by pushing him off of his hand a significant portion of the time.
With respect to #2, have you stopped to consider how often you will hit gin and stack him? I think it's fair to say that you essentially hit gin, yet won probably about as much as you were going to win from this Villain--which was less than 13x what you called PF. Consequently, even with ideal conditions, you ended up receiving less than 13:1 on your PF call, which would seem to suggest that you don't have the implied odds to call unless you believe that you can up your implied odds by pushing him off of his hand a significant portion of the time.
However, it becomes +EV when you include our ability to play back at him on boards we are sure he whiffed and the fact he's going to fold the majority of the time in those spots.
I say this all the time. The ability to profitably play SCs and S1Gs is dependant on your post flop ability. If you are trying to flop, turn, river gin then yes, you are right it is -EV to play those hands vs an ABC raiser. However, if you can play post flop and target boards that likely missed their range or you can target boards that are "scary" then it becomes profitable.
Fair enough.
Dgi I love the thread and the analysis. Have you run into any scenarios at the 10/25 game where you find yourself in a leveling war with your opponents and plays start getting somewhat fancy. For example 3bet/fold the river to a nit who has been raising river for thin value. I'd imagine most of the leveling wars occur preflop. 3betting and 4betting light, as most hands avoid showdown. Obviously I play llsnl and these types of fancy plays are complete spew for 95% of villains.
but to date, I haven't been an any real leveling wars at 10/25nl yet. though I suspect next time I see the aggro villain from the other day we will get into a one .
I don't like a c/r in this spot because I lose all ability to control the pot if I c/r and am called. Plus I don't want to inflate the pot too much while out of position. I can achieve the same level of fold equity and stealing the initiative by simply leading out on bricked turns.
Also, I would rarely check raise this spot if I had flopped a set heads up vs an ABC player so not quite sure what I'd rep c/r'ing a dry board heads up. that sort of move feels more like "I put you on AK therefore I'm going to bet you out with my 7x hand..." which is awesome all the times we fold out AK but not so awesome the other times he has a value hand and calls. Then, I'm out of position in an inflated pot in a spot where I will feel compelled to continue my aggression and to rep a strong hand when in fact I would never take this line with a strong hand (set or overpair) heads up...
So I like a donk bet in turn much better. It serves to take the initiative, will fold out overcard airballs that are ahead of me, and serves as a blocking bet for my draws...
thanks for the kind words and hope this thread helps you with your game...
Actually, your "joke" is actually a good question and to me a litmus test of where I would like to be vs where I am at now.
Phil Ivey and Durr would have purposefully raised to induce V to bluff shove if they were confident in their reads and villain's tendency so they could call and extract more value.
I however, was just happy with my meager $700-ish line instead of having big enough balls to go for more value... HOpefully, I will get to the level where I can make that sort of play. I think being well rolled would have helped since I am not rolled for this game. I guess "technically" I am if you go by the 20 BI rule of thumb, but in my mind, I think I need 50BIs to be considered "well rolled" for this game and I'm not there yet.
probably 75% of the time. What I'm finding though is that I'm starting to autopilot this game and a lot of my moves/plays are automatic which I kinda don't like. But its hard "not" to engage that autopilot when you are playing 6, 8, or 10 hours sessions. I need to take more breaks and also think more about my range during hands vs various villain types.
But when I'm on my A-game, I'm definitely thinking about my range during the hand in question and what line I'm trying to rep, etc. etc.
Also, I would rarely check raise this spot if I had flopped a set heads up vs an ABC player so not quite sure what I'd rep c/r'ing a dry board heads up. that sort of move feels more like "I put you on AK therefore I'm going to bet you out with my 7x hand..." which is awesome all the times we fold out AK but not so awesome the other times he has a value hand and calls. Then, I'm out of position in an inflated pot in a spot where I will feel compelled to continue my aggression and to rep a strong hand when in fact I would never take this line with a strong hand (set or overpair) heads up...
So I like a donk bet in turn much better. It serves to take the initiative, will fold out overcard airballs that are ahead of me, and serves as a blocking bet for my draws...
I was kind of "meh" on this thread a few pages back, but in the last couple of months, this has become my favorite thread on 2p2. Thanks for all the work, dgi. I know it's not easy to keep up this volume of quality posting, but please know that it's appreciated. It's a great read and has given me tons of stuff to think about in my own game.
Actually, your "joke" is actually a good question and to me a litmus test of where I would like to be vs where I am at now.
Phil Ivey and Durr would have purposefully raised to induce V to bluff shove if they were confident in their reads and villain's tendency so they could call and extract more value.
I however, was just happy with my meager $700-ish line instead of having big enough balls to go for more value... HOpefully, I will get to the level where I can make that sort of play. I think being well rolled would have helped since I am not rolled for this game. I guess "technically" I am if you go by the 20 BI rule of thumb, but in my mind, I think I need 50BIs to be considered "well rolled" for this game and I'm not there yet.
