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Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Winrates, bankrolls, and finances
View Poll Results: What is your Win Rate in terms of BB per Housr
Less than 0 (losing)
5 6.41%
0-2.5
0 0%
2.5-5
6 7.69%
5-7.5
8 10.26%
7.5-10
15 19.23%
10+
26 33.33%
Not enough sample size/I don't know
18 23.08%

05-18-2016 , 10:38 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by zoltan
Time to quit your soul crushing job and turn pro?

Kid saves and grinds more than you ever will. Takes a shot with perhaps a bit of naïveté but does it right with life roll and bank roll.... And you take the easy shot? I thought you were a pro troll.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
05-18-2016 , 10:52 PM
Why is the entire poker world allergic to having a side job?
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
05-18-2016 , 11:00 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by RobFarha
Why is the entire poker world allergic to having a side job?
Is the "entire poker world" allergic to having a side job? I actually know a lot of LA people who have a side job in addition to playing poker professionally/semi-professionally.

Maybe you are talking about the online poker scene and/or the Vegas poker scene?
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
05-18-2016 , 11:21 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ATsai
Is the "entire poker world" allergic to having a side job? I actually know a lot of LA people who have a side job in addition to playing poker professionally/semi-professionally.

Maybe you are talking about the online poker scene and/or the Vegas poker scene?
In reality im talking about 2+2.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
05-18-2016 , 11:31 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by RobFarha
Why is the entire poker world allergic to having a side job?
Side cars ok tho

sent from my secret chat thread
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
05-18-2016 , 11:52 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by zoltan
Time to quit your soul crushing job and turn pro?
The downswing hasn't altered my perception of what I believe to be attainable goals from poker in the short term and long term, merely given me a newfound respect for how bad short term variance can truly be.

It also provided an untimely but necessary lesson in bankroll/risk management. My current state is more due to bankroll illiquidity rather than bankroll insolvency as I moved too much of my profits too quickly from my bankroll to my life roll/investments.

I'm not going to say I'm glad this downswing happened, but I did spend a year positioning myself for the opportunity to pursue this and I have been able to weather the storm and dig out of it relatively stress free and with an extremely long runway. It has also given me valuable insight into how to plan for the short, intermediate and long term WRT bankroll and variance.

So yah, all things considered, I am still extremely happy with my decision to leave the corporate world behind and make a go at it on my own terms. And the subsequent uptick in my health and well being since then is gravy on top.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
05-18-2016 , 11:54 PM
People play poker so they don't have to work hard, ldo.

Side job is a bit on the working too hard side.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
05-19-2016 , 08:37 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by t_roy
Fwiw, I've talked to multiple recs at MDL that play 2/5 over 5/10 because they don't like playing with all of the silent pro types at 5/10.





Higher stakes PLO is by far the most fun environment imo.

Not true in my experience

I play in that player pool

Quote:
Originally Posted by bwslim69
I've told people and I'll stand by it that 2/5 is the WOAT player pool ever. At least at most 1/2 tables there are plenty of people donating and out for a good time. At 2/5 a lot of the dip****s actually think they are good in spite of the fact that most of them are turrible.

+3.50
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
05-19-2016 , 08:41 AM
[QUOTE=johnnyBuz;50051433]I think the edge is still there and just as big as it was. During my sessions I still saw the same mistakes, made the same reads as normal, etc., but I found myself getting involved in all-in pots (made hand vs. draw) at a much higher frequency, like 2-3x per session (right tail event), and losing pretty much every single one (left tail event). It's comical to me at this point but I've lost about 24/25 all-in pots during this time ranging from 2:1 to 4:1 favorites. QUOTE]

Has anyone else experienced anything like this? The top 2-5 crushers on here say their biggest downswing was in the 5-6k range. Yours being at 16k is way past that. MikeStarr says his biggest losing streak is 3 sessions in a row.

