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Originally Posted by Coldcard
Good luck finishing this up i've been lurking this thread for some time now!
Thanks!
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Originally Posted by inJaxwetrust
Paid for that **** though :'(
Lol, it was probably worth it though!
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Originally Posted by gungalai
Back in the days I used to play for hours,nonstop in some of the top leagues and fw with some of the top teams,but It's now for me to move on and do what should I do,have responsibilities ... Btw I have dota 2 beta key 3 weeks after Navi won the 1 mil tourney when people were crazy for that key. http://www.playdota.com/forums/showthread.php?t=541248
Sorry for the off-topic
What was your in-game name?
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Originally Posted by general_jim3
When I had a go recently at hypers (only the 15's and 30's) I also found in each case the red line would be better when you're relatively new to the player pool. I thought it could be that the regs start adapting to your play as they get larger samples on you, or it could just be variance. Gl with the rest of the year.
Hey yeah a few very good regs said things to a similar effect a while ago and I agree. I think in most games it's very possible to start with a better EV for a few reasons. Mostly what you said, but I guess to be more specific you can make some profitable to super profitable +EV plays that are extremely exploitable in the long run, and you will make a lot of money if you do such plays until regs adjust, which can take a while (because regs are slow/lazy sometimes, but also because it just takes a while to get enough showdowns to get confident enough to estimate someones range etc).
For example in cash games, if you are an unknown you could probably 3-bet 72o from SB vs BTN (just an example) and show an immediate profit. Eventually, when a reg sees you are showing up with such trash he will own your ridiculously exploitable strategy etc. Similarly if someone opens ATC on the BTN in CAP (or SNGs really), regs can jam really, really wide from the blinds (obviously), but the first time you do it, until they start getting a bigger sample, they won't jam that wide and so on, so your open could be profitable and you will win heaps on the BTN.. Once they adjust and you still open ATC you will be losing heaps in that spot and your winrate will decline.
These are extreme examples and I don't do it to that extent nor would I advocate it to anyone else but just wanted to use extreme examples to make it clear in case anyone is interested why your EV could be higher in the first game/s you play, and lower later relatively speaking.
And yeah like you said eventually regs will start adjusting to your plays once they get enough reads/hands on a HUD etc etc. I've always felt my default game in a lot of formats is fairly good but my ability to adjust isn't as strong as some of the better regs.
Anyway finally had a winning session today, not as many VPPs as I would have liked but happy to finally win a little. Session didn't start off that well either..
Can't wait to finish and get a nice break, finally.
On a random/side note my music taste can be pretty feminine, earlier ITT I said I was listening to Taylor Swift's Red and recently it's been:
On another random side note, I feel dumb even bragging about this but I found the most recent Sunday Million Degen in hypers earlier this morning. She jammed the first hand and I folded whatever trash, second hand jams again so I call and bust her