This thread has garnered about as much interest as paint drying on a wall yet for some reason I feel committed to stick it out so I'm gonna keep posting results and my thoughts on the day to day grind. Who knows, maybe something interesting will happen before the year is over. Also, my bull pen tracking system is evolving pretty much every time I stop to think about ways to improve it. I know most of the people that read this thread have no use for it but I'm probably going to be posting more stats and thoughts on the subject. My model (lol model, more like a couple dozen legal pads filled with all kinds of random stats and notes and poorly hand written charts) is a bit of a disorganized mess at this point in the season, mostly a lost cause until I can clean it all up over the off season. Point being this is as good a place as any for the BP stuff, and I know at least a couple guys are following it.
On to the weekends results; Fri was a good day, finished 14/70K in the $5 super rally. Of course 14th pays $750 where 1st pays $50K, but that and a lot of cashes made for a decent day, nice to bookend the ASB with decent wins. Sat and Sun were meh, esp the Sun early only, $500 in gpp entries and $100+ in sats for a $12 return and a sat brick. Late slate went better with a small profit and 6 more slam tickets. I've been playing way under my roll the last couple weeks mostly skipping anything over $5 other than a few odd lineups I really like here and there. I've been looking to ramp back up a bit I just haven't found the right slate, though I will be playing at least 100 entries in Tue's super slam and 100 in Fri's big $12 game.
Day 104
Buyins $1100, Payout $2345,
+$1245
Season +$32,890
Day 105
Buyins $500, Payout $401,
-$99
Season +$32,791
Day 106
Buyins $950, Payout $504,
-$446
Season +$32,345
I'm considering rolling with Fernandez 100% tomorrow, depends a lot on how the forecast looks 12 or so hours from now
---------- Warning: Boring bull pen **** beyond this point
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I just don't have the time (or ram) to dig into all 30 pens the way I was posting about Ari and Cin earlier in the thread. All I really need is a quick reference guide in most cases, so that's what I've been working on. I posted over the break all the teams that had rough patches on the schedule in July/Aug, here's the BP pitch counts this weekend for teams that started on the 15th:
Bos 87
Bal 134
CHW 91
Col 128
STL 136
SD 171
Oak
281
Phi 141
Min 185
Mia 160
Ari has this Mon and Thur off, along with 2 more days in early Aug before their 20 in a row starts, so they weren't really on my radar for fatigue.
They are terrible though, I mean they already were terrible before trading away their best reliever before the break, their 2 and 3 are now 1 and 2, and they've been getting killed. This is a team with no real 7th, 8th, or 9th inning guy, just a couple weak 6's and replacement level scrap. They got knocked around and worked for
252 pitches this weekend, so 3 days after the ASB and they actually need Mon off already. I'll be targeting this group regardless but a couple rough games this week and I'll really go after them, esp the weaker starters, like LOLcorbin
Pit and Wash played 18 innings Sun and obviously both went through their entire pens. I don't have the numbers in front of me but the Pit pen threw something ridic like 350 pitches this weekend. Both teams have this Mon, and next Mon, and next Thur off though, so it's not actionable, yet, just something to keep an eye on.
Tue Mil starts 43 games in 44 days
Fri NYM, Tex, and KC start runs