Quote:
Originally Posted by CoolTimer
Hand 1: You have very few 5x as PFR and flop caller. You have very few sets as well after just calling the turn. So your hand is mostly 2PR and some busted pair+draw and he could vbet it if he figures some herocalls on this specific runout. It's probably not advisable against most players but I wouldn't call it extremely bad. I doubt it's a bluff. If it's a solid reg it wasn't a bluff imo. Often bad players just hate checking and deciding in these awkward spots and donk it in this way.
Ooooh this is very fascinating. The thought that he was valuebetting didn't even occur to me, especially since he has Q6 in his hand it made it look more like a full house blocker bluff. I reviewed the spot for HU and this is a valuebet, but I'm still quite skeptical that it would be once flop/turn bets are both called 3 ways.
But regardless of what theory ends up saying about this spot (which hopefully** I'll have access to tools to be able to confirm that in a few years
), I very strongly believe that this bet would fold out better more often than it would get called by worse in Ignition's PLO500 pool. Personally, if I had some AA that made it to the river (say AAT9) I would almost certainly fold.
Thanks for the comments!
**or, hopefully not