I want to believe that the STDV I'm getting is wrong, because using the data from my app I'm at 170bb/100 hands, which seems way too high.

Pssst.....

CI = confidence interval

Mine which I calculated myself is right about 100BB/h, which at 30 hands per hour would equate to about 180BB/100. I think you're okay.

Yeah, that was just my funny way of askin'.

Curious to see what everyone's stop loss is. Mine is usually 3-4 100bb buyins.

my stop loss: 2,5 150bbs Bullets on me.

When I decide the combo of my image and tilt are not profitable. I've come back from 4+ BI to post wins on multiple occasions so I know I can handle it psychologically.



I have 11 BI now.

A couple of sessions ago I was playing with a random; if I was going to add him to my PokerJournal player database, it definitely would have been as Walter White.

I asked him if he ever got told that he looked like him and he just laughed. Then he won a big pot, and I told the table "don't **** with Walter White".

Gormaybeitwasjustsomemiddleagedguywithagoateeandah atG

Really tired of how much time I waste modding this thread. Stop with the derails and poo-flinging. Infractions coming for anyone turning this into son-of-chat-thread in the future.

Below are my stats from the last year or so of 1/2. I'm thinking of moving up, but my room's max 2/5 buy in is $1k. Total bankroll is about $11k completely carved out from living expense, savings, checking, etc. Anyone have thoughts on if i'm adequately rolled or not to start shot taking? Also, anything in my stats seem weird or stick out?

You can always shot take and you don't need to max buy.

Gorgalosk, full time pro or do you have a job?

I have a full time job. I probably play at the local casino 2-3 times a week for about 10-12 hours total. Nothing crazy. I dont feel as focused and locked in if I play longer than that.

10-20 percent of my liquid roll. varies based on game conditions.

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How much do you think that hurts your winrate?


Seems like you played more or less breakeven for about 3-400 hours before a noticeable uptick in your winrate. What happened there? Did you change something in your game? You're just getting into the kind of sample size I'd expect to start being meaningful, but it looks like you're pretty clearly a winner.

I wouldn't be taking full rolled shots at $2/5 yet. $500 shots are fine. Pick and choose times when the game looks juicy, especially if you recognize some of the bad players from $1/2 sitting there. Personally I'd want about $20k to sit $2/5 with a $500 cap regularly, need more for a deeper game. Fastest way to get there is a little run-good with the shot taking.

You have plenty to shot take but you need to be real honest with yourself about results and disciplined if you lose and need to drop down. $13/hr is a winner but not a crusher at $1/2 so it's tough to say how you'll go at 2/5. Likely still have some things to work on.

Honestly, I had some add medication that i'm on tweaked and just started to read the forums a bit more. I'm filtering now, and it looks like i'm running at about $21/hr since the tweak.

Interesting. Then it could be a legitimate change in your play/winrate at that point. Hard to tell until we see another couple hundred hours though.

There's no way to know based on this filter whether or not the adjustment affected your win-rate. The sample size is small and you can't isolate this variable among the many others that can have an effect on your win-rate.

If I were in your situation I would be playing 2|5. You are not playing enough hours of poker in relation to your job to really hurt yourself if you go on a downswing. 2|5 is not really much harder, but in general the player pool is much more fun IMO, and you should make more money if you're a winning player, which you probably are.

+1 to all of this.

Is there a 1/3 game accessible to you?

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In a similar but far more valuable vein, I now get a phone call every time my wife uses the credit card

FWIW, wireless network security can probably make you more vulnerable, especially if you are a worthy target.

Consider a full time 1/3 player who has 6 months of living expenses saved and $9000 to play poker with. Every month he pays his living expenses with his winnings and funnels the remainder back into his roll. If he feels entirely comfortable playing 1/3 with the $9000 roll, when should he start shot taking 2/5 and how would it work? The way I figure it would work is that every $500 he makes after he has the $9000 should be used for 2/5 (but realistically starting with something like $2500 so that he can rebuy). But I'm stumped because if he wins, a portion of his winnings would be going to living expenses, but if he loses he loses everything, and it seems like there's only so long that could sustain starting from 5 buyins.

Or, should he only play 2/5 a small percentage of the time and reinvest all winnings into the shot taking portion of the bankroll?

My strategy would be to play a mix of 1/3 and 2/5 when the 2/5 looks especially good. I would take 1000+1500 shots and eventually it should stick

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Is the idea that, eventually, the $9000 transitions into a 2/5 roll as well? In my scenario I was picturing the player maintaining the roll to where he could move down, but I guess if he just took that and went to 2/5 after building up the shot bankroll some. It could work.