Quote:
Originally Posted by IamIsildur
A lot of people told me that the monetary goal is not a good idea so maybe ill change my gosls to volume ore smthing and why u think that its not a good idea to play 35$ 180s ?
I know its gonna be really tough but thats the whole reason i opend a thread.
I've seen statistics that show a large group of randomly selected winning 180 regs can end up -$40k in them over a sizeable sample, and I can only think of two players (one is widely considered the best 180 reg in the world and also plays at off-peak times, the other is one of the best MTT players in the world) who have >10% ROIs in them, and even those aren't with a sample size big enough to really be conclusive.
Basically, because of how few of them run, almost no-one is able to play a big enough sample of them to work out their true ROI, and they are really high variance games where about 60-80% of the field are solid regs, even more so at peak times. Obviously play them if you want, but considering how long it could feasibly take to actualise any edge you might have, it's probably not worth it, because by the time you realise "yay, I have a 6% ROI!", you'll probably have been through some pretty insane swings, and no-one needs that. Not to mention, a lot of guys who crush the lower 180s just don't have positive ROIs in 35s and 60s. One reg who made $100k from 180s in 2011 (everyone probably knows who I mean) has one of the biggest samples of 35s and 60s, and he's only up $1.7k or so. That's the difference between winning a 35 and bubbling it.