Sportsgambling is mos def rigged...
Done with that for next two years, for sure.



Guess i'll soon make a medium sized deposit on PS, about 350$, which still leaves me with 15 stacks for live PLO.

Will be adjusting schedules day by day, but not play too high online, and likely quit the live PLO, if i dont run well over the next two weekends, or so.
Maybe i buy MAGA trump coins for 1k then, if its currently dipping...


At least my diet is going very well. Already lost 5kg - from 119 to 115kg - by eating close to zero real carbs, zero alcohol and taking long daily walks in the forest, for 6 days now.
Chin up and push up numbers nowhere close to be mentionalbe, so far...

Been running terrible since April, but i feel great now, nevertheless. Guess my body finally went into ketose, which usually takes 3-5 days after you stop eating carbs.

On thursday, my uncle is in town, who is also a big cardplaying fan, but he prefers playing Skat.
Surely gonna have a good time, having a smoke of some Gorilla Glue, and shooting the ****.

Huge storm pulling up here, waking me up right after i fell asleep. Chairs on balconies are flying around, causing terrible noise...


If i get to sleep again soon, this will be my schedule today, after depositing 330$:

2.20$ PLO
2.20$ to 22$ PLO KOmania
5.50$ 6card PLO pko
2.20$ PLO KOmania
4.40$ HORSE
7.50$ PLO Omania
7.50$ 8-Game
5.50$ to 55$ 8-Game
5.50$ PLO KOmania
5.50$ NL 2-7 SD SCOOP Afterparty

(Only adding the 22$ NL 2-7 SD, if i didnt reach the new 55$ daily accumulated stop-loss before, or win a seat in a satellite)

Lost about 40$ on thursday, and 55$ today.

My game selection was pretty bad, and once i spazzed so hard in a 7,50$ 8-game, which was my last game left.
I got a disgusting runner runner beat, instead of a huge bounty on my second last table, and then just rage-snap-open-shoved K7s with 40bb in the NLHE round...
And guess what fist-pump-snap-called me,... Ofc AA. On top, i flop and miss a flushdraw.

Nevermind, and head to the live PLO.

Over +4 hours, i didnt get to showdown once, but been able to pull two nice 3barrel bluffs in SRPs - once with the nutflush blocker, and once with a good feeling for villains range - and went home with at least 80€ profit (50c/1€).


Tomorrow, i will play all 2.20$ satellites to 22$ 8-game and 22$ 5card PLO SCOOPs.
Adding the early 3.30$ Stud8, 2.20$ and 3.30$ Stud8 satellites to 22$ daily stable, and ofc the 5.50$ 8game and 5card PLO SCOOP Events.
And as a day saver, i'll play a 7.50$ HORSE.

Perfect day for my last 55$ on Pokerstars, with lots of cheap satellites, big fields, and a day saver (only deposited 150$).


I'm feeling really energized and sharp without carbs and alcohol by now. Get my 10.000 steps in on 6 of 7 days, and since i have such success with it, i thought about Poker, and setting goals, too.
Due to variance in Poker, especially in MTTs, i think the only goal-setting that make sense is regarding playing volume, and monetary results per year.

My volume is no problem, because due to the 4-table cap, i'm already playing long sessions, most of the time.

My monetary Goals for 1st of january of the upcoming years are:

2025 = back above 5.500$ (playing up to 55$ Mixed MTTs, and 50c/1€ live PLO, once a week)

2026 = +22.000$ (playing up to 215$ Mixed MTTs, and 2/5€ limpers PLO in Casino, once a week)

2027 = +55.000$ (adding two 320$, and the 530$ Sunday PLO Highroller, as well as every live PLO MTT of any series that my local Casino offers, up to the rare 1k Events)

2028 = +110.000$ (invest 40k for a month of vegas, playing every 1500$ non-nlhe that runs)

2029 = 2028

2030 = 2028 etc, hahaha


In all seriousness, this time im seriously serious. Perfect nutrition, daily exercise, and good, sober sleep are the foundation.
New found urge to study is building big walls, and my urge to play is through the roof.

Aint nothing to it but to do it.

