and i dont understand why do you claim you're over EV $130k in that Aprli's graph... doesnt EV line relate only to showdown winnings (specifically those where you shipped the money before River and got called)?
i realize that I'm prolly missing sth and sound really stupid right now, plus it doesnt rly matter, but... just gotta now or its gonna hunt me forever.
i've been looking for the flaws in my reasoning in a hypothetical scenario where "you" played only 6hands in a month that went like this:
5/10 nlhe (100bb)
#1 (BB): every1 folds
#2 (SB): you open, BB 3bets to 50bb, you push, he folds
#3 (D) : you push AK, BB calls TT and loses (lets say its exactly 50/50)
#4 (CO): you push AK, BB calls TT and wins (lets say its exactly 50/50)
#5 (HJ): every1 folds
#6 (UTG): every1 folds
results for a given hand:
- nonsd 0.5, sd 0, EV 0
- +50bb non sd winnings, sd -- 0, EV -- 0
- +100.5bb -- sd, non sd -- 0, EV -- 0bb
- -100.5bb -- sd, non sd -- 0, EV -- 0bb
- nth changes for the #5, #6
summary:
- non sd: 50.5bb
- sd: 0
- sum: 50.5bb
- EV: 0bb
so how can you be running over All-In EV if there were only 3 all-ins and the expected value can be estimated for only 2 of them?