Quote:
Originally Posted by daygrindmike
I'm curious how much money one could make at these levels if one were to exploit these stakes to the max. I'm averaging $37/hr since journaling my sessions around 100 hours ago. I know this is a tiny sample size but one day I plan on playing poker full-time indefinitely. I believe there's a good chance I already have what it takes, but I also realize I'm still swimming in the proverbial kiddie pool. Crushing 1/2 over such a tiny sample size isn't anything to boast about.
I'm top 100 in the state as a double A pool player after just 3 years of training and practice. I've won $1000s gambling in bars and poolhalls. I'm an excellent bowler (278 high score), chess player, top tri-athlete in high school, ace pitcher, starting runningback, best 3pt shooter (23 3s in a row once). Anyway all of that to say I'm naturally great at things. And the poker pro that made the list on this forum for other aspiring pros claims that part of someone's potential upside has to do with their natural ability to be good at stuff.
I haven't had any real heaters outside of cashing 5 out of 6 25p-35p live tournaments back in May. But I haven't factored any of those winnings into the $37/hr.
I'm 90% confident that through proper bankroll management I can average $30/hr, as I get the feeling I'm already the best player at whatever table I sit down at, but I'm also very introspective. Thoughts?
The fact you felt the need to list everything you're awesome at, along with newly minted account made me think immediately this is just somebody trolling under an alt account.
Then I read your follow ups and you seem serious. I'll proceed under that assumption.
Max possible winrate is probably much higher than people think, under the right conditions such as doing most or all of the following:
Bumhunting whales
Only playing during peak hours
Quitting if there are no super squishy tables
Moving to get favorable relative position constantly
Not tipping, ever
Not tilting, ever
Having an expert understanding of body language and verbal cues
Angle shooting constantly
Having a world class technical game
Having great charisma and ability to encourage action
Table hop without using the transfer list
Illegally add chips to match the big stack
Look at people's hole cards when they aren't properly protecting them
Play a few hours at a time so your concentration is maxed
Take ADHD meds to max your concentration
If all these things are true my guess is you could triple or quadruple typical winrates.
But...in order to do all these things you would have very low volume and end up disliked by regs, dealers, and basically everyone at the casino. Might get a lot of 24 hour bans also. And you'd be a scumbag. But you'd have a huge winrate.
But your win RATE is not really the important thing. If you play in the softest game of the month for 3 hours you won't make much money even if you're making 70 dollars an hour.
What's important is maximizing your earnings and that means playing in a lot of suboptimal conditions. Doing that 10 to 15 max BB an hour maybe 20 to 25 if you never tip, angle shoot and engage in other scummy behaviors.
It's much better to play 200 hours a month at 20 dollars an hour than to play 80 hours a month at 30 dollars an hour.
Total earnings are more important than winrate but it's always winrate everyone wants to compare.