Quote:
Originally Posted by wereallgonnamakeit
This makes a lot of sense. It's definitely a small sample and I realize that a swing like this is fairly common, I'm just focusing now on getting the volume. Hopefully should get at least 100-120k hands in before I try out being pro.
400bi is a bit extreme for me but if I was on my own roll I would want at least 100bi for sure.
This is the updated ignition graph, but there is like -3k more in losses waiting to be downloaded.
Going to dropping down to 200zone for more volume and higher winrates, that way I can get my confidence up. Would be grinding 2 500 zone 2 500 reg and staying away from the app games from now (They are higher variance and higher rake).
Yes it really depends on your playstyle. If you a red line type player then you definitely gonna hit 20-40 buyin down swings often over larger samples so with 100bi you could lose 20-40% of your roll which is demoralizing knowing you need to recover.
It really depends on your psychological mindset and if you can take the losses. For me even a 20 buyin downswing I will feel the pain and luckily the most with the style I play is around 5-10 buyins max.
Poker you need to weather the bad times but if you can add more money to your roll it doesn't matter but if you use your roll for living, savings, reserve and playing you need to be able to weather the big swings and its on this forum but people have hit -50 buyin downswings also.
Volume and time and experience I found the best way to improve and be more confident.
You need to be more confident with your lines and I saw some knowledge you already lacking like the hand where you punted off with a busted flush draw for example. This is actually the worse kind of hand to barrel off with and especially on a A high board but again it depends on your villian and most will not fold AJ+ in this specific spot.
There is a huge amount of spots in 3bet pots also which I lack also studying alot of spots and this is why I don't want to move up yet and amplify my losses where I know I cannot be as nitty as I am. The mid stakes games the regs will put you in alot of tough spots the good ones and you need to know who is overbluffing or underbluffing so study and knowledge of the regular players and the pool is always good.
I see alot of regs over the six months come and go there are a very selected few which I see grinding day in and day out and those which move up, I see come back down again which tells me that most have alot of leaks and unfortunately when you play against regtards you might be overcalling in spots where you shouldn't against a good opponent so this type of misinformation skews your bias also.
I hope you share more hand histories because I definitely also love to give my 2c on some hands also.