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I think Sol Reader's point is that a game can change and get tougher quicker than the speed at which a person can get meaningful results?
That's a big part of it, yeah. I think you can know get an idea of how a person plays by witnessing their current play, and listening to them talk about hands right now, even if not an entirely clear picture, but when you get previous results, well, that could mean anything. Results just mean you've won money, it doesn't show you how the person plays.
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A lot of the very good players theoretically I know often have horrendous tilt/boredom/punt habits that prevent them from winning or winning as much as they should in certain games.
That's true, but I did qualify that tilt is a factor, and why I said playing with someone for a bunch of hours, not just talking hands. Also fair enough, you might catch them on a good day, perhaps let me change that by saying, someone I've played 10 sessions with over 10-20 hours total, and whatever, let's say this is a bit low, someone you've played 15 sessions with over 30 hours would be ample, or you can go higher, whatever. It's obviously not a static barrier where once you've played this much with a person you know or don't know. If the player is good you need fewer hours, if a player is marginal you might never know, or need a huge sample.
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Guys who know ranges and sizings very well who don't adjust to the exploitative nature of live games (i.e. some online guys) may struggle.
I EXTREMELY doubt that. People don't actually know ranges and sizings if they can't adapt; they're just playing cookie cutter "you do this in this spot hurr durrr" that's not understanding ranges.
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I know a guy who used to be one of the best 500z crushers in the world who is one of the losingest players in a 2/5 PPPoker NLH game
I don't know this guy, but nobody who actually crushes 2/5 the last 2 years could be a losing player in a live game. They might not adjust maximally, but there's actually no way he can't beat live games. Like at worst they play like an extreme nit and don't win a ton, but there's actually no chance. In fact, not even a player who broke even at 2/5 zoom over large sample would be able to lose unless they are not playing seriously.
Like quite a few of 5/10 or even 10/20 NL players wouldn't be able to beat 1/2 zoom at more than 2bb/100 without extensive studying. 2/5 is a lot tougher than 1/2.
Live players don't even know basic cbet sizings on common boards in single raised pots, and not just fish or bad regs, even otherwise good regs don't know a lot of this stuff. It's fine live, but it's not fundamentally sound.