Quote:
Originally Posted by J.Prufock
On the straight over straight hand I might be alone here but I think you could fold the flop. In my mind he's either raising with a flush draw (almost certainly a better one) or an overpair that would be worried about the possibility of the turn/river making a straight or flush possible.
I like your way of thinking and maybe it's a loose call oop 2 streets.
But after a little deeper analysis, if we suppose he raise flop with these hands you said, we have something like 37% equity, so I don't think that is an easy flop fold.
Quote:
Originally Posted by J.Prufock
The turn is definitely a fold for me, how are we calling OOP with a small FD and guthshot for 18bb?
Let's check out our equity on the turn again. The turn is a blank card, so we expect to continue betting will all the range he raise the flop right? So here we take something like 23.5% equity and considering that when we hit we are oop and also when when hit the flush for example we are not sure that we have the best hand, I think I will agree with the fold to turn bet. But on the river, really KhQh make no sense..
Quote:
Originally Posted by J.Prufock
Another thing to consider is how he perceives your UTG range, that flop doesn't play too badly for him, I'm not sure what your opening range is like UTG but it's not containing many 9's or J's and his calling range may well do. Given his AF he's not raising much so we can assume we are behind most of the time.
Yes this is an important part to consider. I don't know how he perceives my UTG range because sometimes I change my range depending of the opponents. So I can't know what he stats he sees for me.
Quote:
Originally Posted by J.Prufock
When he barrels the turn I just think it's a really tough call, we'll only beat him if our draws come in and we aren't getting good enough odds especially OOP to call.
I can only agree with that
Quote:
Originally Posted by J.Prufock
The shove is good play from him I think, you could argue it'll miss value from TPTK/overpairs but when you've c/c a brick on the turn he'll think you must have 2pair+ and won't fold to an obvious scare card.
I don't think that his bet here is a good move. It's a good move only if he knows my hand lol. I will never play a set like I played, and almost never I have two pair here to take value from me in the long run.
Quote:
Originally Posted by J.Prufock
Just my 2 cents, interested to hear your thought process mate, give me a shout on Skype tomorrow!
Thanks for your opinions mate. Last 3-4 days I haven't opened skype because of 3-4 hours of poker available daily. I try to get used to new habits like warm up before sessions by reading a book or watch a video, and session analysis after sessions, by watching some important hands and take notes, so if I decide to play 2 sessions of 1 hour length, I need almost the double time for all these. It's a little hard to spend 50% of you time outside of tables but I enjoy it very much and I think that this helps me to get better. We will talk asap man
Last edited by derek58; 01-30-2015 at 10:06 PM.