Enjoying the thread and gl on the goals. You play way above me so will be taking notes if I get to sit with you at the micros and hopefully learning a bit. Any reason you don't play PLO8?

Nice to hear, thank you.

I do play PLO8 sometimes, like during a series, or when the 3.30$ to 33$ PLO8 hot KOmania suits my schedule, but it's a game where you have to play tight preflop, and hardly get any spots to bluff postflop, other than PLO Hi.

I liked NLO8 for a while, but if i dont get bored of playing all the other variants, i'll likely not play much of both of them until a week before WCOOP, i think.

22$ 8game= busted two entries
22$ 5card= busted
3,30$ to 22$ Stud8= stone bubbled

Day-savers busted, too

5,50$ SCOOP Afterparty 5card PLO, i was crushing as chipleader for a long time, over 100x starting stack at peak.
Then they put the new chipleader directly behind me with 4 tables left, and he 3bets about 35%...
After two folds to his reraises, i see him lose nearly half his stack with a terrible preflop hand, and even worse flop decision.
Right after, i get AKT98ds to Ace and King, open my 55bb stack on cut-off to 2.25x, and call his btn 3bet happily.
Flop is T65ss, giving me top-pair with two overs, nutflushdraw, and a nut gutshot.
I check/shove, he calls - still slightly covering me - and shows 86654ts, blocking my flushdraw, and his set holds... Im out 23rd, or so, for 32$.
986$ for first


(To be continued soon...)

I found out that PS is offering 6card PLO cash-games, and promptly decided to play that.

Dedicated the daily 55$ for 5$ tables, and quickly got to 108$, before playing 10$ tables.
Few hours later, i was at 25$ tables with 230$ in my roll. But only by then, i realized that there also is 30-35% more rake for germans, and didnt believe that you can overcome 6.25 instead of 4.5% rake in a game as swingy as 6card.

Hence why i sat at a 200$ table to spin it up to 550$ before leaving the game.
Played about a dozen hands 4-handed with Ilari Sahamies (Ziigmund from full tilt) before he left.
Then i flop top-set, turn nutfulls, but ran into quads...


On top of that, i need to buy a new bike, because my old one's saddle broke off... Would have had to repair several other things on it, too, which wasnt worth it.
That'll cost me a few hundred, further cutting into my roll.

I'll have to stop playing the live PLO, and instead of the usual zero days off online, i'll just be studying different variants for 2-3 hours per day, and look for a new Job.
The mindless accounting Job i currently have is extremly boring, and i need something new.

I'll be taking at least a few days off now, maybe a few weeks.

See you later, folks

I could beat sports betting without knowing anything about sports, just bet against the dumb money in big competitions.

Best sports bets are fight related UFC or boxing imo. Bookies aren't trying to make the most accurate lines they're just trying to divide the action so they guarantee themselves a win. So if tons of stupid money comes in on a team or fighter that's when +EV sports bets appear. For example, do you think the Irish were considering the price for Connor McGregor vs Floyd Mayweather before betting? No they didn't care what the odds were they were going to bet on Connor no matter the odds. In big competitions like Mayweather v McGregor or Mayweather v Pacquiao lots of money is going to be bet on these competitions. The line for Mayweather v McGregor came out at like 24-1 and moved to about 4-1 by fight time. If you see the line move in a big competition like that it's generally a good bet to bet against the dumb money. Anytime a national hero goes up against an unlikable a-hole like Floyd people bet with their hearts and bet on who they want to win.

Bet on Jake Paul to beat Mike Tyson in November. That will be a +EV sports bet.

Good luck with everything.

glgl with everything!

I've bought a new bike, as well as a new laptop. Old one is more than eight years old, and laughably slow. Will still serve well as a back up.


In between the end of this month and mid of July, i will deposit 330$ as my new bankroll, and start playing the below schedule religiously:


14:43 - 3.30$ Stud8
15:09 - 2.20$ to 22$ PLO KOmania
15:13 - 11$ 8-Game
15:33 - 5.50$ 5card PLO PKO
16:43 - 4.40$/7.50$ HORSE
17:05 - 7.50$/16.50$ PLO Omania
17:23 - 7.50$ 8-Game
18:03 - 5.50$ to 55$ 8-Game Octopus PKO
18:10 - 2.20$ to 22$ weekly Limit/Mixed Event
19:01 - 5.50$ 8-Game Octopus PKO
19:05 - 3.30$ to 22$ weekly Limit/Mixed Event
20:05 - 11$ PLO KOmania
22:19 - 16.50$ Stud8

Next step would be getting above 550$, allowing me to play a few 22$ small field Events directly, as well as some shots at bigger PLO satellites.