But when I'm on my A-game, I'm definitely thinking about my range during the hand in question and what line I'm trying to rep, etc. etc.
I disagree that Durr or Ivey would have raised to induce purely because I doubt the strength of your read. I guess if we ignore its absolute hand strength and instead consider it on a scale of 1-10 (let's give it a value of 4), we might gain from an unbalanced 3bet range (like 10 combos of 1, 2, and 3 of 10, because presumably he's going to want a stronger value hand to 3b against our perceived nittier tendencies) and also fold out slightly better hands (any 6, 7 he might raise - I doubt this kind of player is well balanced in a river raising range though) from time to time due to our image.
I can't speak for anyone else but I certainly don't follow dgi to refresh myself on the 'fundamentals of poker.' I'm sure there are some great threads that speak to playing rock solid, ABC poker, but this is not one. I appreciate the aggressive creativity that successful LAGs employ and am diggin dgi's progression.
You want fundamentals? Go check out Harrington on Cash Games, Vol's I & II. I'm sure you can grind out a profit as a mechanical Harringbot but if you want to be one of the great ones and weren't born with a supercomputer for a brain as a Chris Ferguson, you must embrace all of the grey area that exists in poker.
GL dgi and here's looking forward to the eventual 'prison rapings' at 10/25!
You want fundamentals? Go check out Harrington on Cash Games, Vol's I & II. I'm sure you can grind out a profit as a mechanical Harringbot but if you want to be one of the great ones and weren't born with a supercomputer for a brain as a Chris Ferguson, you must embrace all of the grey area that exists in poker.
GL dgi and here's looking forward to the eventual 'prison rapings' at 10/25!
I agree with Sobo. I really enjoy this thread and the thought process that is explained in enough detail to both learn directly from as well as to get my 'older' rec fish brain to think of much more than just the obvious. I dont play that often anymore, but when I do I have already picked up a few pots that I would have normally just folded by being selectively aggressive at the proper times.
I made this point upthread in the beginning. The way you own aggro players is not to raise them off their bs hands, but rather to allow them to keep firing and call them down.
Why would I want to raise him on turn when the majority of his range is tilting airballs??? My plan is to 100% just call him down because if he had an Ace or King preflop he would have 3-bet me. So odds are my Q high is the best hand and he is just tilt firing. If I raise, then I get him to fold all of his air but only continue with hands that have equity....
So my plan was to just call him down no matter how the board ran out.
I can't speak for anyone else but I certainly don't follow dgi to refresh myself on the 'fundamentals of poker.' I'm sure there are some great threads that speak to playing rock solid, ABC poker, but this is not one. I appreciate the aggressive creativity that successful LAGs employ and am diggin dgi's progression.
You want fundamentals? Go check out Harrington on Cash Games, Vol's I & II. I'm sure you can grind out a profit as a mechanical Harringbot but if you want to be one of the great ones and weren't born with a supercomputer for a brain as a Chris Ferguson, you must embrace all of the grey area that exists in poker.
GL dgi and here's looking forward to the eventual 'prison rapings' at 10/25!
You want fundamentals? Go check out Harrington on Cash Games, Vol's I & II. I'm sure you can grind out a profit as a mechanical Harringbot but if you want to be one of the great ones and weren't born with a supercomputer for a brain as a Chris Ferguson, you must embrace all of the grey area that exists in poker.
GL dgi and here's looking forward to the eventual 'prison rapings' at 10/25!
You have some bad, and at the same time funny logic behind a lot of your decision making. It definitely shows some lack in poker theory. What makes this even worse for you is that you say a lot of the regs you play against, read this thread. If you want to become the 10/25 crusher you're talking about, you should probably stop sharing your (oftentimes faulty) logic behind your decision making, and work on some game theory. The regs will hate me now, but when they read this thread, they're probably going to laugh all the way to the bank. It's not like you can own good regs at 10/25 with some made up style where "no one can put you on a range" or whatever you're thinking. This isn't 2004 anymore, so regs' game theory fundamentals should be expected to be high enough that employing some weird style probably isn't the way to go to become a crusher in your games.
This probably came off a bit harsh, but so be it. Take it for what it's worth. I've enjoyed reading this thread a lot, and still do. It's amazing how much you're contributing to the community by doing this, and it is greatly appreciated. Thanks for a good thread. I hope you keep it up and do all you can to keep improving to reach your goals.
This probably came off a bit harsh, but so be it. Take it for what it's worth. I've enjoyed reading this thread a lot, and still do. It's amazing how much you're contributing to the community by doing this, and it is greatly appreciated. Thanks for a good thread. I hope you keep it up and do all you can to keep improving to reach your goals.
