Quote:
Originally Posted by verneer
... is that an argument for flatting then?
Nice post overall and I'm happy you are winning right now. More than I can say for myself atm
Verneer, thanks for the reply!
I would have to say that in position there is an argument to flat here rather then 3-bet, and if I were in position against this player I would flat here. But it's easy to say I'll flat, but let me try to explain why:
His range of 11% that I gave him, my AK fares pretty well against because 3.9% of that range I am crushing (the hands you bolded in my quote), 1.2% I will chop (AKo, AKs) most of the time (flushes), 5% (QQ-22) if an ace or king flops I have great equity, and the final .9% will crush me. So by smooth calling I get to keep all those hands that I can beat in play and see a flop.
I get to control the size of the pot, and I can gauge the strength of his hand by how he plays the flop, turn, and river. I can adjust my play to his actions and be able to maximize my profits. If he checks I could check behind, and call a turn and river bet. If he bets the flop I can comfortably call and evaluate his turn play. I am not quite sure of what all plays I could make post-flop, but then again post-flop is such a dynamic and in-depth part of poker, I mean there are 100's of books that discuss post-flop play. But by being in position I give myself the most information and resources I need to get paid off.
When your out of position, it's just hard to get paid off when you hit, and it's hard to know when your beat sometimes. It's just a marginal situation that I try to avoid, especially against an unknown player who I have no history with. So that's why I like to 3-bet out of the blinds with a strong non-made hand against an unknown player and win the pot outright, or atleast make my decision making easier and cheaper if they decide to 4-bet jam me pre-flop, then me calling, betting and then getting raised on the flop, save myself a few BB's.
As far as my range assessment, I think is an average of early position play in full ring, if you take the tightest range and the loosest range you might find in microstakes, it's an average I will assign to an unknown, and unless I get more histories with the player or if I see an unusual showdown I will adjust it. Remember not to assign ranges based on how you would play that position, or how you think that position should be played.
Verneer, I thought you would know of all people how high variance rush poker is, even at full ring! I would say you would need atleast 40 buy-ins of whatever stake your playing at, I would equate rush poker to Omaha, where you can have brutal buy-in downswings. I mean rush poker is definately profitable with the volume, but I would balance it out with some lower variance play with some standard cash or perhaps even some sit'n'go's.
I play about 60% Sit'n'gos, and about 40% of cash. I found that by playing a variety of games, my downswings and tilting was brought down quite significantly. If I lost 4 buy ins playing playing NL Hold'em 6H Cash, I'd go play some sit'n'go's. As long as I was playing profitably, I'd continue playing, until I noticed my downswing coming, then I would stop playing that game and move on to maybe pot limit cash, or do a few rush games. I wish I could show you all my graph. I am currently in the military and deployed and I don't have access to my HEM, but I will be home shortly, and should have plenty to post when I get back, however I will be posting off and on in this thread, because I look forward to the discussions that we can have on here.