Diet and no alcohol is working really well. Already lost 9kg, and have zero urge to have a drink.

Tried a new job for a test day, where i was selling fish, but the location has extremly low roofs, especially in the basement. Beeing as tall as i am, i'd likely ruin my back there rather quickly. The boss told me right away, but we agreed on a test day, anyway. Sucked hard.

To avoid boredom and stay in the flow, i'll try to spin up 20 bucks on Wednesday.

I'll be playing one table of 4c/8c Stud8, together with the 3.30$ Stud8 MTT, plus one table of nano six plus holdem, and max late reg every 1.10$ PLO, 8-Game and HORSE MTT during my session.
Then shottake the late 16.50$ Stud8, if i can still afford it.

Wouldnt hurt to play a few 22$ mystery bounty events coming up next week, in case of run good.

GL with your new schedule!

Thanks


Busted twice in 3.30$ Stud8, but got a good stack in the 2.20$ PLO KOmania.

Limped 4577ss, and when we saw the turn 3way with one player all-in, a reg bet super small and called it off with bad twopair vs my set and sucked out, but started complaining, anyway...

Then he repotted KK83ss, didnt bet ace flop, tiny bets turn, and shoved river on AT297r or so, and i bust him calling 97xx, lol.
Though, only min-cashed it for 7$ with bounties.

Bubbled 4.40$ HORSE...

13$ left of the 20€ i deposited, which i will try to spin up to 55$ at 6+ cash games tomorrow, or the day after.

does the $11 8-game run daily? Does it get a lot of entries when it runs?

I live in a boarder town next to Mexico (the Rio Grande river that separates Mexico and my hometown is literally 2 blocks away from my house) and looking to play more mixed games and it shouldn't be too hard to cross into mexico (legally of course lol) on the weekends to play on stars.

Going to ask a question, please ignore if this thread isn't appropriate.

How would you play this in an mtt situation. Let's say all deepstacked at the start of a mtt.

67xx on a 667 flop. Oop vs 2 villains in a limped pot.

Do you pot it or try build a pot?

How would you open if just facing one villain?

if you where ip and it check around to you, how would you act?

Lastly, turn is an A and after raising, vil shoves. Is this an auto fold against an unnoted villain?

I am a noob and trying to formulate a game plan.

@damian^

The 11$ 8-Game at 15:13 CET in my schedule is just a 250$ guaranteed usually getting ~35 players. A great day saver.

You'd likely prefer the 19:01 CET 8-Game Octopus PKO, which is only 5.50$ from monday till friday, but 11$ with 1.5k guaranteed on saturdays, and 2k on sundays.
I'd recommend playing the 4.40$ and 5.50$ satellites to the 44$ 8-Game Tarantula on sundays, too, which are pretty soft. The 44$ has 21 (3x7) minute levels in late game. Last time i won it, it was for ~880$, iirc.



@amatola

Feel free to ask me anything in this thread.
I'll happily answer.

I'd usually bet 1/3rd pot on the flop, or half pot or even more vs fishy stationary players. If you overlimped the small blind, you could check flop, or bet it, depending on opponents. In BB or last to act, i'd usually bet it.
If you get raised on an ace turn, you are nearly always dead to 6Axx there, in a limped pot, sometimes vs slowplayed 77xx, or vs limped/checked bad AAxx rainbow hands. Very clear fold vs population, at least on Pokerstars.

And remember that your side-cards do matter, even on locked down boards. Having 6788 there, for example, gives you two nut outs, where most players will stack off with their 77xx or 67xx, or even str8s sometimes, and chase a naked 6 till river.

I'll keep that in mind. Thank You

GLGL!

It's utterly insane how i run. More than a month with like 2 winning and 25 losing days, roughly.


