Quote:
Originally Posted by sirin
* When making exploitative decisions vs regs, are you using mass database analysis type stuff, or going off your perception of player pool tendencies, or using specific reads?
If you are making specific adjustments vs specific players, are these based specifically on showdowns of similar spots, or is the thought process more along the lines of "this guy doesn't know/study enough to get to this river with enough bluffs so I will fold my bluffcatchers?"
* How long do you think 500/1000 nl will be beatable for a decent clip, if you are willing to put in the work?
Haha these questions are too good, won't answer them all completely.
1) At higher stakes on most sites I play there are no HUDs so I'm trying quite hard to see showdowns and think about where they show a deviation from what I think is good - and how I can shift to exploit that. Most deviations you see at showdown correlate with others so you can get a lot from one showdown. Obviously trying to pay this attention can also make your head meltdown if not careful, so often I just default to population reads or in the worst case, what I think is equillibrium play. Obviously I am still quite far wrong with my mental picture of what's perfect though too.
2) Yeah I guess I kind of answered this. Pokerambition recently released a good yt video on this, until the conclusion where they were implying you should bluff everything when you think someone overfolds and call everything when you think someone overbluffs. I think there are obvious problems with this approach in smaller pools and it's not something I'd do personally.
3) I am way more positive about future of online poker than I used to be:
1 - still huge divergence in play styles at HSNL, maybe even more than the past from what I hear people saying
2 - more competition amongst sites
3 - American legislation slowly coming
4 - money printers mean 500nl and 1000nl becoming lower and lower stakes
5- Some sites doing a good job at RTA detection
6- Even with 5 bots and a whale I'm pretty sure it's highly possible to win at a decent rate, Linus only - 0.5bb/100 to pluribus and my study implies i am somewhere -5 --- 8bb as a very rough ballpark. And I'm going to win way more vs the whale than the bots.
Gun to my head I guess I'd happily take the over on 5 years on 500/1000nl being beatable for a good clip? Maybe wayyy longer for 500nl since it's just 2/5, fish will wanna play same stakes they play in casinos.
Quote:
Originally Posted by sirin
One more - would you say that the average 500nl reg is simplifying too much or not enough?
Hmmmm probably not enough. I think 500nl is a mix of long term pros bumhunting who just play kinda clicking strategy, a lot don't even bother trying to have any kind of mental game plan but just have a sense of what's good.
Then there are the new guys who tend to be very MDA focussed and have kind of become 500nl bots, just whole game designed at exploiting population leaks without many solid fundamentals, which might be optimal for 500nl but makes it really hard to move up I think.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Kockar
What would you consider as a decent and what as a good winrate on 100z/200z?
Do you think it is possible to reach 500z+ playing part time?
Don't play zoom if you wanna move up the stakes quickly
Good w/r is like 4bb+ I guess if you are on Stars. Hard to know if you can reach 500z playing part time, I guess so but don't think it should be your goal. If you are good enough to beat 500z you can make 100k a year from poker, tax free in a lot of countries and probably should pursue it full time. If you are rich enough that you don't want the 100k a year then find more fun things to do with your time than play 500z
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Alright guys, some worryingly good questions from sirin so gonna wrap it up. Actually ended up answering a ton on Instagram @gfrogz whilst I was in the airport too if anyone wants to see those.
Glgl.