My prop betting adventures
04-05-2017
, 01:12 AM
Hi 2p2, I have to decided to make this thread to let people follow a prop bet I recently made with an IRL friend.
First a bit about me:
- I am an 18 year old Uni student from New Zealand
- Studied poker since I turned 18, starting with HUsng's and transitioning to MTT's where I built my roll. Since then I have transitioned to cash where I have played mostly at 25nlz, with a few shots at 50nlz.
- I have also coached a student in cash games.
The bet.
The bet originated with an argument between me and my friend over the plausibility of a positive redline for winning players at the micros.
My graph after the 50k sample requires a positive red line in order for me to profit. The bet is a winrate bet at both 10nl and 16nl with a base winrate of 6bb/100. Any winrate +/- the value is paid 3x to the other person.
Will be posting graphs every 2k hands, aswell as hh's of a bunch of bluffs
.
Cheers
First a bit about me:
- I am an 18 year old Uni student from New Zealand
- Studied poker since I turned 18, starting with HUsng's and transitioning to MTT's where I built my roll. Since then I have transitioned to cash where I have played mostly at 25nlz, with a few shots at 50nlz.
- I have also coached a student in cash games.
The bet.
The bet originated with an argument between me and my friend over the plausibility of a positive redline for winning players at the micros.
My graph after the 50k sample requires a positive red line in order for me to profit. The bet is a winrate bet at both 10nl and 16nl with a base winrate of 6bb/100. Any winrate +/- the value is paid 3x to the other person.
Will be posting graphs every 2k hands, aswell as hh's of a bunch of bluffs
.Cheers
04-05-2017
, 01:15 AM
Welcome to my spew
Poker Stars, $0.08/$0.16 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #37696770
BTN: $29.87 (186.7 bb)
SB: $7.30 (45.6 bb)
Hero (BB): $16.86 (105.4 bb)
UTG: $63.13 (394.6 bb)
MP: $12.79 (79.9 bb)
CO: $16 (100 bb)
Preflop: Hero is BB with Q
T
UTG raises to $0.36, 4 folds, Hero calls $0.20
Flop: ($0.80) 9 J
2 (2 players)
Hero checks, UTG checks
Turn: ($0.80) J (2 players)
Hero bets $0.56, UTG calls $0.56
River: ($1.92) 5
(2 players)
Hero bets $1.35, UTG raises to $4.39, Hero raises to $15.94 and is all-in, UTG calls $11.55
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #37696770
BTN: $29.87 (186.7 bb)
SB: $7.30 (45.6 bb)
Hero (BB): $16.86 (105.4 bb)
UTG: $63.13 (394.6 bb)
MP: $12.79 (79.9 bb)
CO: $16 (100 bb)
Preflop: Hero is BB with Q
TUTG raises to $0.36, 4 folds, Hero calls $0.20
Flop: ($0.80) 9
J 2 (2 players)Hero checks, UTG checks
Turn: ($0.80) J
(2 players)Hero bets $0.56, UTG calls $0.56
River: ($1.92) 5
(2 players)Hero bets $1.35, UTG raises to $4.39, Hero raises to $15.94 and is all-in, UTG calls $11.55
Spoiler:
