Another good, short mid-week session. 3HRS +$309. What I find interesting so far this month is that while I know I am on the + side of variance; it's not the obvious type like hitting sets (only hit 2 in the last 22 hours), Aces over Kings, big hands holding up, etc.
It seems that it is more of putting myself in many good "spots" to win; meaning I am more focused on playing positionally, isolating certain opponents, good table/seat selection. The + side of variance I am seeing is that I have not had many tough beats while extracting value this way. Examples include: floating and stealing pots from players without them backdooring into made hands, giving a free card when I am way ahead in unusual spots, etc.
One example hand from today: I have incorporated this into my arsenal and it works magically! The circumstances have only allowed it to happen once or twice though so far.
$1/2NL
V has ~$130 behind. LAG player, somewhat balanced, but more aggressive than passive.
HERO has ~$350 behind.
V limps in UTG + 1 for $2
1 caller for $2
HERO raises to $13 with AA in MP
folds around, V is the only caller for $11 more.
FLOP ($31) 4
7
4
V checks
HERO checks.
Turn ($31) J
V checks
HERO bets $20 (quick, splashy motion helps)
V c/r all-in quickly for last $95.
HERO calls.
River (~$250)Q
Villain mucks to HERO's aces.
By giving the free card on the flop, we are telling villain that we missed and have overcards as virtually everyone at $1/2 will bet a rainbow flop with a pair. This gives V the opportunity to bluff, hit on the turn, or bet out there medium pocket pair. The few times I have employed this tactic, Villain overplays their hand significantly.
A few criteria: Have position, paired flop and rainbow, and ideally but not required, opponent should have 80bb or less. More than that and we may be leaving extra bets on the table by not pushing the pot size sooner.