i made the most ridiculous fold of my whole life today and surprisingly i am feeling great about it. this was a very special situation and i would NEVER consider folding KK preflop unless this EXACT scenario comes up.
initial raiser was a nit. 13/9 or something like that.
3bettor was the tightest player i have ever come across. plays 9/7 with 2.1% 3bet over a large sample of almost 2000 hands. now i am faced with a fairly easy decision given that i am out of position. i dont want the first raiser to tag along and flop a set on me so i obv 4b for value against a fairly strong range that i am crushing (AA, AK, KK, QQ)
now the tricky thing happens which i am very certain has allowed me to save a full stack. this particular villain will flat QQ ALWAYS. he will flat AK ALWAYS as well. he never stacks off preflop with anything but AA and KK, this i am 10000000% sure of. and since thre is only one KK combo left but 6 AA i think this becomes a fold.
i am very confident in my reads here but i know that nobody will agree on this on first glance. however, even if we add all AKs combos, I am crushed by his range. and only flipping if he sticks it in with all of those anna kurnikovas which he DOESN'T!
anyways, ill post the proof and let the flaming begin:
PokerStars - $0.05 NL (9 max) - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 3
UTG: $3.66
UTG+1: $1.98
MP: $4.21
MP+1: $2.42
LP: $8.72
CO: $2.48
BTN: $6.34
Hero (SB): $12.45
BB: $5.00
Hero posts SB $0.02, BB posts BB $0.05
Pre Flop: ($0.07) Hero has K
K
fold,
fold,
MP raises to $0.12,
fold,
fold,
fold,
BTN raises to $0.43,
Hero raises to $1.20,
fold,
fold,
BTN raises to $3.00,
fold
BTN wins $2.57
Last edited by blakkman08; 01-26-2012 at 06:01 PM.