Hello. I'll give you my humble opinion, all right?

Some people here said that you should deviate from GTO because population on your stake don't have a balanced range, etc.

Well, I respectfully disagree.

In my humble opinion, you should think about deviating only when you're already very good and want to have a bigger winrate than you already have. I don't think deviations should be done in order to transform a losing player into a winning player. If you're a losing player on microstakes, you probably have a lot of leaks from the theory point of view.

So, in my humble opinion, you should try your best to study and to play more theory. You're not losing because you're doing correct GTO decisions against unbalanced players on the river. If you're losing (and considering it's not just variance), it's because you're NOT playing correct GTO decisions on other parts of the game three.

Calling on the river on the QT hand, for example, is not the reason why you're not winning.

These hands are the real examples of why you're not winning too much:

First hand:

Flop: Ok.
Turn: Wrong. You should check back. If you bet (wrong) and villain x/r, you should call in some frequency and fold in some frequency. As his x/r was smaller than my sim, you can call more often.
River: Fold. It's wrong to raise. Even calling is very close. For example: in my sim, villain should jam or check here, and we have to fold against a jam.

Second hand:

Preflop: Small frequency call. If you call all the time, you're calling too much.
Flop: Wrong. You should just call.

You don't have to be good to understand population tendencies and know the majority of micro stakes players have ranges that are heavily weighted towards value when they bet river.

I'm sorry for floading, but one last thing about the AQ hand: on the turn, this is clear an overbet spot. So, betting is wrong and the sizing is also wrong (from the theory point of view). These are examples of what I was talking about.

Best regards, mate.

I agree. That was not my point, though.

Thanks for all the responses. It's always tough for poker players to help each other, when it often just means more regs to the already reg filled pool, so I appreciate your sacrifice.

Kalthorr hurt my feelings when he said you only need to know preflop ranges to beat NL 100.



Another beginner mistake. Rake matters. Villain played the river like gto but unfortunately he's optimal play was ruined by a patzer. I should have done the same and donk shoved.

If I play 100k hands my chances of finding those population tendencies goes up. I am still lacking a lot in experience.


I'm a mediocre reg only if they are losing too. To me reg should mean at least a b/e player. You're right there are many spots where it's hard to have natural bluffs, but I have bluffed with some random hands just because rng told me to do it...
Good advice. One change I would make is assume everyone with 100bb+ stacks are nits. I do already 3bet a lot because I'm following gtowizard ranges, and due to the rake one can't flat much. What I haven't done enough is overfolding to 3bets and 4bets.
The only problem with abusing the pool is that regs will find out sooner or later with their huds. It can be hard to detect when some of them start adjusting to you and exploiting your exploits.
More on exploiting micro pools if someone is interested in watching https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M54YLb7M02E
I don't have a membership there. If I continue failing, I might take a look.

That would be ideal. Just playing gto, not using huds and winning. If you can beat NL 10 with a gto style, it wouldn't surprise me if you would also beat NL 100 with the same strategy.
AQ hand. In many spots I am just guessing what I should do. Just so many different situations in poker. AQ felt high enough to also bet turn, but it seems that's not the case. According to my gto tool only AK qualifies. If this was btn vs bb, then aq can continue betting on the turn. I understand overbetting or checking turn are the two main choices with two broadway cards on the board, but that's not always the case. The river was just a typical spazz from me.

99. Well gtowizard NL 50 complex ranges say it's never a fold preflop. And again on the flop wizard says hero should go all-in. Clearly the results you get out from your sims depends a lot on the ranges and settings you use. I wonder if your sims accidently abuses the pool.

Hey OP, just try to show up and focus on getting better every day.

These discussions are great but mostly a waste of time.

You’d be surprised at how valuable every hour of quality poker study can be. You can do plenty of things, most of which you seem to be aware of.

glgl

Hello!

AQ hand: yeah, it's a small-to-medium mistake on the turn and a big mistake on the river.

99 hand: Are you sure about the all in? I checked on GTOwizard and it says it's a high frequency call with 9s9d.



You're doing well. GL!

In my "not so humble" opinion:

AQo hand: Bet bigger on the flop and turn + fold the turn or river.
99 hand: Preflop is good (you can 5b shove). Call or min raise the flop. Never shove with anything. People make more mistakes vs smaller raises.
95s hand: The river is a check fold vs a fish. Vs a reg you should shove yourself, like you said.

I have only played 5k hands so far, lacking behind in schedule, but I have spent a decent amount of time on my gto tool. Winrate has improved to -1 EV bb/100.

I saw an interesting comment on 2+2 saying motivation is a limited resource. Ego depletion seems to be the official term. It's still debatable if it exists, but I find it sensible. One way you can deplete your will power is by planning to do something. First of all, you only plan something that's difficult to achieve. Secondly, planning is like doing the activity already. Your mind is exhausted and relieved it's over, even if you didn't actually do anything yet. This leads me to believe the most successful people don't keep a blog, unless the blog is the reason for their success. They are saving their energy and motivation for the work itself. I won't stop updating this challenge, but I will mentally try not to go over my daily goals and instead just do them.



Scary flop, scary minraise and continued barrels made me fold river. Now that I think about it turn should be one of the best cards for me. Sets and two pair combos go down. If there's ever a chance he might play KK, AQ like this, I should call.

More sacrifices. Amitabha.

Yep I haven't done enough real work. The little I have done, I have mostly spend it on preflop. Then I 5-bet A5s btn vs co and get insta called by AK, QQ+ 4bet range.
What wizard settings are you using? I looked at NL 500. They just added NL 50 complex postflop solves, so I guess you're using them. But I admit I didn't look at the suits much. Heart suits go all-in a lot more. SB c-bet 34% pot, 99 no heart shoves 33%. SB c-bet 60% pot, 99 no heart shoves half the time.
Wow minraising flop with 99. Do we fold or call if they shove? Would be painful to fold if they have AK.
So check fold 95s vs wannabe. Sometimes it's profitable to be bad.