Get KK on cut-off in 6+ holdem, see 4 limps, pot, and call an all-in of btn, just to lose vs AA. King on flop, Ace on river... Very first hand i played.

Flop trips with three overs on 226ss flop in PLO 3bet pot, and run into nutfulls of super shortstack, and naked flushdraw of clueless big stack, who cold called 3bet pre. Flush hits, and i brick out.

Flush flop in PLO limped pot, i raise small vs min-bet, 3-barrel my nutflushblocker, and get called down by naked 3high flush. Three high...

And to top it off, i lose 23-54 vs 68-96 in Razz after catching J, K and T while villain caught A,4, and a 5.

I'm done for at least a week.

razz is my favorite and strongest game but it's also the game that puts me on tilt more than any other game. and it's a special kind of tilt. A very maddening and frustration-filled tilt because you can play the best hands only to end up bricking out. The tilt is even worse when I play against fish who play so bad but always luck out on me on 7th street. It can really drive me insane lol

stud8 is also a very tilt-inducing game...playing some $0.10/$0.20 right now on WPN and i've been winning 15BBs and losing 15Bbs for the past 1 hour lol. Variance is crazy due to everyone calling and being in multiway pots, not completing my low, and 2 pairs & trips luckboxing their way into full houses on 7th street! Grr....

Stud variants...they're a b**** at times...

Nothing worse than hitting three bricks in Stud games from 5th to 7th, while seeing others make runner-runner-runner-runner flush with a rainbow starting hand, and stuff like that...

I'd already be happy when i'll stop being rolled up in Razz, and get my sets at Stud Hi or Stud8.
Since SCOOP, i got 5th time in Razz today, with zero in Stud Hi and Stud8.




Three days ago, i decided to stop smoking cannabis, and also stopped drinking caffeine, which balances out really well. Have zero issues with quitting these substances, so far. Three weeks without alcohol now, and will not drink again before Christmas. Zero urge.

I'll most likely smoke a spliff again, when i visit friends once a week, but dont need that stuff at home in my daily live anymore.

All these changes came naturally, once i stopped eating sugar, pasta, bread and rice. My only "cheat meals" with starchy carbs include potatos, when i visit my grandma twice a month.

Aside of carnivore food, I do eat an apple, a banana and a few berries each day. Same as a bit of tomatoes and bell peppers. And i still like most sorts of nuts, too.

I can strongly recommend this diet for anyone who's struggling with alcohol or cannabis addiction. Willpower heavily improves, once you quit sugar, ultra processed food, and starchy carbs in general.




When i start playing again on thursday next week, i will follow a strict weekly plan, which will roughly look like this:


Week 1:
No Omaha tournaments, to reduce variance by playing smaller fields, with even worse opponents. Adding PL/NL 5card Draw, NL 2-7 Single Draw, and 6+ holdem MTTs.
My goal is to get my 330$ bankroll to above 550$. If i fail, i'll do the same week, again.


Week 2:
Cut out added variants where i ran bad, and replace them with 5.50$-16.50$ PLO MTTs.
Goal is to get above 880$. Repeat the week, if failed.


Week 3:
Cut out all Draw games (aside of FL 2-7 TD on mondays), and add 22$-27$ PLO tourneys, as well as the daily 27$ 8-Game.
Goal is to get above 1320$. Repeat week, if failed.


Week 4:
Cut out all games below 5.50$, and add Omaha Hi Lo tournaments. Really need to get in practice, before WCOOP starts.
Goal is to get above 1500$.

When i got there, i'll make a new plan for 4 weeks.


One thing i know for sure is that i wont get excited when WCOOP starts. Instead of firing like a mad man, i will only aim to play the Stud8 high event, and not try to satellite into anything else that is bigger than 10% of my current roll, or play anything directly that is bigger than 5% of my current roll. Something like the disastrous SCOOP-run wont happen again.


If i can spin up 20€ to 6000$ in one month of regular schedule - while drinking, smoking pot and eating crap - i guess i can reach at least +3300$ within 2 months being clean and balanced.


When i start next week, i'll only be taking wednesdays off, and grind the other 6 days per week for +8 hours sessions, until i reach 3300$.