Because I'm adjusting to the table dynamics. Also, please keep in mind much like TV poker, I'm only posting a small percentage of hands and I'm posting my "significant" hands which will skew my range and play. I'm not posting the 90% of ho-hum hands where I raise preflop, get called, and win with a c-bet or hands where I limp or call a raise and have to fold flop.
I want to comment on this. Firstly, I play 5/Tnl and 10/20nl in Vegas and beat those games. I find Vegas easier than here for the simple fact that players tend to be more ABC.
As for me being "owned" with 3-bets. I want you to picture this. There is a player that raises most of his hands 3bb - 4bb, you are OOP and 3-bet this player 9bb - 14bb, said player calls you, eff stacks 300bb+. Flop is X Y Z. You bet, he calls. Turn is W, you bet, he raises you, now what? You are out of position and you have a ton of money behind and the board is random garbage and your villain has shown down monster "garbage" hands in spots just like this...
I know its easy to say, "yeah dgi, i'd own you if you were at my table..." (you didn't say it but you implied it) when you can see my cards in these hand histories.
I know this will sound arrogant, but what do you think the HHs of Gus Hansen, Phil Ivey, or Durr would look like?
but seriously i'd be willing to bet most winning HSNL/MSNL regs on FTP or party lose money in pots where they call a 3b in a ring game. can check on PTR.
There are several very competent very skilled ABC players that routinely play the game. Their play is 100% text book. Their raising range is JJ+, AK, AQs, KQs. Their limp range in position is SCs, broadways, and Axs, and their limp/calling range to 3-4bb bets is 22-TT, A2s - A5s, ATs-AKs. Their 3-betting range is exclusively QQ+.
These players at best are breakeven players at this level. I've yet to see them walk away from the table a winner even when the deck is smashing them in the face because every other thinking player at the table knows how to avoid them or destroy them when deep.
These players at best are breakeven players at this level. I've yet to see them walk away from the table a winner even when the deck is smashing them in the face because every other thinking player at the table knows how to avoid them or destroy them when deep.
I want to focus specifically on the bold here as I think it may epitomize the difference between you and me. If I'm out of position vs a very aggro opponent, why on earth do I want to 3-bet and turn my non-value hand face up?
I would rather keep my implied odds high and my range wide by just calling with what I suspect is a much better hand. Remember the Gap Concept. It takes a better hand to call a raise than to make a raise. So I'd rather allow him to raise with a super wide range and then call that raise with a better hand (especially if I'm OOP).
My play in that spot was designed to extract max value and you do that by understanding your villains' tendencies and exploiting it. In fact, if I had 3-bet that hand preflop and V calls, the entire sequence of action would have been different post flop and it would have worked in Villain's favor and he would have been able to successfully bluff me off this hand by shoving river (he definitely has it in him to shove for $5k+ stacks on a bluff) and I probably would have been compelled to fold. I know that sounds results oriented but its not.
But don't you think its suspect how decent LAGs just always "seem" to get "lucky" over and over and over again??? That T8 hand is the epitome of how we are just so lucky
I don't like this train of thought at all. the only reason I would/could 4bet/get QQ all-in pre for 200bb is if my 4-bet frequency was high enough such that my villains at the table would feel that it's profitable to call or 5-bet me with JJ/TT/99 type hands.
I can't speak for anyone else but I certainly don't follow dgi to refresh myself on the 'fundamentals of poker.' I'm sure there are some great threads that speak to playing rock solid, ABC poker, but this is not one. I appreciate the aggressive creativity that successful LAGs employ and am diggin dgi's progression.
You want fundamentals? Go check out Harrington on Cash Games, Vol's I & II. I'm sure you can grind out a profit as a mechanical Harringbot but if you want to be one of the great ones and weren't born with a supercomputer for a brain as a Chris Ferguson, you must embrace all of the grey area that exists in poker.
You want fundamentals? Go check out Harrington on Cash Games, Vol's I & II. I'm sure you can grind out a profit as a mechanical Harringbot but if you want to be one of the great ones and weren't born with a supercomputer for a brain as a Chris Ferguson, you must embrace all of the grey area that exists in poker.
look, open limping utg a suited-ace 6 handed at any limit is bad. it's just not profitable. limp calling garbage OOP against a decent player is also burning money. not shoving aces with 15bb over a few limpers is bad. there is no grey are about this. nl4 and 2.50$ MTT players know this stuff.
Funny how calling suited trash/semi-trash OOP and religiously chasing gunshots = creative LAG.
You have some bad, and at the same time funny logic behind a lot of your decision making. It definitely shows some lack in poker theory. What makes this even worse for you is that you say a lot of the regs you play against, read this thread. If you want to become the 10/25 crusher you're talking about, you should probably stop sharing your (oftentimes faulty) logic behind your decision making, and work on some game theory. The regs will hate me now, but when they read this thread, they're probably going to laugh all the way to the bank. It's not like you can own good regs at 10/25 with some made up style where "no one can put you on a range" or whatever you're thinking. This isn't 2004 anymore, so regs' game theory fundamentals should be expected to be high enough that employing some weird style probably isn't the way to go to become a crusher in your games.
