Live results do provide enough data, it just takes a while to get that data. 1000 hours is not an unrealistic amount of time to put in. Just use the variance calculator I posted. It will give you your confidence intervals. Math is math. It doesn't change just because getting the desired result is really hard.

I'm making $150/hour over the last 75 hours. There is zero chance that my hourly is much above $50 (even that is unlikely). If I can run $100/hour above EV, you can too. Doesn't take a genius to figure that out. You're not getting torched for your question, you're getting torched for saying that 75 hours is a decent sample size.

Live SD should average higher.

Or maybe I'm doing something wrong to get a 200BB/100 SD

60-100/hour not 100 hands. Just use hours instead of hands. As long as you use the same denominators, the math is the same.

Nice month. Do you play full-time?

Did you read page 1 post #1 ?

I DIDN'T MEAN TO POST THAT 75hr was a decent sample size

I feel like pushing edges is a discussion for other posts. But a casino pushing a 4% edge is different. They have 1000+ gaming tables at which to push that edge. I have 1 gaming table.

Thank you for everyone's comments.

Idea is the same though...

Hey Rockville, good luck with finding the best way to run up a bankroll.

Imo, 1/2 anywhere in the country should be very beatable provided they have reasonable rake. For me, knowing that I have the skills to beat 1/2, even if I didn't know for how much, allowed me to just bite the bullet and play whenever I can. I've never found having only $800-$1000 in my name a deterrent to sitting down and playing and in my college days, sometimes, that's really all I had. But also, I've never found myself ghetto arse broke and unable to come up with $1k just by working a job more hours that I'm out of the game for too long, if you live in the U.S. or any other affluent country, you shouldn't have a problem.

I'm outside the card room smokin (and drinkin). I found a dollar on the ground. Should this be counted in my winnings?

Yes.

"I believe I can fly, therefore I can."

Cool... Wanna see my giraffe?

I don't swing that way.

You linked to a tool which uses BB/100, so naturally I assumed that's the unit you were using. Also, the tool suggests that a standard SD for FR NLHE is 60-80 BB/100, which is too small for live players. I wanted to make sure you weren't suggesting a similar range.

I prefer converting to the units the tool uses. Assuming 25 hands/h you simply *4 win-rate and *2 SD. If anyone follows your advice they should just make sure they get the sample size right. It should be h*100 for 'h' hours. This is why I prefer using BB/100. Then all the units are "natural" even if BB/h is more applicable to live than BB/100.

No. Very tempted to though. I have a full time job in sales where I work ~20-25 hours a week.

I'm rolled for 2/5 ... want to try it so bad

????????

Basically he played hooky a lot.

Doom switch is 100% real. I didn't believe it, until I faced it.

That fateful day I was all pumped up. Worked out, ****ed hard, ate a big meal, and drove right over to the cas... And then proceeded to get anally fisted by variance. Regression to the mean sucks balls.

Word to the wise, keep it humble. I learned the hard way lol.

You learned the hardball way.

Or just be really good, then it's like whatever.

"Be really good," as in, "lose minimum every time you're on a downswing"?

That, I have to work on. It's really tough to realize you're on a cold streak mid-session, and find the discipline to fold sets etc.

"be really good" as in understanding that you only control your decisions. You decide, when to play, where to play, how to play.

"be really good" as in not letting results, particularly recent results, bother you emotionally, thereby hindering your decision making.

**** just got real.

I was posting partly in jest, but you're right.

What suited fours said.

Getting mad in losing is kind of like getting mad that you missed the left turn light.

Hey, that's pretty good.

Shouldn't be folding sets because you're on a cold streak. Shouldn't be doing anything because of a cold streak.