+$14 over 1 hour online. Played PLO200. Games are pretty good. I'm going to get a notepad/pencil so I can take notes. anon is strange.
Interesting hand from yesterday:
limp, limp, hero raises to $50 with KK93ccss, call, whale calls in sb, call
Flop ($200)
8c7c3s
check, check, hero ??
This is close, I like b/f.
Hero bets $180, fold, whale takes out a stack of whites and pretends to contemplate raising, then calls.
This is a tell that villain is at the bottom of his calling range imo.
Turn ($560)
Qd
check, hero bets $500 ($1100 left), villain calls quickly
river ($1560)
As
check, hero checks..
Villain has AcJcT2 and wins.
If we assume he folds 83 or worse on river..
Ugh, PPT won't let me figure this out easily.. I just want to know how many Ac*c combos he has without 2 pairs on the river, and how much 73/83 he could have versus a3, aq, a8, a7 combos. If someone has advanced softwares, plz post.
edit:
hmm when I do
Omaha Hi Hand Count ?
dead cards: 8c7c3sQhAh
Hand Optimized Count Base Count
Ac*c!87!83!73!T9!96!88!77!33!Q8 6609 (2.44%) 8919 (3.29%)
2287 54 (0.02%) 96 (0.04%)
vs
Omaha Hi Hand Count ?
dead cards: 8c7c3sQhAh
Hand Optimized Count Base Count
Ac*c!87!83!73!T9!96!88!77!33!Q8!AQ!A8!A7!A3 2889 (1.07%) 3111 (1.15%)
2287 54 (0.02%) 96 (0.04%)
This is kind of confusing, but basically aces up combos that don't shove flop are 2.44-1.07/2.44 or 56% of his range, so 44% is A:cc!2pairs. Add in some random 83/73/q3 combos that fold river and ~50% of his range is better that will fold river. Seeing how its $1100 to win $1500, villain need to fold 43% to be +EV, so missed a marginally +EV shove.. ~5-10% on 1100
Last edited by tmckendry; 03-02-2014 at 07:55 PM.