If you can lose 19-20 sessions at 2-5 having an edge over the field then you could just as easily lose 19-20 at 1-2. I'm a crusher at 1-2 and can tell you that is not even remotely possible. Similar to Mike, the max amount of losing sessions Ive booked in a row is 3, and my biggest downswing was 2k, which could have been easily reduced down to 1500 if it wasn't due to spewy play from being on tilt for "running bad".
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
05-19-2016 , 09:21 AM
Gonna go out on a limb here and guess he isn't playing 100bb Max games
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
05-19-2016 , 09:26 AM
With that being said, that type of swing would be absurd for a crusher in most 2/5 games.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
05-19-2016 , 09:50 AM
[QUOTE=bodybuilder32;50056630]
Quote:
Originally Posted by johnnyBuz
I think the edge is still there and just as big as it was. During my sessions I still saw the same mistakes, made the same reads as normal, etc., but I found myself getting involved in all-in pots (made hand vs. draw) at a much higher frequency, like 2-3x per session (right tail event), and losing pretty much every single one (left tail event). It's comical to me at this point but I've lost about 24/25 all-in pots during this time ranging from 2:1 to 4:1 favorites. QUOTE]



Has anyone else experienced anything like this? The top 2-5 crushers on here say their biggest downswing was in the 5-6k range. Yours being at 16k is way past that. MikeStarr says his biggest losing streak is 3 sessions in a row.



If you can lose 19-20 sessions at 2-5 having an edge over the field then you could just as easily lose 19-20 at 1-2. I'm a crusher at 1-2 and can tell you that is not even remotely possible. Similar to Mike, the max amount of losing sessions Ive booked in a row is 3, and my biggest downswing was 2k, which could have been easily reduced down to 1500 if it wasn't due to spewy play from being on tilt for "running bad".


You saying that kind of variance "is not even remotely possible" shows how little you understand variance. And obv all 2/5 games are not the same. 2/5 closest to me is uncapped. Some are 100bb cap and most 3/5 in LA are actually 40bb cap games. Pretty huge difference from sitting 500+ bbs deep vs 100bb cap. Pretty much most 1/2 games have 150bb max. And most of those guys sit with 50bbs or less anyways. Pretty unfair comparison imo.

Last edited by Pots-For-Sale; 05-19-2016 at 09:56 AM.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
05-19-2016 , 10:46 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Richard Parker
People play poker so they don't have to work hard, ldo.

Side job is a bit on the working too hard side.

There is a reason the old guys said it's a tough way to make an easy living.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
05-19-2016 , 11:25 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Richard Parker
People play poker so they don't have to work hard, ldo.

Side job is a bit on the working too hard side.


It's just not that hard to be middle class++ if one uses their brains a bit and work a little. Prob is many people look for shortcuts
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
05-19-2016 , 11:26 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by cAmmAndo
There is a reason the old guys said it's a tough way to make an easy living.


When I was playing old hustlers used to say this about golf too. Most of them were losers
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
05-19-2016 , 12:11 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by RobFarha
Why is the entire poker world allergic to having a side job?
And they take it as some kind of personal insult if you suggest they need one.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
05-19-2016 , 12:36 PM
Speaking of BRM issue:

Poll: Two-thirds of US would struggle to cover $1,000 crisis

http://bigstory.ap.org/article/965e4...d315f83e01b6a2
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
05-19-2016 , 12:54 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by urDONEson79
Can I ask for some tax advice concerning tourneys? In 2014, I took 2nd in the WSOP daily deepstack at the Rio but my friend and I had a deal to split the profits. I actually forgot about it and didn't file it last year so now IRS sent me paperwork stating that I owe for this win. My friend said that he will take responsibility for half the cost but how do I split this win and send him a tax form for half the earnings? I bought a piece of a player in the past and when he cashed big in the main, I received tax paperwork for my share and wanted to do the same. Thanks in advance.
This is not tax advice. I am not a professional. You should ask someone who knows better.

When I was in a similar situation, the guy gave me a W9 form. I gave him a 1099-MISC form. Find those forms at the U.S. taxing authority web site.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
05-19-2016 , 01:19 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by pokerodox
This is not tax advice. I am not a professional. You should ask someone who knows better.

When I was in a similar situation, the guy gave me a W9 form. I gave him a 1099-MISC form. Find those forms at the U.S. taxing authority web site.
thanks, for your reply and for the others. I'll go check out the site and ask around.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
05-19-2016 , 02:34 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by pokerodox
This is not tax advice. I am not a professional. You should ask someone who knows better.



When I was in a similar situation, the guy gave me a W9 form. I gave him a 1099-MISC form. Find those forms at the U.S. taxing authority web site.


Quote:
Originally Posted by urDONEson79
thanks, for your reply and for the others. I'll go check out the site and ask around.


