Quote:
Originally Posted by JDBizzie
If that's his range isn't it a ship? Not the greatest at counting combos but...
Doesn't matter though cause AK isn't in his range.
7 combos of hands we beat if we exclude half of the AK's since they don't appear to be in his range PF. (12 combos of AK, 1 combo of KQcc). 8 combos of 7x that beat us, and one that we beat.
I have to say again though, that I just don't see anybody check raise bluffing here when there is a rando fish in the hand that is not folding. If he has a random Ax (AQ-A2), he's flatting your bet, if he has a flushdraw, I also see him flatting. I just don't think that 95% of villains are capable of check raising an A77cc board as a bluff/semi-bluff, or for thin value/protection with a hand like 88-JJ.
Based on pre-flop over limp, I'd really want to remove 75% of combo's of AK from his range (this can be AK sometimes, although I still think 7x more likely, hence removing combos of AK) this leaves 4 combo's of AK, 8 combo's of 7x that beat us, 1 combo of 7x that we beat.
Hence out of 13 possible hands, we are crushed by 8 of them, and on the turn, we are now crushed by 9 of them and ahead of 4. I also don't think AK comes out and bombs this turn as it's likely to be worried about our call OTF and will try to get to SD for cheap now. If villain wasn't such a limp tard, you could remove the J7s, Q7s, K7s combo's from his range, as is though...I think you're up **** creek.
Call it a cooler if you want, I just don't think you should be opening unsuited connectors even in position, when you know you aren't getting folds. It's nice to have initiative going to the flop, but then you also must understand that when you get played back at, it's time to get away. I'm really ok with the pre-flop line if all opponents check fold to cbets all day long like they do in a lot of games. But once villain check-raises flop, alarm bells should be going off like you're in the middle of a war zone.