## Hand Review: Cbet
PokerStars,
Hold'em No Limit - $0.01/$0.02 - 6 players
Replay this hand on Upswing Poker
UTG: $2.00 (100 bb)
MP (Hero): $2.03 (102 bb)
CO: $1.53 (77 bb)
BU: $2.00 (100 bb)
SB: $1.65 (83 bb)
BB: $3.46 (173 bb)
Pre-Flop: ($0.03) Hero is MP with Q
♥ T
♠
1 fold,
Hero raises to $0.05,
3 players fold, BB calls $0.03
Flop: ($0.11) 4
♥ 9
♦ 7
♥ (2 players)
BB checks,
Hero ?
Preflop:
QTo = 50% PFR. 4 Fish at the table, 1 reg in the BB. Conclusion: Raise
We get called by the reg. He should be calling pretty wide here, especially with suited hands (Axs, Kxs, some Qxs, connectors and gappers). +- 20% or 275 combo's
Flop: MML 2T 12
1. Range Advantage
Slight range advantage for Hero. BB shouldn't have a donkrange here.
Top5% is pretty equal: we both have all sets (3x3). BB has some 2p as well (2x 97s, +-2x 74s)
10-30% is dominated by Hero because of he has more overpairs (6x AA-QQ + 6x JJ-TT). Villain might 3b JJ sometimes, which makes this part of our range even stronger.
Hero has more A9 and K9 than Villain because they are seldom a call preflop.
2. Fold Equity
Because of the wet board we should probably cbet 67%pot. Disregarding our equity, this would translate to a RFE of 40%. Does Villain fold 40%? That's 0.6x275 or 165 combo's he should continue with. Estimated combos:
9 sets;
4 2p;
8 oP;
20 tP;
4 88;
15mP,
20-ish FDs;
8 OESD;
20-ish GS's;
25-ish High BDFD's
=> 133
Slightly under our RFE.
3. Equity
If we have some live equity, we don't need 40% RFE. We have quite some turn prospects:
2 OC's + Decent BDFD + BDOESD + BDGS
The turns we like: Q, T, h, J, 8 => 24 cards or 50% of all turn cards.
4. HU + Position
CONCLUSION:
HERO bets 3.5bb
## Hand review: Raise w/ draw
PokerStars,
Hold'em No Limit - $0.01/$0.02 - 6 players
Replay this hand on Upswing Poker
UTG: $3.43 (172 bb)
MP: $2.00 (100 bb)
CO (Hero): $2.09 (105 bb)
BU: $1.48 (74 bb)
SB: $2.00 (100 bb)
BB: $2.07 (104 bb)
Pre-Flop: ($0.03) Hero is CO with 3
♠ A
♠
1 fold,
MP raises to $0.05,
Hero calls $0.05,
3 players fold
Flop: ($0.13) 2
♠ K
♣ 8
♠ (2 players)
MP bets $0.04,
Hero ?
Preflop:
Normally, A3s should be 3bet almost 100%. However, with all resting players being fish, we opt to flat. Even if we can handle a small squeeze, it is unlikely that passive fish will squeeze. We want them to call and prey on implied odds.
Flop: BML 2T 35
Villain Cbets 1/3p. His Flop Cbet = 29 on 87 hands. Value-heavy Cbet range (tP, AA, KK, some K8s but his PFR is only 14 so chances are that he didn't open K8s)
1. Equity and RE
Any A and spade is good for us. => 12 combo's or 3:1 or 25%.
On an A there are some reversed implied odds though... So we should be more conservative than this. Still, the largest portion of V's range is tP, and sometimes this player type even cbets another weak pair. Also, we can turn a GS as well.
Villain's 1/3bet gives us 4:1 or 20%.
We don't need to look for a raise. This is a call.
If the Turn is a brick and Villain checks to us, we can look to stab at the pot.
Villain is probably a type that is afraid of putting money in the pot so if he checks the turn, our FE likely to be very high. A 50-67% bet otT will do.
CONCLUSION:
Hero calls 2bb.