Quote:
Originally Posted by DrTJO
Conspiracy theories and "poker is rigged" discussions aside, are you able to articulate a decent explanation of why you were 100 BI under EV over this sample? How likely is this in statistical terms, i.e., taking into account your win-rate and standard deviation? At what point do you say the likelihood is close enough to 0% and then start seeking explanations other than variance, such as manipulation of RNG? I've lurked this thread for a while and respect your application of strategy and was left a little stunned by the 80 BI downswing. I also understand that you're probably over the whole thing, seeking closure and tired of thinking about it.
Anyway, irrespective of the above, GL and I hope you find a decent site to play.
It's pretty simple. Most of it was just losing 80/20s aipf more than I should.
The other part was losing a ton of 90/10, 95/5 spots post flop where you get all the money in w/ one card to come and they have 2 outs.
These were way more out of wack than the aipf stuff. There were a few days where I lost 4 or 5 of those spots consecutively.
If you tally my AA/KK vs underpairs aipf I ran 65% which maybe isn't that bad? idk but it felt pretty bad going through it.
For some reason QQ/TT/99 ran super hot vs these hands.
AA vs TT aipf 4 win 6 loss
KK vs TT aipf 3 win 3 loss
AA vs QQ aipf 21 win 18 loss
AA vs 99 aipf 3 win 7 loss
And don't get me started on the AA vs AK that didn't seem possible.
idk I guess I just ran in the bottom of the prime dope sample. I see other people seem to be running a lot more normally.
I guess the only thing I will credit ACR is a fast withdrawal process. I got the money within 4hrs of my initial request.