This probably came off a bit harsh, but so be it. Take it for what it's worth. I've enjoyed reading this thread a lot, and still do. It's amazing how much you're contributing to the community by doing this, and it is greatly appreciated. Thanks for a good thread. I hope you keep it up and do all you can to keep improving to reach your goals.
This probably came off a bit harsh, but so be it. Take it for what it's worth. I've enjoyed reading this thread a lot, and still do. It's amazing how much you're contributing to the community by doing this, and it is greatly appreciated. Thanks for a good thread. I hope you keep it up and do all you can to keep improving to reach your goals.
And I do appreciate fellow 2+2ers taking the time to comment and I do take it to heart. My goal is to get better which is why I am posting my thought processes as well as being brutally honest posting my mistakes for everyone to see and rip apart. I know I can come off as arrogant and defensive but its not my intent and again I do gain a lot of value in the opinions of others even if I do disagree.
Yeah. I was planning to check fold river given the way he called my turn bet. Below is how I see that situation.
56% of the time he folds to my turn lead and I win the pot
38% of the time he calls. In the event that he calls
--A) 19% of the time I hit one of my 8 outs and can extract $1k of value so I win pot + $1k
--B) 81% of the time I whiff river and check/fold losing the pot
6% of the time he raises me on turn with a set of Jacks and I lose pot
So, once he calls me on the turn, we are now in the 38% realm in which I will win 19% of the time and check/fold 81% of the time.
that is how I see that situation.
Going forward I'm sure we are going to have plenty of other interesting spots to argue and debate and it is helpful to me to have my feet put to the fire by posters like you. So I am grateful and apologize in advance if I come off as too argumentative. Not my intent.
fair enough.
sit back and enjoy the show...
Why all the hate on OP? I doubt he believes that every play he makes is spot on and the is no doubt he makes mistakes, but at least he is thinking outside the box and taking different lines, adjusting, and picking spots where he believes he can push his edge and then shares them with us. He posts 5-6 hands out of a 8-10 hr session that he believes are interesting and unique, I doubt any of us would be reading this if he talked about all the times he folded T8 or Q7 etc.
GL OP. Keep the updates coming!
GL OP. Keep the updates coming!
Why all the hate on OP? I doubt he believes that every play he makes is spot on and the is no doubt he makes mistakes, but at least he is thinking outside the box and taking different lines, adjusting, and picking spots where he believes he can push his edge and then shares them with us. He posts 5-6 hands out of a 8-10 hr session that he believes are interesting and unique, I doubt any of us would be reading this if he talked about all the times he folded T8 or Q7 etc.
GL OP. Keep the updates coming!
GL OP. Keep the updates coming!
^^^Same here. I really like the insight into OPs thought process behind decisions, candour and also fact that he is willing to admit/post about hands where mistakes were made (despite the haters).
Definitely helping me with critical analysis of my own game, and quite inspiring to read about his grind through the live low and medium stakes games, battling through many of the same issues many live grinders go through.
Keep up the good work OP, and hope to read about you crushing the mid to higher stakes in the not too distant future.
Definitely helping me with critical analysis of my own game, and quite inspiring to read about his grind through the live low and medium stakes games, battling through many of the same issues many live grinders go through.
Keep up the good work OP, and hope to read about you crushing the mid to higher stakes in the not too distant future.
I love this thread. OP brings a tremendous amount of thought and creativity to the table when he played.
I do have a question though. I've seen references in this thread about 10-20 pros with small hand ranges. Can I infer from this that a solid TAG can beat these games? Not crush maybe, but beat for 5+BB/hr?
I do have a question though. I've seen references in this thread about 10-20 pros with small hand ranges. Can I infer from this that a solid TAG can beat these games? Not crush maybe, but beat for 5+BB/hr?
It is absolutely a winning play at all stakes to make tiny pot builder raises from LP with speculative hands. Come to my 5/10 NL and 10/20 NL games at Commerce and make those tiny LP raises with speculative hands. I promise I won't 3bet you. The other winning regs also promise that they won't 3bet you either.
i think most comments about dgi's playing style is because it's pretty unconventional to certain players. i believe that this is the a big part why it actually works -> people won't expect it or have trouble adjusting.
ofcourse he makes mistakes but who doesn't? i learn a lot from this thread (how to think in certain spots for example) and i'm thankful that dgi is taking his time to educate us.
thank you and keep crushing
ofcourse he makes mistakes but who doesn't? i learn a lot from this thread (how to think in certain spots for example) and i'm thankful that dgi is taking his time to educate us.
thank you and keep crushing
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