Dox is pretty much on point. I recommend you hire some one who knows wtf they are doing because you could be subjected to some significant penalties for failure to file timely 1099s

I see several issues that could trigger further problems if not handled properly in the initial response
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
05-19-2016 , 02:39 PM
The IRS likes to **** people, I'm just never selling action again
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
05-19-2016 , 04:23 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Duke0424
i just looked at it a few minutes ago, i was going to post it separately but chose to only post the deep one... anyway, it showed my 500max at around 52 and my deep around 62

regardless, its not a huge difference (and now i just realize, maybe thats what you meant??)... i just have a different perspective on it from most regs (i think conventional wisdom of most live regs is that deep is significantly more profitable than shallow, right?) because when i first started playing deep, i thought there would be only a small increase in my WR, but I happened to have a big upswing as soon as I started playing deeper. So then I thought that playing deep games was significantly better than playing shallow. But as I played more deep, I went through a nasty break-even stretch, and then another healthy upswing, and then finally just a long period where I was winning like $40/hr and hugely disappointed as it was going on.

At this point, my opinion changed and I realized a few things about deeper games

1) the increased variance will negatively affect most non-elite poker players because it'll put you on tilt more and make you play your C-game for longer periods while there's more money at stake.

2) you play against much better competition. at the 500max games, most of the fish just give their money away and the regs/pros suck a lot. at 1000max games, everyone still sucks a lot if you work hard and are smart, but i think they suck quite a bit less than your average opponent at a deep 1/3 or shallow 2/5 game. also, these games will usually attract some players in the player pool who are either as good, better, or slightly worse than you are. this # of equally skilled players goes up/down depending on how good you are yourself.

3) there can be huge fluctuations in how much money you make over 500 hour periods, even 1k and 2k hour periods potentially, which i think may be a shock to many inexperienced players. i think i had a 1k hour stretch where i made $80k and another where i made $40k. not that thats an enormous difference, but on the otherhand, at deep 1/3 and shallow 2/5, i have a much more consistent profit amount over 200-hour periods, which would be considered a small timeframe in a 1k 2/5.

i think more time on your c-game, less opportunity to be in super juicy games compared to shallow 2/5, better competition, and potentially even less hands/per hour are all reasons why most people won't see huge differences in their winrates between the two.

and of course, im not saying deep games are tough at all. almost every 1k and 1.5k max 2/5 ive played in has been crushable for a very nice living. but by contrast, in a 500max, you play your Agame more because youre literally never in a tough/annoying spot, you play more fish/whales, you play against less winning players because the game isnt as "fun"/no one wants to be seen "slummin' it"/or whatever irrational reason, you may get more hands per hour, you may have less competition for table change/seat change.

ideally, you just play the game thats most profitable obviously. unless you're an elite poker player, then i guess always play biggest. but i think if you're just a very good/hard working player, on your a-game, have nice br, etc then strictly sticking to the deep game and not even considering the smaller/shallow game might be a mistake.
Amazing post! No way you weren't sober when you wrote that!

Sticky this IMO
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
05-20-2016 , 02:53 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by RobFarha
Why is the entire poker world allergic to having a side job?
Because earning $1500 for 80hrs of work sucks when you lose it on payday.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
05-20-2016 , 03:20 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by cAmmAndo
Kid saves and grinds more than you ever will. Takes a shot with perhaps a bit of naïveté but does it right with life roll and bank roll.... And you take the easy shot? I thought you were a pro troll.
Lighten up Francis.

Sent from my phone...oh wait nm.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
05-20-2016 , 03:49 AM
[QUOTE=Pots-For-Sale;50057022]
Quote:
Originally Posted by bodybuilder32



You saying that kind of variance "is not even remotely possible" shows how little you understand variance. And obv all 2/5 games are not the same. 2/5 closest to me is uncapped. Some are 100bb cap and most 3/5 in LA are actually 40bb cap games. Pretty huge difference from sitting 500+ bbs deep vs 100bb cap. Pretty much most 1/2 games have 150bb max. And most of those guys sit with 50bbs or less anyways. Pretty unfair comparison imo.
What is so hard to understand? Squid has come on here and said that his biggest downswing was 5k. He also confirmed that this was similar to other guys who's "game he respects."

I have close to 3k hours logged of live experience, some at 2-5, but mostly at 1-2. I have had several downswings during that stretch, and nothing ever further than 2k.

I am seeing a pattern here, that for any "crusher" at their stake, it seems that the biggest downswing you will go on is approx. 10 buy-ins.

Johnny Buzz's game is capped at a 1k buy-in. So, 10 buyins of 1k is $10,000. Buzz reported a $16,000 downswing. This seems way bigger than what is expected. It could be a clue that his game has leaks....even if he was experiencing run bad.
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